James Duckworth vs Luciano Darderi

ATP Almaty (IX) (Kazakhstan), Indoors. Tuesday, October 20, 2026, 11:30.

Updated

James Duckworth beat Luciano Darderi 7-5, 7-6, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Luciano Darderi at 76%. James Duckworth leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Duckworth is 3-7 in their last 10, Darderi 5-5.

Result: James Duckworth beat Luciano Darderi 7-5, 7-6. An upset by the model's numbers: it favored Luciano Darderi.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Luciano Darderi a 76% favorite. At -119 the sportsbook implies 54% for Luciano Darderi, 21 points below the model's 76%.

Model
24%
Book
51%

Model minus book: -27 pts

Model
76%
Book
54%

Model minus book: +21 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Luciano Darderi at -119 · Model track record

Player comparison

James DuckworthLuciano Darderi
Tennis Gauge rating68286909
Tour rankATP #102ATP #36
Last 10 matches3-75-5
Last 30 days1-31-2
Current streak2 Losses1 Loss
Season record38-3137-27
UTR15.5315.82
Elo (52 weeks)16651820
Best surfaceHardClay
Worst surfaceClayGrass

Head to head

James Duckworth leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
21.10.2026James Duckworth7-5, 7-6Kazakhstan Almaty

Recent form

James Duckworth, last 10

DateOpponentScore
24.10.2026Aleksandar Kovacevic L7-6, 6-3
23.10.2026Stefanos Tsitsipas L6-3, 6-4
21.10.2026Luciano Darderi W7-5, 7-6
19.10.2026Miomir Kecmanovic W6-4, 6-3
14.10.2026Liam Draxl L6-4, 6-4
08.10.2026Hubert Hurkacz L6-3, 7-6
24.09.2026Lorenzo Sonego L6-4, 6-4
19.09.2026Kamil Majchrzak L2-6, 6-3, 6-3
03.09.2026Yibing Wu L7-5, 6-3, 6-1
31.08.2026Matteo Arnaldi W5-7, 6-3, 6-2, 7-6

Luciano Darderi, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Tommy Paul L6-1, 6-1
26.10.2026Matteo Arnaldi W7-5, 6-2
21.10.2026James Duckworth L7-5, 7-6
10.10.2026Stefanos Tsitsipas L6-3, 6-4
02.10.2026Kyrian Jacquet L6-3, 7-6
01.10.2026Casper Ruud W7-6, 6-3
08.09.2026Alexander Zverev L6-2, 6-2, 7-6
05.09.2026Dane Sweeny W6-4, 6-3, 6-3
03.09.2026Dalibor Svrcina W6-3, 6-7, 6-4, 6-4
31.08.2026Harry Wendelken W6-2, 3-6, 6-2, 7-5

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentJames DuckworthLuciano Darderi
Alex De Minaur 0-1
L 6-2, 7-6
0-1
L 6-0, 6-3
Dalibor Svrcina 0-2
L 6-2, 6-4, L 6-4, 6-1
1-0
W 6-3, 6-7, 6-4, 6-4
Dane Sweeny 1-1
L 7-6, 5-7, 7-6, W 6-2, 6-3
1-0
W 6-4, 6-3, 6-3
Gabriel Diallo 1-0
W 6-3, 4-1
0-1
L 6-4, 2-3
Hubert Hurkacz 0-1
L 6-3, 7-6
0-1
L 7-6, 5-7, 6-1
Jannik Sinner 0-1
L 6-1, 6-4, 6-2
0-1
L 6-1, 6-3, 7-6
Mariano Navone 1-0
W 6-3, 7-6
1-0
W 6-3, 3-6, 6-4
Matteo Arnaldi 1-0
W 5-7, 6-3, 6-2, 7-6
1-0
W 7-5, 6-2
Nuno Borges 0-1
L 3-6, 6-4, 6-2
2-1
W 4-6, 6-3, 7-5, W 7-6, 6-4, L 7-6, 6-4
Rafael Jodar 0-1
L 6-1, 6-7, 6-4, 7-5
1-0
W 7-6, 5-7, 6-0
Stefanos Tsitsipas 0-1
L 6-3, 6-4
0-1
L 6-3, 6-4

James Duckworth vs Luciano Darderi: quick answers

Who won James Duckworth vs Luciano Darderi?

James Duckworth beat Luciano Darderi 7-5, 7-6, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Luciano Darderi at 76%.

What is the head-to-head record between James Duckworth and Luciano Darderi?

James Duckworth leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 21, 2026, won by James Duckworth 7-5, 7-6 at Kazakhstan Almaty.

Who is in better form, James Duckworth or Luciano Darderi?

James Duckworth is 3-7 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Luciano Darderi is 5-5 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate James Duckworth and Luciano Darderi?

James Duckworth is rated 6828 (ATP #102) and Luciano Darderi is rated 6909 (ATP #36). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for James Duckworth vs Luciano Darderi?

James Duckworth is priced at -104 and Luciano Darderi at -119, which implies a 51% and 54% chance to win. The model rates Luciano Darderi 21 points higher than the odds do (76% vs 54%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.