Manon Leonard vs Jessika Ponchet
Updated
Manon Leonard beat Jessika Ponchet 5-7, 7-6, 6-2, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Jessika Ponchet at 81%. Manon Leonard leads 3-0 in their head-to-head. Leonard is 7-3 in their last 10, Ponchet 5-5.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Jessika Ponchet a 81% favorite. At -244 the sportsbook implies 71% for Jessika Ponchet, 10 points below the model's 81%.
Model minus book: -18 pts
Model minus book: +10 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Jessika Ponchet at -244 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Manon Leonard | Jessika Ponchet | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6724 | 6795 |
| Tour rank | WTA #262 | WTA #199 |
| Last 10 matches | 7-3 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 7-3 | 3-0 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 30-31 | 23-21 |
| UTR | 11.16 | 11.79 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1335 | 1572 |
| Best surface | Hard | Clay |
| Worst surface | Clay | Hard |
Head to head
Manon Leonard leads 3-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23.10.2026 | Manon Leonard | 7-6, 6-1 | France Cherbourg En Cotentin |
| 16.10.2026 | Manon Leonard | 5-7, 7-6, 6-2 | United Kingdom Birmingham |
| 16.10.2026 | Manon Leonard | 5-7, 7-6, 6-2 | United Kingdom Birmingham |
Recent form
Manon Leonard, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Veronika Podrez | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 28.10.2026 | Amandine Hesse | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 24.10.2026 | Katarina Zavatska | L | 3-6, 6-3, 6-2 |
| 23.10.2026 | Jessika Ponchet | W | 7-6, 6-1 |
| 22.10.2026 | Sada Nahimana | W | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 21.10.2026 | Salma Djoubri | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 17.10.2026 | Alicia Dudeney | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 16.10.2026 | Jessika Ponchet | W | 5-7, 7-6, 6-2 |
| 16.10.2026 | Jessika Ponchet | W | 5-7, 7-6, 6-2 |
| 15.10.2026 | Jodie Burrage | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
Jessika Ponchet, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23.10.2026 | Manon Leonard | L | 7-6, 6-1 |
| 22.10.2026 | Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 21.10.2026 | Elena Ruxandra Bertea | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 16.10.2026 | Manon Leonard | L | 5-7, 7-6, 6-2 |
| 16.10.2026 | Manon Leonard | L | 5-7, 7-6, 6-2 |
| 15.10.2026 | Mayuka Aikawa | W | 6-3, 3-6, 6-1 |
| 14.10.2026 | Amelia Rajecki | W | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 13.10.2026 | Hollie Smart | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 23.06.2026 | Polina Kudermetova | L | 1-6, 6-2, 6-3 |
| 20.05.2026 | Linda Fruhvirtova | L | 6-1, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Manon Leonard | Jessika Ponchet |
|---|---|---|
| Aliona Falei | 0-1 L 6-1, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-3 |
| Amelia Rajecki | 1-0 W 6-2, 7-5 |
1-0 W 7-6, 6-3 |
| Andrea Lazaro Garcia | 0-1 L 3-6, 6-4, 7-5 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-3 |
| Anna Siskova | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-1 |
1-1 W 6-3, 6-4, L 6-3, 6-3 |
| Tereza Martincova | 1-0 W 6-1, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-2 |
| Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah | 0-1 L 7-6, 4-6, 10-8 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-2 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-15: WTA Kingdom Birmingham (XI) (United Kingdom), model gave Manon Leonard 19% at +167
Manon Leonard vs Jessika Ponchet: quick answers
Who won Manon Leonard vs Jessika Ponchet?
Manon Leonard beat Jessika Ponchet 5-7, 7-6, 6-2, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Jessika Ponchet at 81%.
What is the head-to-head record between Manon Leonard and Jessika Ponchet?
Manon Leonard leads 3-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 23, 2026, won by Manon Leonard 7-6, 6-1 at France Cherbourg En Cotentin.
Who is in better form, Manon Leonard or Jessika Ponchet?
Manon Leonard is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Jessika Ponchet is 5-5 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Manon Leonard and Jessika Ponchet?
Manon Leonard is rated 6724 (WTA #262) and Jessika Ponchet is rated 6795 (WTA #199). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Manon Leonard vs Jessika Ponchet?
Manon Leonard is priced at +167 and Jessika Ponchet at -244, which implies a 37% and 71% chance to win. The model rates Jessika Ponchet 10 points higher than the odds do (81% vs 71%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.