Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo vs Lautaro Midon
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Lautaro Midon, giving them a 62% chance to win against Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo (38%). Lautaro Midon leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Cardozo is 7-3 in their last 10, Midon 7-3. At -118, the odds imply 54% for Lautaro Midon, below the model's 62%.
Prediction
The model makes Lautaro Midon a 62% favorite. At -118 the sportsbook implies 54% for Lautaro Midon, 7 points below the model's 62%.
Model minus book: -16 pts
Model minus book: +7 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Lautaro Midon at -118 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | Lautaro Midon | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6623 | 6685 |
| Tour rank | ATP #317 | ATP #240 |
| Last 10 matches | 7-3 | 7-3 |
| Last 30 days | 5-2 | 5-1 |
| Current streak | 2 Wins | 2 Wins |
| Season record | 52-17 | 40-25 |
| UTR | 14.35 | 14.43 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1387 | 1554 |
| Best surface | Grass | Clay |
| Worst surface | Hard | Grass |
Head to head
Lautaro Midon leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08.10.2026 | Lautaro Midon | 7-6, 2-6, 7-6 | Chile Antofagasta |
Recent form
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Tomas Barrios Vera | W | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 28.10.2026 | Miguel Tobon | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 13.10.2026 | Felipe Meligeni Alves | L | 6-0, 2-1 |
| 08.10.2026 | Lautaro Midon | L | 7-6, 2-6, 7-6 |
| 06.10.2026 | Nicolas Villalon | W | 6-2, 7-5 |
| 05.10.2026 | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | W | 6-3, 0-6, 6-3 |
| 04.10.2026 | Santiago De La Fuente | W | 6-1, 6-7, 6-0 |
| 26.09.2026 | Alex Barrena | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 25.09.2026 | Juan Pablo Varillas | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 24.09.2026 | Francisco Comesana | W | 7-5, 6-7, 6-4 |
Lautaro Midon, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Daniel Elahi Galan | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 27.10.2026 | Gonzalo Villanueva | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 10.10.2026 | Thiago Seyboth Wild | L | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 09.10.2026 | Eduardo Ribeiro | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 08.10.2026 | Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | W | 7-6, 2-6, 7-6 |
| 06.10.2026 | Jose Pereira | W | 6-3, 4-6, 6-0 |
| 02.10.2026 | Gustavo Heide | L | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 30.09.2026 | Bruno Fernandez | W | 6-2, 7-5 |
| 29.09.2026 | Matias Soto | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 24.08.2026 | Kyrian Jacquet | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | Lautaro Midon |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Barrena | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-2, 7-5 |
| Carlos Maria Zarate | 2-0 W 6-2, 6-1, W 6-2, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-2 |
| Eduardo Ribeiro | 1-0 W 6-1, 2-6, 6-1 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-1 |
| Facundo Diaz Acosta | 0-1 L 5-7, 7-6, 6-3 |
1-0 W 3-6, 6-4, 6-2 |
| Felipe Meligeni Alves | 0-2 L 6-0, 2-1, L 3-6, 6-0, 2-0 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-2 |
| Gonzalo Villanueva | 4-1 W 4-6, 6-4, 7-6, W 6-3, 6-1, W 6-3, 7-6, L 6-0, 7-5, W 6-3, 4-6, 7-6 |
2-0 W 6-3, 6-3, W 7-5, 6-3 |
| Guido Ivan Justo | 0-1 L 6-2, 6-3 |
0-1 L 4-6, 6-3, 6-0 |
| Juan Bautista Torres | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
1-0 W 7-5, 6-3 |
| Juan Pablo Varillas | 1-1 W 6-2, 6-4, L 6-7, 6-2, 2-0 |
1-2 W 7-6, 6-4, L 6-4, 6-1, L 6-3, 4-6, 6-3 |
| Matias Soto | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-3 |
| Nicolas Villalon | 1-0 W 6-2, 7-5 |
1-0 W 6-3, 2-6, 6-4 |
| Zdenek Kolar | 0-1 L 6-1, 6-1 |
1-0 W 7-5, 6-1 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-11-01: ATP Guayaquil (XI) (Ecuador), model gave Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo 38% at -118
- 2026-10-31: ATP Guayaquil (XI) (Ecuador), model gave Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo 38% at -118
- 2026-10-30: ATP Guayaquil (XI) (Ecuador), model gave Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo 38% at -118
- 2026-10-07: ATP Antofagasta (IX) (Chile), model gave Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo 31% at -167
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo vs Lautaro Midon: quick answers
Who will win Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo vs Lautaro Midon?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Lautaro Midon, giving them a 62% chance to win against Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo (38%).
What is the head-to-head record between Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo and Lautaro Midon?
Lautaro Midon leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 8, 2026, won by Lautaro Midon 7-6, 2-6, 7-6 at Chile Antofagasta.
Who is in better form, Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo or Lautaro Midon?
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Lautaro Midon is 7-3 (current streak: 2 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo and Lautaro Midon?
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo is rated 6623 (ATP #317) and Lautaro Midon is rated 6685 (ATP #240). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo vs Lautaro Midon?
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo is priced at -118 and Lautaro Midon at -118, which implies a 54% and 54% chance to win. The model rates Lautaro Midon 7 points higher than the odds do (62% vs 54%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.