Matthew William Donald vs Javier Barranco Cosano
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Matthew William Donald, giving them a 68% chance to win against Javier Barranco Cosano (32%). Matthew William Donald leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Donald is 9-1 in their last 10, Cosano 5-5.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Matthew William Donald a 68% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: +1 pts
Model minus book: -11 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Matthew William Donald at -196 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Matthew William Donald | Javier Barranco Cosano | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6583 | 6493 |
| Tour rank | ATP #380 | ATP #536 |
| Last 10 matches | 9-1 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 15-2 | 4-4 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 65-31 | 25-20 |
| UTR | 14.16 | 13.94 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1459 | 1437 |
| Best surface | Clay | Clay |
| Worst surface | Hard | Hard |
Head to head
Matthew William Donald leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.10.2026 | Matthew William Donald | 4-6, 6-3, 6-1 | Italy Florence |
Recent form
Matthew William Donald, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23.10.2026 | Filippo Romano | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 22.10.2026 | Henry Searle | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 20.10.2026 | Carlos Sanchez Jover | W | 6-4, 5-7, 6-3 |
| 19.10.2026 | Javier Barranco Cosano | W | 4-6, 6-3, 6-1 |
| 18.10.2026 | Gabriele Pennaforti | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 17.10.2026 | Giorgio Tabacco | W | 6-0, 3-1 |
| 16.10.2026 | Alexander Weis | W | 5-7, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 16.10.2026 | Alexander Weis | W | 5-7, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 15.10.2026 | Jonas Forejtek | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 14.10.2026 | Giovanni Oradini | W | 5-0 |
Javier Barranco Cosano, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.10.2026 | Matthew William Donald | L | 4-6, 6-3, 6-1 |
| 18.10.2026 | Jacopo Landini | W | 6-0, 6-0 |
| 11.10.2026 | Ryan Nijboer | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 07.10.2026 | Oleksii Krutykh | L | 1-6, 6-4, 6-4 |
| 05.10.2026 | Nicolas Barrientos | W | 6-3, 1-0 |
| 04.10.2026 | Hugo Maia | W | 6-2, 6-0 |
| 01.10.2026 | Lorenzo Carboni | L | 6-0, 6-4 |
| 30.09.2026 | Oriol Font | W | 6-2, 6-0 |
| 21.09.2026 | John Sperle | L | 7-6, 1-2 |
| 20.09.2026 | Elia Ruffino | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Matthew William Donald | Javier Barranco Cosano |
|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Hassan | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-2 |
0-1 L 5-7, 6-3, 1-0 |
| Carles Cordoba | 1-0 W 6-1, 6-1 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-2 |
| Martin Krumich | 1-1 W 4-6, 6-1, 6-3, L 6-4, 7-5 |
1-0 W 2-6, 6-4, 6-4 |
| Peter Makk | 1-0 W 6-2, 6-2 |
1-0 W 3-6, 6-4, 7-5 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-19: ATP Florence (Italy), model gave Matthew William Donald 65% at -179
- 2026-10-18: ATP Florence (Italy), model gave Matthew William Donald 65% at -179
Matthew William Donald vs Javier Barranco Cosano: quick answers
Who will win Matthew William Donald vs Javier Barranco Cosano?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Matthew William Donald, giving them a 68% chance to win against Javier Barranco Cosano (32%).
What is the head-to-head record between Matthew William Donald and Javier Barranco Cosano?
Matthew William Donald leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 19, 2026, won by Matthew William Donald 4-6, 6-3, 6-1 at Italy Florence.
Who is in better form, Matthew William Donald or Javier Barranco Cosano?
Matthew William Donald is 9-1 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Javier Barranco Cosano is 5-5 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Matthew William Donald and Javier Barranco Cosano?
Matthew William Donald is rated 6583 (ATP #380) and Javier Barranco Cosano is rated 6493 (ATP #536). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Matthew William Donald vs Javier Barranco Cosano?
Matthew William Donald is priced at -196 and Javier Barranco Cosano at +133, which implies a 66% and 43% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.