Jasmine Paolini vs Sara Bejlek
Updated
Jasmine Paolini beat Sara Bejlek 6-3, 6-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Sara Bejlek at 60%. Jasmine Paolini leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Paolini is 4-6 in their last 10, Bejlek 4-6.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Sara Bejlek a 60% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: -11 pts
Model minus book: +3 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Sara Bejlek at -135 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Jasmine Paolini | Sara Bejlek | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 7071 | 7068 |
| Tour rank | WTA #33 | WTA #36 |
| Last 10 matches | 4-6 | 4-6 |
| Last 30 days | 1-2 | 2-2 |
| Current streak | 2 Losses | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 22-19 | 27-21 |
| UTR | 12.38 | 12.47 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1831 | 1856 |
| Best surface | Clay | Hard |
| Worst surface | Grass | Grass |
Head to head
Jasmine Paolini leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12.10.2026 | Jasmine Paolini | 6-3, 6-4 | China Wuhan |
Recent form
Jasmine Paolini, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.2026 | Naomi Osaka | L | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 22.10.2026 | Iva Jovic | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 20.10.2026 | Anhelina Kalinina | W | 6-2, 7-5 |
| 15.10.2026 | Sonay Kartal | L | 6-2, 6-0 |
| 14.10.2026 | Nikola Bartunkova | W | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 12.10.2026 | Sara Bejlek | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 02.10.2026 | Daria Snigur | L | 3-6, 7-6, 6-2 |
| 26.09.2026 | Elina Svitolina | L | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 24.09.2026 | Qinwen Zheng | W | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 04.09.2026 | Sorana Cirstea | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
Sara Bejlek, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23.10.2026 | Marie Bouzkova | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 21.10.2026 | Sorana Cirstea | W | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 20.10.2026 | Alycia Parks | W | 4-6, 6-3, 6-3 |
| 12.10.2026 | Jasmine Paolini | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 04.10.2026 | Naomi Osaka | L | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 02.10.2026 | Maddison Inglis | W | 6-3, 7-5 |
| 17.09.2026 | Cristina Bucsa | L | 6-0, 6-4 |
| 15.09.2026 | Alycia Parks | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 31.08.2026 | Cristina Bucsa | L | 7-5, 4-6, 6-1 |
| 23.08.2026 | Coco Gauff | L | 6-4, 6-1 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Jasmine Paolini | Sara Bejlek |
|---|---|---|
| Belinda Bencic | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-3 |
0-1 L 7-6, 6-2 |
| Cristina Bucsa | 0-1 L 7-5, 6-4 |
0-2 L 6-0, 6-4, L 7-5, 4-6, 6-1 |
| Dayana Yastremska | 1-0 W 7-5, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-1, 6-2 |
| Iva Jovic | 0-2 L 6-4, 6-3, L 6-2, 7-6 |
0-1 L 7-6, 6-4 |
| Jelena Ostapenko | 0-1 L 5-7, 6-2, 7-5 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-3 |
| Laura Siegemund | 1-0 W 3-6, 6-2, 6-4 |
1-1 W 3-6, 7-6, 7-6, L 6-4, 6-4 |
| Naomi Osaka | 0-1 L 6-3, 7-6 |
0-1 L 7-6, 6-4 |
| Sonay Kartal | 0-1 L 6-2, 6-0 |
1-0 W 6-0, 6-2 |
| Sorana Cirstea | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-3 |
1-1 W 7-6, 6-4, L 6-1, 7-6 |
| Talia Gibson | 0-1 L 7-5, 2-6, 6-1 |
0-1 L 6-1, 6-0 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | 0-1 L 6-2, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-2 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-11: WTA Wuhan (China), model gave Jasmine Paolini 40% at -103
Jasmine Paolini vs Sara Bejlek: quick answers
Who won Jasmine Paolini vs Sara Bejlek?
Jasmine Paolini beat Sara Bejlek 6-3, 6-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Sara Bejlek at 60%.
What is the head-to-head record between Jasmine Paolini and Sara Bejlek?
Jasmine Paolini leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 12, 2026, won by Jasmine Paolini 6-3, 6-4 at China Wuhan.
Who is in better form, Jasmine Paolini or Sara Bejlek?
Jasmine Paolini is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Sara Bejlek is 4-6 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Jasmine Paolini and Sara Bejlek?
Jasmine Paolini is rated 7071 (WTA #33) and Sara Bejlek is rated 7068 (WTA #36). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Jasmine Paolini vs Sara Bejlek?
Jasmine Paolini is priced at -103 and Sara Bejlek at -135, which implies a 51% and 57% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.