Jesse De Jager vs Rodrigo Leal
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Jesse De Jager, giving them a 72% chance to win against Rodrigo Leal (28%). Jesse De Jager leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Jager is 6-4 in their last 10, Leal 2-8. At -179, the odds imply 64% for Jesse De Jager, below the model's 72%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Jesse De Jager a 72% favorite. At -179 the sportsbook implies 64% for Jesse De Jager, 8 points below the model's 72%.
Model minus book: +8 pts
Model minus book: -17 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Jesse De Jager at -179 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Jesse De Jager | Rodrigo Leal | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6295 | 6185 |
| Tour rank | ATP #1178 | ATP #1683 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 2-8 |
| Last 30 days | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Current streak | 6 Wins | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 29-19 | 13-17 |
| UTR | 13.08 | 12.18 |
Head to head
Jesse De Jager leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.10.2026 | Jesse De Jager | 6-1, 6-3 | EUR UTR Pro Tennis Series |
Recent form
Jesse De Jager, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25.10.2026 | Miguel Semedo | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 24.10.2026 | Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 23.10.2026 | Mihai Alexandru Coman | W | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 22.10.2026 | Taymur Muhammad | W | 6-0, 6-2 |
| 20.10.2026 | Rodrigo Leal | W | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 19.10.2026 | Diogo Marques | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 23.09.2026 | Christian Djonov | L | 6-7, 6-4, 7-6 |
| 04.09.2026 | Aaron Eliscu | L | 6-4, 6-7, 1-0 |
| 02.09.2026 | Stijn Paardekooper | L | 6-4, 3-6, 4-0 |
| 20.08.2026 | Martin Van Der Meerschen | L | 6-2, 2-6, 6-2 |
Rodrigo Leal, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25.10.2026 | Baltazar Wiger Nordas | L | 6-0, 6-1 |
| 24.10.2026 | Diego Fernandez Flores | W | 7-5, 6-1 |
| 22.10.2026 | Diogo Marques | L | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 21.10.2026 | Taymur Muhammad | L | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 20.10.2026 | Jesse De Jager | L | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 19.10.2026 | Mihai Alexandru Coman | W | 6-3, 7-5 |
| 23.09.2026 | Jake Fellows | L | 6-1, 6-1 |
| 08.09.2026 | Fausto Tabacco | L | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 12.08.2026 | Tiago Pereira | L | 7-5, 6-1 |
| 16.07.2026 | Pavlos Tsitsipas | L | 7-5, 7-5 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Jesse De Jager | Rodrigo Leal |
|---|---|---|
| Diogo Marques | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-4, 7-6 |
| Mihai Alexandru Coman | 1-0 W 7-5, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-3, 7-5 |
| Taymur Muhammad | 1-0 W 6-0, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-1 |
Jesse De Jager vs Rodrigo Leal: quick answers
Who will win Jesse De Jager vs Rodrigo Leal?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Jesse De Jager, giving them a 72% chance to win against Rodrigo Leal (28%).
What is the head-to-head record between Jesse De Jager and Rodrigo Leal?
Jesse De Jager leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 20, 2026, won by Jesse De Jager 6-1, 6-3 at EUR UTR Pro Tennis Series.
Who is in better form, Jesse De Jager or Rodrigo Leal?
Jesse De Jager is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 6 Wins). Rodrigo Leal is 2-8 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Jesse De Jager and Rodrigo Leal?
Jesse De Jager is rated 6295 (ATP #1178) and Rodrigo Leal is rated 6185 (ATP #1683). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Jesse De Jager vs Rodrigo Leal?
Jesse De Jager is priced at -179 and Rodrigo Leal at +121, which implies a 64% and 45% chance to win. The model rates Jesse De Jager 8 points higher than the odds do (72% vs 64%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.