Matej Dodig vs Joao Domingues

ATP Lisbon (VI) (Portugal), Clay. Wednesday, October 21, 2026, 02:05.

Updated

Tennis Gauge's model favors Matej Dodig, giving them a 89% chance to win against Joao Domingues (11%). Matej Dodig leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Dodig is 8-2 in their last 10, Domingues 4-6.

This preview is from Wednesday, October 21, 2026. The result isn't in the database yet.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Matej Dodig a 89% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Matej Dodig -2500
Model
89%
Book
96%

Model minus book: -7 pts

Model
11%
Book
11%

Model minus book: 0 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Matej Dodig at -2500 · Model track record

Player comparison

Matej DodigJoao Domingues
Tennis Gauge rating67626522
Tour rankATP #145ATP #484
Last 10 matches8-24-6
Last 30 days9-14-5
Current streak1 Loss1 Loss
Season record43-2435-26
UTR14.5113.85
Elo (52 weeks)1697–
Best surfaceClay–
Worst surfaceHard–

Head to head

Matej Dodig leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
20.10.2026Matej Dodig6-1, 6-3Portugal Lisbon

Recent form

Matej Dodig, last 10

DateOpponentScore
23.10.2026Marco Trungelliti L6-4, 6-2
21.10.2026Marco Cecchinato W6-1, 4-6, 6-2
20.10.2026Joao Domingues W6-1, 6-3
17.10.2026Francesco Passaro L5-7, 6-1, 6-4
16.10.2026Tristan Boyer W6-4, 7-6
15.10.2026Lukas Neumayer W6-4, 4-6, 6-3
14.10.2026Pedro Martinez W6-2, 6-1
11.10.2026Elmer Moller W3-6, 6-3, 6-2
10.10.2026Lukas Neumayer W6-3, 6-1
09.10.2026Marvin Moeller W6-2, 6-3

Joao Domingues, last 10

DateOpponentScore
20.10.2026Matej Dodig L6-1, 6-3
19.10.2026Vasco Leote Prata W6-2, 6-2
18.10.2026Ivan Gakhov W7-6
11.10.2026Andrej Martin L6-2, 6-1
05.10.2026Vilius Gaubas L6-1, 7-5
28.09.2026Michael Geerts L3-6, 6-4, 7-6
27.09.2026Vadym Ursu W7-6, 6-2
24.09.2026Robin Bertrand L7-5, 7-5
22.09.2026Rafael Izquierdo Luque W6-4, 3-6, 6-1
16.09.2026Julien Penzlin L6-3, 3-6, 7-6

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentMatej DodigJoao Domingues
Jonas Forejtek 1-0
W 6-2, 6-4
0-1
L 3-6, 6-2, 6-2
Liam Broady 0-1
L 6-3, 2-6, 6-4
0-1
L 6-3, 6-4
Michele Ribecai 1-0
W 4-6, 7-5, 6-4
1-0
W 6-4, 7-6
Oleksii Krutykh 1-0
W 6-4, 7-5
1-0
W 5-7, 6-4, 6-4
Robin Bertrand 0-1
L 7-5, 5-2
0-1
L 7-5, 7-5
Timofey Skatov 1-0
W 6-3, 4-6, 6-4
0-1
L 6-4, 6-7, 6-4

Matej Dodig vs Joao Domingues: quick answers

Who will win Matej Dodig vs Joao Domingues?

Tennis Gauge's model favors Matej Dodig, giving them a 89% chance to win against Joao Domingues (11%).

What is the head-to-head record between Matej Dodig and Joao Domingues?

Matej Dodig leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 20, 2026, won by Matej Dodig 6-1, 6-3 at Portugal Lisbon.

Who is in better form, Matej Dodig or Joao Domingues?

Matej Dodig is 8-2 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Joao Domingues is 4-6 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Matej Dodig and Joao Domingues?

Matej Dodig is rated 6762 (ATP #145) and Joao Domingues is rated 6522 (ATP #484). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Matej Dodig vs Joao Domingues?

Matej Dodig is priced at -2500 and Joao Domingues at +774, which implies a 96% and 11% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.