Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Polona Hercog

WTA Lisboa (Portugal), Clay. Friday, October 16, 2026, 04:30.

Updated

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro beat Polona Hercog 4-6, 6-1, 6-4, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Jessica Bouzas Maneiro leads 2-0 in their head-to-head. Maneiro is 8-2 in their last 10, Hercog 5-5.

Result: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro beat Polona Hercog 4-6, 6-1, 6-4. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Jessica Bouzas Maneiro a 81% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
81%
Book
82%

Model minus book: -1 pts

Model
19%
Book
27%

Model minus book: -8 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Jessica Bouzas Maneiro at -455 · Model track record

Player comparison

Jessica Bouzas ManeiroPolona Hercog
Tennis Gauge rating69556784
Tour rankWTA #88WTA #210
Last 10 matches8-25-5
Last 30 days7-24-3
Current streak1 Loss1 Loss
Season record28-2936-24
UTR12.211.64
Elo (52 weeks)17231542
Best surfaceGrassGrass
Worst surfaceHardHard

Head to head

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro leads 2-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
16.10.2026Jessica Bouzas Maneiro4-6, 6-1, 6-4Portugal Lisboa
16.10.2026Jessica Bouzas Maneiro4-6, 6-1, 6-4WTA 125K Lisbon

Recent form

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro, last 10

DateOpponentScore
17.10.2026Clara Burel L6-4, 6-4
16.10.2026Polona Hercog W4-6, 6-1, 6-4
16.10.2026Polona Hercog W4-6, 6-1, 6-4
14.10.2026Irene Burillo Escorihuela W6-3, 3-6, 7-5
13.10.2026Milana Ivantsiv W6-2, 6-1
04.10.2026Alexandra Shubladze L6-3, 6-2
03.10.2026Aliona Falei W6-3, 6-3
02.10.2026Sofya Lansere W6-2, 6-2
01.10.2026Yuhan Wang W6-0, 6-2
29.09.2026Fangran Tian W6-3, 4-1

Polona Hercog, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Valeriya Strakhova L2-6, 6-2, 6-2
27.10.2026Martina Capurro Taborda W7-6, 7-5
16.10.2026Jessica Bouzas Maneiro L4-6, 6-1, 6-4
16.10.2026Jessica Bouzas Maneiro L4-6, 6-1, 6-4
14.10.2026Jazmin Ortenzi W6-3, 3-6, 6-3
13.10.2026Madalena Matias W6-0, 6-0
06.10.2026Alena Kovackova L6-4, 6-3
02.10.2026Lisa Pigato L7-5, 4-6, 6-2
01.10.2026Naiktha Bains W6-3, 2-6, 6-3
30.09.2026Ayana Akli W6-2, 5-7, 6-2

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentJessica Bouzas ManeiroPolona Hercog
Fangran Tian 1-0
W 6-3, 4-1
1-0
W 6-7, 6-3, 6-4
Xiyu Wang 0-1
L 4-6, 6-4, 6-2
0-1
L 6-3, 6-7, 6-4

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-15: WTA Lisboa (Portugal), model gave Jessica Bouzas Maneiro 81% at -455

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Polona Hercog: quick answers

Who won Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Polona Hercog?

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro beat Polona Hercog 4-6, 6-1, 6-4, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Jessica Bouzas Maneiro and Polona Hercog?

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro leads 2-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 16, 2026, won by Jessica Bouzas Maneiro 4-6, 6-1, 6-4 at Portugal Lisboa.

Who is in better form, Jessica Bouzas Maneiro or Polona Hercog?

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro is 8-2 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Polona Hercog is 5-5 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Jessica Bouzas Maneiro and Polona Hercog?

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro is rated 6955 (WTA #88) and Polona Hercog is rated 6784 (WTA #210). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Polona Hercog?

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro is priced at -455 and Polona Hercog at +275, which implies a 82% and 27% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.