Jannik Maute vs Oskari Paldanius
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Oskari Paldanius, giving them a 70% chance to win against Jannik Maute (30%). Oskari Paldanius leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Maute is 7-3 in their last 10, Paldanius 9-1. At +380, the odds imply 21% for Jannik Maute, below the model's 30%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Oskari Paldanius a 70% favorite. At +380 the sportsbook implies 21% for Jannik Maute, 9 points below the model's 30%.
Model minus book: +9 pts
Model minus book: -19 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Jannik Maute at +380 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Jannik Maute | Oskari Paldanius | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6361 | 6468 |
| Tour rank | ATP #912 | ATP #596 |
| Last 10 matches | 7-3 | 9-1 |
| Last 30 days | 1-2 | 7-1 |
| Current streak | 2 Wins | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 18-16 | 29-21 |
| UTR | 13.48 | 13.67 |
Head to head
Oskari Paldanius leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22.10.2026 | Oskari Paldanius | 7-6, 3-6, 4-0 | Egypt Sharm El Sheikh XVII |
Recent form
Jannik Maute, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Daniel Verbeek | W | 2-6, 6-3, 7-5 |
| 28.10.2026 | Nikita Ianin | W | 7-5, 3-6, 6-0 |
| 22.10.2026 | Oskari Paldanius | L | 7-6, 3-6, 4-0 |
| 21.10.2026 | John Bothma | W | 6-4, 6-0 |
| 13.10.2026 | Julien Penzlin | L | 6-1, 6-0 |
| 06.10.2026 | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini | L | 6-1, 4-0 |
| 30.08.2026 | Calvin Mueller | W | 6-2, 7-6 |
| 29.08.2026 | Thiago Cigarran | W | 1-6, 6-4, 7-6 |
| 28.08.2026 | Jaron Held | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 27.08.2026 | Daniel Salazar | W | 6-1, 6-4 |
Oskari Paldanius, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25.10.2026 | Arda Azkara | L | 2-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 24.10.2026 | Sergey Petrov | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 23.10.2026 | Volodymyr Iakubenko | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 22.10.2026 | Jannik Maute | W | 7-6, 3-6, 4-0 |
| 21.10.2026 | Rihards Neimanis | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 18.10.2026 | Romain Faucon | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 17.10.2026 | Amr Elsayed Abdou Ahmed Mohamed | W | 2-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 16.10.2026 | Sergey Petrov | W | 6-1, 7-6 |
| 16.10.2026 | Sergey Petrov | W | 6-1, 7-6 |
| 15.10.2026 | Tymon Litwic | W | 7-5, 7-5 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-27: ATP Sharm El Sheikh XVII (Egypt), model gave Jannik Maute 30% at +380
- 2026-10-26: ATP Sharm El Sheikh XVII (Egypt), model gave Jannik Maute 30% at +380
- 2026-10-25: ATP Sharm El Sheikh XVII (Egypt), model gave Jannik Maute 30% at +380
- 2026-10-24: ATP Sharm El Sheikh XVII (Egypt), model gave Jannik Maute 30% at +380
- 2026-10-23: ATP Sharm El Sheikh XVII (Egypt), model gave Jannik Maute 30% at +380
- 2026-10-22: ATP Sharm El Sheikh XVII (Egypt), model gave Jannik Maute 30% at +380
- 2026-10-21: ATP Sharm El Sheikh XVII (Egypt), model gave Jannik Maute 30% at +380
Jannik Maute vs Oskari Paldanius: quick answers
Who will win Jannik Maute vs Oskari Paldanius?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Oskari Paldanius, giving them a 70% chance to win against Jannik Maute (30%).
What is the head-to-head record between Jannik Maute and Oskari Paldanius?
Oskari Paldanius leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 22, 2026, won by Oskari Paldanius 7-6, 3-6, 4-0 at Egypt Sharm El Sheikh XVII.
Who is in better form, Jannik Maute or Oskari Paldanius?
Jannik Maute is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Oskari Paldanius is 9-1 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Jannik Maute and Oskari Paldanius?
Jannik Maute is rated 6361 (ATP #912) and Oskari Paldanius is rated 6468 (ATP #596). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Jannik Maute vs Oskari Paldanius?
Jannik Maute is priced at +380 and Oskari Paldanius at -833, which implies a 21% and 89% chance to win. The model rates Jannik Maute 9 points higher than the odds do (30% vs 21%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.