Sonay Kartal vs Jelena Ostapenko
Updated
Sonay Kartal beat Jelena Ostapenko 7-6, 7-6, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Sonay Kartal leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Kartal is 8-2 in their last 10, Ostapenko 6-4.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Sonay Kartal a 56% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: -1 pts
Model minus book: -3 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Sonay Kartal at -133 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Sonay Kartal | Jelena Ostapenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 7148 | 7120 |
| Tour rank | WTA #8 | WTA #17 |
| Last 10 matches | 8-2 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 6-2 | 6-2 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 2 Losses |
| Season record | 21-10 | 28-21 |
| UTR | 12.54 | 12.44 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1854 | 1820 |
| Best surface | Hard | Grass |
| Worst surface | Clay | Hard |
Head to head
Sonay Kartal leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.10.2026 | Sonay Kartal | 7-6, 7-6 | China Wuhan |
Recent form
Sonay Kartal, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.10.2026 | Maja Chwalinska | L | 2-6, 6-4, 6-2 |
| 17.10.2026 | Jelena Ostapenko | W | 7-6, 7-6 |
| 16.10.2026 | Elina Svitolina | W | 6-2, 2-6, 6-4 |
| 16.10.2026 | Elina Svitolina | W | 6-2, 2-6, 6-4 |
| 15.10.2026 | Jasmine Paolini | W | 6-2, 6-0 |
| 14.10.2026 | Belinda Bencic | W | 6-0, 7-5 |
| 12.10.2026 | Anhelina Kalinina | W | 7-5, 6-3 |
| 05.10.2026 | Alina Charaeva | L | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 03.10.2026 | Xin Yu Wang | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 01.10.2026 | Andrea Lazaro Garcia | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
Jelena Ostapenko, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.10.2026 | Belinda Bencic | L | 6-3, 1-1 |
| 17.10.2026 | Sonay Kartal | L | 7-6, 7-6 |
| 16.10.2026 | Diana Shnaider | W | 7-6, 6-1 |
| 16.10.2026 | Diana Shnaider | W | 7-6, 6-1 |
| 15.10.2026 | Leylah Fernandez | W | 6-1, 1-6, 6-4 |
| 14.10.2026 | Jessica Pegula | W | 2-6, 7-6, 6-3 |
| 13.10.2026 | Daria Kasatkina | W | 6-1, 6-1 |
| 05.10.2026 | Elise Mertens | L | 6-2, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 03.10.2026 | Paula Badosa | W | 7-6, 7-5 |
| 24.09.2026 | Taylah Preston | L | 6-4, 6-1 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Sonay Kartal | Jelena Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Anna Kalinskaya | 0-1 L 7-6, 6-1 |
1-1 W 6-1, 6-2, L 2-6, 6-1, 6-4 |
| Belinda Bencic | 1-0 W 6-0, 7-5 |
0-1 L 6-3, 1-1 |
| Ella Seidel | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-1 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-4 |
| Jasmine Paolini | 1-0 W 6-2, 6-0 |
1-0 W 5-7, 6-2, 7-5 |
| Magda Linette | 0-1 L 6-4, 3-6, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-2, 2-6, 6-2 |
| Sara Bejlek | 0-1 L 6-0, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-3 |
| Simona Waltert | 1-0 W 7-5, 2-6, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-2, 7-5 |
| Xin Yu Wang | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-2 |
0-1 L 4-6, 6-4, 6-4 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-16: WTA Wuhan (China), model gave Sonay Kartal 56% at -133
Sonay Kartal vs Jelena Ostapenko: quick answers
Who won Sonay Kartal vs Jelena Ostapenko?
Sonay Kartal beat Jelena Ostapenko 7-6, 7-6, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Sonay Kartal and Jelena Ostapenko?
Sonay Kartal leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 17, 2026, won by Sonay Kartal 7-6, 7-6 at China Wuhan.
Who is in better form, Sonay Kartal or Jelena Ostapenko?
Sonay Kartal is 8-2 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Jelena Ostapenko is 6-4 (current streak: 2 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Sonay Kartal and Jelena Ostapenko?
Sonay Kartal is rated 7148 (WTA #8) and Jelena Ostapenko is rated 7120 (WTA #17). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Sonay Kartal vs Jelena Ostapenko?
Sonay Kartal is priced at -133 and Jelena Ostapenko at +110, which implies a 57% and 48% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.