Mayuka Aikawa vs Jessika Ponchet

WTA Kingdom Birmingham (XI) (United Kingdom), Indoors. Thursday, October 15, 2026, 02:00.

Updated

Jessika Ponchet beat Mayuka Aikawa 6-3, 3-6, 6-1, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Jessika Ponchet leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Aikawa is 6-4 in their last 10, Ponchet 5-5.

Result: Jessika Ponchet beat Mayuka Aikawa 6-3, 3-6, 6-1. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Jessika Ponchet a 96% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
4%
Book
13%

Model minus book: -9 pts

Model
96%
Book
96%

Model minus book: 0 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Jessika Ponchet at -2500 · Model track record

Player comparison

Mayuka AikawaJessika Ponchet
Tennis Gauge rating64326795
Tour rankWTA #665WTA #199
Last 10 matches6-45-5
Last 30 days3-12-0
Current streak1 Loss1 Loss
Season record45-3123-21
UTR10.5311.79
Elo (52 weeks)–1572
Best surface–Clay
Worst surface–Hard

Head to head

Jessika Ponchet leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
15.10.2026Jessika Ponchet6-3, 3-6, 6-1United Kingdom Birmingham

Recent form

Mayuka Aikawa, last 10

DateOpponentScore
28.10.2026Suzan Lamens L6-2, 6-4
26.10.2026Pui Yin Lung W6-2, 6-3
25.10.2026Megan Mae Root W6-1, 6-0
19.10.2026Sofya Lansere L3-6, 6-4, 6-1
18.10.2026Rosie Cho W6-2, 6-1
15.10.2026Jessika Ponchet L6-3, 3-6, 6-1
14.10.2026Elena Malygina W0-6, 6-4, 6-2
13.10.2026Margaux Maquet W7-6, 6-3
21.09.2026Diana Ioana Simionescu L5-7, 6-3, 7-5
20.09.2026Anna Kmiecik W6-4, 6-2

Jessika Ponchet, last 10

DateOpponentScore
23.10.2026Manon Leonard L7-6, 6-1
22.10.2026Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva W6-3, 6-4
21.10.2026Elena Ruxandra Bertea W6-3, 6-2
16.10.2026Manon Leonard L5-7, 7-6, 6-2
16.10.2026Manon Leonard L5-7, 7-6, 6-2
15.10.2026Mayuka Aikawa W6-3, 3-6, 6-1
14.10.2026Amelia Rajecki W7-6, 6-3
13.10.2026Hollie Smart W6-2, 6-3
23.06.2026Polina Kudermetova L1-6, 6-2, 6-3
20.05.2026Linda Fruhvirtova L6-1, 6-4

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentMayuka AikawaJessika Ponchet
Erika Andreeva 1-0
W 6-4, 6-4
1-0
W 6-4, 6-3
Viktoria Hruncakova 0-1
L 6-4, 6-1
1-0
W 7-6, 6-2

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-14: WTA Kingdom Birmingham (XI) (United Kingdom), model gave Mayuka Aikawa 4% at +651

Mayuka Aikawa vs Jessika Ponchet: quick answers

Who won Mayuka Aikawa vs Jessika Ponchet?

Jessika Ponchet beat Mayuka Aikawa 6-3, 3-6, 6-1, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Mayuka Aikawa and Jessika Ponchet?

Jessika Ponchet leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 15, 2026, won by Jessika Ponchet 6-3, 3-6, 6-1 at United Kingdom Birmingham.

Who is in better form, Mayuka Aikawa or Jessika Ponchet?

Mayuka Aikawa is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Jessika Ponchet is 5-5 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Mayuka Aikawa and Jessika Ponchet?

Mayuka Aikawa is rated 6432 (WTA #665) and Jessika Ponchet is rated 6795 (WTA #199). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Mayuka Aikawa vs Jessika Ponchet?

Mayuka Aikawa is priced at +651 and Jessika Ponchet at -2500, which implies a 13% and 96% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.