Polona Hercog vs Jazmin Ortenzi
Updated
Polona Hercog beat Jazmin Ortenzi 6-3, 3-6, 6-3, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Jazmin Ortenzi at 54%. Polona Hercog leads 2-1 in their head-to-head. Hercog is 5-5 in their last 10, Ortenzi 6-4.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Jazmin Ortenzi a 54% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: -7 pts
Model minus book: 0 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Jazmin Ortenzi at -118 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Polona Hercog | Jazmin Ortenzi | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6784 | 6776 |
| Tour rank | WTA #210 | WTA #220 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 3-3 | 4-2 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 2 Wins |
| Season record | 36-24 | 28-21 |
| UTR | 11.64 | 11.68 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1542 | 1484 |
| Best surface | Grass | Clay |
| Worst surface | Hard | Grass |
Head to head
Polona Hercog leads 2-1.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.2026 | Polona Hercog | 6-3, 3-6, 6-3 | Portugal Lisboa |
| 24.11.2025 | Jazmin Ortenzi | 6-4, 3-6, 6-1 | Argentina Buenos Aires |
| 18.11.2025 | Polona Hercog | 6-2, 6-2 | Chile Colina |
Recent form
Polona Hercog, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Valeriya Strakhova | L | 2-6, 6-2, 6-2 |
| 27.10.2026 | Martina Capurro Taborda | W | 7-6, 7-5 |
| 16.10.2026 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | L | 4-6, 6-1, 6-4 |
| 16.10.2026 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | L | 4-6, 6-1, 6-4 |
| 14.10.2026 | Jazmin Ortenzi | W | 6-3, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 13.10.2026 | Madalena Matias | W | 6-0, 6-0 |
| 06.10.2026 | Alena Kovackova | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 02.10.2026 | Lisa Pigato | L | 7-5, 4-6, 6-2 |
| 01.10.2026 | Naiktha Bains | W | 6-3, 2-6, 6-3 |
| 30.09.2026 | Ayana Akli | W | 6-2, 5-7, 6-2 |
Jazmin Ortenzi, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Lourdes Ayala | W | 6-0, 6-2 |
| 26.10.2026 | Victoria Bosio | W | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 14.10.2026 | Polona Hercog | L | 6-3, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 12.10.2026 | Barbora Palicova | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 09.10.2026 | Ane Mintegi Del Olmo | L | 3-6, 6-2, 6-2 |
| 08.10.2026 | Ilinca Dalina Amariei | W | 7-5, 7-5 |
| 07.10.2026 | Laura Mair | W | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 17.09.2026 | Paula Badosa | L | 4-6, 6-2, 6-2 |
| 16.09.2026 | Chloe Paquet | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 09.09.2026 | Mary Stoiana | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Polona Hercog | Jazmin Ortenzi |
|---|---|---|
| Ane Mintegi Del Olmo | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-2 |
0-1 L 3-6, 6-2, 6-2 |
| Ayana Akli | 1-0 W 6-2, 5-7, 6-2 |
1-0 W 5-7, 6-4, 6-0 |
| Bianca Andreescu | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-3, 7-5 |
| Elvina Kalieva | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-1 |
1-0 W 6-4, 5-7, 6-3 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-13: WTA Lisboa (Portugal), model gave Polona Hercog 46% at -111
Polona Hercog vs Jazmin Ortenzi: quick answers
Who won Polona Hercog vs Jazmin Ortenzi?
Polona Hercog beat Jazmin Ortenzi 6-3, 3-6, 6-3, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Jazmin Ortenzi at 54%.
What is the head-to-head record between Polona Hercog and Jazmin Ortenzi?
Polona Hercog leads 2-1. Their most recent meeting was on October 14, 2026, won by Polona Hercog 6-3, 3-6, 6-3 at Portugal Lisboa.
Who is in better form, Polona Hercog or Jazmin Ortenzi?
Polona Hercog is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Jazmin Ortenzi is 6-4 (current streak: 2 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Polona Hercog and Jazmin Ortenzi?
Polona Hercog is rated 6784 (WTA #210) and Jazmin Ortenzi is rated 6776 (WTA #220). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Polona Hercog vs Jazmin Ortenzi?
Polona Hercog is priced at -111 and Jazmin Ortenzi at -118, which implies a 53% and 54% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.