Jessica Pieri vs Matilde Paoletti
Updated
Jessica Pieri beat Matilde Paoletti 3-6, 6-1, 6-2, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Jessica Pieri leads 2-0 in their head-to-head. Pieri is 9-1 in their last 10, Paoletti 5-5.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Jessica Pieri a 51% favorite. At +113 the sportsbook implies 47% for Jessica Pieri, 4 points below the model's 51%.
Model minus book: +4 pts
Model minus book: -12 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Jessica Pieri at +113 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Jessica Pieri | Matilde Paoletti | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6658 | 6573 |
| Tour rank | WTA #323 | WTA #436 |
| Last 10 matches | 9-1 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 10-2 | 5-2 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 25-25 | 16-12 |
| UTR | 11.0 | 11.38 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1392 | – |
| Best surface | Clay | – |
| Worst surface | Hard | – |
Head to head
Jessica Pieri leads 2-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.10.2026 | Jessica Pieri | 3-6, 6-1, 6-2 | Italy Santa Margherita Di Pula IX |
| 16.10.2026 | Jessica Pieri | 3-6, 6-1, 6-2 | Italy Santa Margherita Di Pula |
Recent form
Jessica Pieri, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.2026 | Elizara Yaneva | L | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 18.10.2026 | Nina Radovanovic | W | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 17.10.2026 | Beatrise Zeltina | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 16.10.2026 | Matilde Paoletti | W | 3-6, 6-1, 6-2 |
| 16.10.2026 | Matilde Paoletti | W | 3-6, 6-1, 6-2 |
| 15.10.2026 | Luisa Meyer Auf Der Heide | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 14.10.2026 | Francesca Gandolfi | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 09.10.2026 | Eleonora Alvisi | W | 6-3, 6-0 |
| 08.10.2026 | Nina Radovanovic | W | 2-6, 6-3, 6-1 |
| 07.10.2026 | Tena Lukas | W | 6-1, 6-2 |
Matilde Paoletti, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22.10.2026 | Alessandra Mazzola | L | 7-6, 7-6 |
| 21.10.2026 | Ginevra Parentini Vallega Montebruno | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 16.10.2026 | Jessica Pieri | L | 3-6, 6-1, 6-2 |
| 16.10.2026 | Jessica Pieri | L | 3-6, 6-1, 6-2 |
| 15.10.2026 | Chiara Fornasieri | W | 6-2, 7-5 |
| 14.10.2026 | Giulia Paterno | W | 6-0, 6-0 |
| 09.10.2026 | Alessandra Mazzola | L | 6-4, 1-6, 7-6 |
| 08.10.2026 | Eva Bennemann | W | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 07.10.2026 | Francesca Gandolfi | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 18.09.2026 | Alisa Oktiabreva | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Jessica Pieri | Matilde Paoletti |
|---|---|---|
| Francesca Gandolfi | 1-0 W 6-2, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-3 |
| Marianna Argyrokastriti | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-0 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-3 |
| Mia Ristic | 1-1 W 6-4, 6-4, L 6-1, 6-1 |
0-1 L 5-7, 7-5, 6-4 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-15: WTA Santa Margherita Di Pula (X) (Italy), model gave Jessica Pieri 51% at +113
Jessica Pieri vs Matilde Paoletti: quick answers
Who won Jessica Pieri vs Matilde Paoletti?
Jessica Pieri beat Matilde Paoletti 3-6, 6-1, 6-2, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Jessica Pieri and Matilde Paoletti?
Jessica Pieri leads 2-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 16, 2026, won by Jessica Pieri 3-6, 6-1, 6-2 at Italy Santa Margherita Di Pula IX.
Who is in better form, Jessica Pieri or Matilde Paoletti?
Jessica Pieri is 9-1 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Matilde Paoletti is 5-5 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Jessica Pieri and Matilde Paoletti?
Jessica Pieri is rated 6658 (WTA #323) and Matilde Paoletti is rated 6573 (WTA #436). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Jessica Pieri vs Matilde Paoletti?
Jessica Pieri is priced at +113 and Matilde Paoletti at -159, which implies a 47% and 61% chance to win. The model rates Jessica Pieri 4 points higher than the odds do (51% vs 47%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.