Jiayu Xu vs Yu Shan
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Jiayu Xu, giving them a 65% chance to win against Yu Shan (35%). Jiayu Xu leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Xu is 6-4 in their last 10, Shan 4-6. At +370, the odds imply 21% for Yu Shan, below the model's 35%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Jiayu Xu a 65% favorite. At +370 the sportsbook implies 21% for Yu Shan, 13 points below the model's 35%.
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Yu Shan at +370 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Jiayu Xu | Yu Shan | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6147 | 5961 |
| Tour rank | WTA #1495 | WTA #2300 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 4-6 |
| Last 30 days | 4-3 | 3-4 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 2 Losses |
| Season record | 32-20 | 10-24 |
| UTR | 10.11 | 9.1 |
Head to head
Jiayu Xu leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.10.2026 | Jiayu Xu | 4-6, 6-3, 10-1 | China Qian Daohu |
Recent form
Jiayu Xu, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.10.2026 | Junhan Zhang | L | 4-1 |
| 19.10.2026 | Yu Shan | W | 4-6, 6-3, 10-1 |
| 18.10.2026 | Kanna Soeda | W | 4-6, 6-3, 10-1 |
| 02.10.2026 | Yingqun Sun | L | 6-2, 2-6, 7-6 |
| 01.10.2026 | Seo Yun Choi | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 30.09.2026 | Ekaterina Kuznetsova | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 23.09.2026 | Yanan Hou | L | 4-6, 6-4, 6-2 |
| 11.08.2026 | Chia Yi Tsao | L | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 09.08.2026 | Yiru Chen | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 08.08.2026 | Riko Kikawada | W | 4-6, 6-3, 1-0 |
Yu Shan, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25.10.2026 | Tiana Tian Deng | L | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 19.10.2026 | Jiayu Xu | L | 4-6, 6-3, 10-1 |
| 18.10.2026 | Anna Yang | W | 6-4, 5-7, 10-6 |
| 04.10.2026 | Aoyi Li | L | 4-6, 7-5, 10-5 |
| 30.09.2026 | Anna Yang | L | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 29.09.2026 | Yinuo Huang | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 27.09.2026 | Mingyou Xu | W | 6-3, 3-1 |
| 22.09.2026 | Albina Kakenova | L | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 20.09.2026 | Francesca Franchi | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 16.08.2026 | Ziyu Zhou | L | 7-5, 5-7, 10-8 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Jiayu Xu | Yu Shan |
|---|---|---|
| Chia Yi Tsao | 0-1 L 6-2, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-1, 6-2 |
| Ksenia Meshcheryakova | 2-0 W 6-3, 4-6, 10-7, W 6-1, 6-2 |
0-1 L 0-6, 6-2, 6-1 |
| Seo Yun Choi | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-0 |
| Xiaowei Li | 1-0 W 7-5, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-3 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-19: WTA Qian Daohu (China), model gave Jiayu Xu 65% at -714
- 2026-10-18: WTA Qian Daohu (China), model gave Jiayu Xu 65% at -714
Jiayu Xu vs Yu Shan: quick answers
Who will win Jiayu Xu vs Yu Shan?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Jiayu Xu, giving them a 65% chance to win against Yu Shan (35%).
What is the head-to-head record between Jiayu Xu and Yu Shan?
Jiayu Xu leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 19, 2026, won by Jiayu Xu 4-6, 6-3, 10-1 at China Qian Daohu.
Who is in better form, Jiayu Xu or Yu Shan?
Jiayu Xu is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Yu Shan is 4-6 (current streak: 2 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Jiayu Xu and Yu Shan?
Jiayu Xu is rated 6147 (WTA #1495) and Yu Shan is rated 5961 (WTA #2300). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Jiayu Xu vs Yu Shan?
Jiayu Xu is priced at -714 and Yu Shan at +370, which implies a 88% and 21% chance to win. The model rates Yu Shan 13 points higher than the odds do (35% vs 21%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.