Jasmine Paolini vs Sonay Kartal
Updated
Sonay Kartal beat Jasmine Paolini 6-2, 6-0, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Sonay Kartal leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Paolini is 4-6 in their last 10, Kartal 8-2.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Sonay Kartal a 54% favorite. At +120 the sportsbook implies 45% for Sonay Kartal, 9 points below the model's 54%.
Model minus book: -14 pts
Model minus book: +9 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Sonay Kartal at +120 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Jasmine Paolini | Sonay Kartal | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 7071 | 7148 |
| Tour rank | WTA #33 | WTA #8 |
| Last 10 matches | 4-6 | 8-2 |
| Last 30 days | 3-2 | 4-2 |
| Current streak | 2 Losses | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 22-19 | 21-10 |
| UTR | 12.38 | 12.54 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1826 | 1854 |
| Best surface | Clay | Hard |
| Worst surface | Hard | Clay |
Head to head
Sonay Kartal leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15.10.2026 | Sonay Kartal | 6-2, 6-0 | China Wuhan |
Recent form
Jasmine Paolini, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.2026 | Naomi Osaka | L | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 22.10.2026 | Iva Jovic | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 20.10.2026 | Anhelina Kalinina | W | 6-2, 7-5 |
| 15.10.2026 | Sonay Kartal | L | 6-2, 6-0 |
| 14.10.2026 | Nikola Bartunkova | W | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 12.10.2026 | Sara Bejlek | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 02.10.2026 | Daria Snigur | L | 3-6, 7-6, 6-2 |
| 26.09.2026 | Elina Svitolina | L | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 24.09.2026 | Qinwen Zheng | W | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 04.09.2026 | Sorana Cirstea | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
Sonay Kartal, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.10.2026 | Maja Chwalinska | L | 2-6, 6-4, 6-2 |
| 17.10.2026 | Jelena Ostapenko | W | 7-6, 7-6 |
| 16.10.2026 | Elina Svitolina | W | 6-2, 2-6, 6-4 |
| 16.10.2026 | Elina Svitolina | W | 6-2, 2-6, 6-4 |
| 15.10.2026 | Jasmine Paolini | W | 6-2, 6-0 |
| 14.10.2026 | Belinda Bencic | W | 6-0, 7-5 |
| 12.10.2026 | Anhelina Kalinina | W | 7-5, 6-3 |
| 05.10.2026 | Alina Charaeva | L | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 03.10.2026 | Xin Yu Wang | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 01.10.2026 | Andrea Lazaro Garcia | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Jasmine Paolini | Sonay Kartal |
|---|---|---|
| Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 1-0 W 6-1, 6-2 |
1-1 L 6-4, 6-3, W 6-2, 6-4 |
| Anhelina Kalinina | 1-0 W 6-2, 7-5 |
1-1 W 7-5, 6-3, L 7-6, 1-6, 6-1 |
| Belinda Bencic | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-0, 7-5 |
| Cristina Bucsa | 0-1 L 7-5, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-3, 7-6 |
| Elina Svitolina | 0-1 L 6-2, 6-2 |
2-1 W 6-2, 2-6, 6-4, W 6-2, 2-6, 6-4, L 6-4, 6-7, 7-6 |
| Jelena Ostapenko | 0-1 L 5-7, 6-2, 7-5 |
1-0 W 7-6, 7-6 |
| Sara Bejlek | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-0, 6-2 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-14: WTA Wuhan (China), model gave Jasmine Paolini 46% at -152
Jasmine Paolini vs Sonay Kartal: quick answers
Who won Jasmine Paolini vs Sonay Kartal?
Sonay Kartal beat Jasmine Paolini 6-2, 6-0, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Jasmine Paolini and Sonay Kartal?
Sonay Kartal leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 15, 2026, won by Sonay Kartal 6-2, 6-0 at China Wuhan.
Who is in better form, Jasmine Paolini or Sonay Kartal?
Jasmine Paolini is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Sonay Kartal is 8-2 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Jasmine Paolini and Sonay Kartal?
Jasmine Paolini is rated 7071 (WTA #33) and Sonay Kartal is rated 7148 (WTA #8). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Jasmine Paolini vs Sonay Kartal?
Jasmine Paolini is priced at -152 and Sonay Kartal at +120, which implies a 60% and 45% chance to win. The model rates Sonay Kartal 9 points higher than the odds do (54% vs 45%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.