Novak Djokovic vs Jan Lennard Struff
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Novak Djokovic, giving them a 81% chance to win against Jan Lennard Struff (19%). Jan Lennard Struff leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Djokovic is 5-5 in their last 10, Struff 7-3.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Novak Djokovic a 81% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: +3 pts
Model minus book: -7 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Novak Djokovic at -370 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Novak Djokovic | Jan Lennard Struff | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6947 | 6912 |
| Tour rank | ATP #15 | ATP #32 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 7-3 |
| Last 30 days | 5-1 | 6-3 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 2 Wins |
| Season record | 19-11 | 32-27 |
| UTR | 16.09 | 15.57 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 2063 | 1745 |
| Best surface | Hard | Grass |
| Worst surface | Clay | Hard |
Head to head
Jan Lennard Struff leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Jan Lennard Struff | 6-7, 7-5, 7-6 | Switzerland Basel |
Recent form
Novak Djokovic, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Jan Lennard Struff | L | 6-7, 7-5, 7-6 |
| 28.10.2026 | Ugo Humbert | W | 4-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 09.10.2026 | Hubert Hurkacz | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 06.10.2026 | Alex De Minaur | L | 7-6, 0-1 |
| 05.10.2026 | Daniil Medvedev | W | 7-5, 5-3 |
| 04.10.2026 | Alexander Zverev | W | 4-6, 6-4, 6-4 |
| 02.10.2026 | Bu Yunchaokete | W | 4-6, 7-6, 6-2 |
| 30.09.2026 | Nuno Borges | W | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 31.08.2026 | Mariano Navone | L | 7-6, 5-7, 4-6, 6-2, 6-1 |
| 15.08.2026 | Thiago Agustin Tirante | L | 2-6, 6-4, 6-4 |
Jan Lennard Struff, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Novak Djokovic | W | 6-7, 7-5, 7-6 |
| 28.10.2026 | Yannick Hanfmann | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 25.10.2026 | Tallon Griekspoor | L | 4-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 24.10.2026 | Arthur Fils | W | 6-4, 6-7, 7-6 |
| 23.10.2026 | Zizou Bergs | W | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 21.10.2026 | Gauthier Onclin | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 20.10.2026 | Marcos Giron | W | 7-6, 7-6 |
| 10.10.2026 | Daniil Medvedev | L | 4-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 08.10.2026 | Martin Landaluce | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 03.10.2026 | Daniil Medvedev | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Novak Djokovic | Jan Lennard Struff |
|---|---|---|
| Botic Van De Zandschulp | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-4, 7-6 |
0-1 L 6-3, 1-6, 6-1 |
| Daniil Medvedev | 1-0 W 7-5, 5-3 |
1-2 L 4-6, 6-4, 6-3, L 6-4, 6-3, W 7-6, 7-6, 7-5 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-3 |
1-0 W 3-6, 6-7, 7-6, 7-5, 4-2 |
| Jannik Sinner | 1-1 L 6-4, 6-4, 6-4, W 3-6, 6-3, 4-6, 6-4, 6-4 |
0-1 L 7-5, 7-6, 6-3 |
| Mariano Navone | 0-1 L 7-6, 5-7, 4-6, 6-2, 6-1 |
0-1 L 6-0, 6-3 |
| Nuno Borges | 1-0 W 6-3, 7-6 |
0-1 L 6-4, 7-5 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | 0-1 L 2-6, 6-4, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-1, 6-4 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-29: ATP Basel (Switzerland), model gave Novak Djokovic 81% at -370
Novak Djokovic vs Jan Lennard Struff: quick answers
Who will win Novak Djokovic vs Jan Lennard Struff?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Novak Djokovic, giving them a 81% chance to win against Jan Lennard Struff (19%).
What is the head-to-head record between Novak Djokovic and Jan Lennard Struff?
Jan Lennard Struff leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 29, 2026, won by Jan Lennard Struff 6-7, 7-5, 7-6 at Switzerland Basel.
Who is in better form, Novak Djokovic or Jan Lennard Struff?
Novak Djokovic is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Jan Lennard Struff is 7-3 (current streak: 2 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Novak Djokovic and Jan Lennard Struff?
Novak Djokovic is rated 6947 (ATP #15) and Jan Lennard Struff is rated 6912 (ATP #32). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Novak Djokovic vs Jan Lennard Struff?
Novak Djokovic is priced at -370 and Jan Lennard Struff at +284, which implies a 79% and 26% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.