Liam Draxl vs James Duckworth

ATP Jinan (China), Hard. Wednesday, October 14, 2026, 08:00.

Updated

Liam Draxl beat James Duckworth 6-4, 6-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored James Duckworth at 67%. Liam Draxl leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Draxl is 7-3 in their last 10, Duckworth 3-7.

Result: Liam Draxl beat James Duckworth 6-4, 6-4. An upset by the model's numbers: it favored James Duckworth.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes James Duckworth a 67% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Liam Draxl +150
Model
33%
Book
40%

Model minus book: -7 pts

Model
67%
Book
68%

Model minus book: -1 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of James Duckworth at -208 · Model track record

Player comparison

Liam DraxlJames Duckworth
Tennis Gauge rating67506828
Tour rankATP #155ATP #102
Last 10 matches7-33-7
Last 30 days5-20-3
Current streak1 Loss2 Losses
Season record43-2738-31
UTR14.7415.53
Elo (52 weeks)15981669
Best surfaceHardHard
Worst surfaceGrassClay

Head to head

Liam Draxl leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
14.10.2026Liam Draxl6-4, 6-4China Jinan

Recent form

Liam Draxl, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Daniil Ostapenkov L4-5
27.10.2026Tomasz Berkieta W7-6, 7-6
17.10.2026Martin Landaluce L7-6, 6-3
16.10.2026Tomas Machac W6-4, 3-6, 6-4
16.10.2026Tomas Machac W6-4, 3-6, 6-4
15.10.2026Ilya Ivashka W6-4, 0-6, 6-4
14.10.2026James Duckworth W6-4, 6-4
13.10.2026Omar Jasika W5-7, 7-6, 6-4
11.10.2026Yutong Du W6-1, 6-0
06.10.2026Nikoloz Basilashvili L5-7, 7-5, 6-4

James Duckworth, last 10

DateOpponentScore
24.10.2026Aleksandar Kovacevic L7-6, 6-3
23.10.2026Stefanos Tsitsipas L6-3, 6-4
21.10.2026Luciano Darderi W7-5, 7-6
19.10.2026Miomir Kecmanovic W6-4, 6-3
14.10.2026Liam Draxl L6-4, 6-4
08.10.2026Hubert Hurkacz L6-3, 7-6
24.09.2026Lorenzo Sonego L6-4, 6-4
19.09.2026Kamil Majchrzak L2-6, 6-3, 6-3
03.09.2026Yibing Wu L7-5, 6-3, 6-1
31.08.2026Matteo Arnaldi W5-7, 6-3, 6-2, 7-6

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentLiam DraxlJames Duckworth
Andres Andrade 0-1
L 6-2, 6-3
0-1
L 3-6, 6-3, 7-5
Moerani Bouzige 2-0
W 7-6, 6-3, W 6-4, 6-2
1-0
W 6-4, 6-1
Nicolas Mejia 1-0
W 6-4, 6-7, 6-4
0-1
L 7-6, 6-2
Omar Jasika 1-0
W 5-7, 7-6, 6-4
1-0
W 6-0, 3-2
Tomas Machac 2-0
W 6-4, 3-6, 6-4, W 6-4, 3-6, 6-4
0-1
L 6-3, 6-3
Tristan Schoolkate 0-1
L 4-6, 7-5, 7-6
1-0
W 6-3, 6-2

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-13: ATP Jinan (China), model gave Liam Draxl 33% at +150

Liam Draxl vs James Duckworth: quick answers

Who won Liam Draxl vs James Duckworth?

Liam Draxl beat James Duckworth 6-4, 6-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored James Duckworth at 67%.

What is the head-to-head record between Liam Draxl and James Duckworth?

Liam Draxl leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 14, 2026, won by Liam Draxl 6-4, 6-4 at China Jinan.

Who is in better form, Liam Draxl or James Duckworth?

Liam Draxl is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). James Duckworth is 3-7 (current streak: 2 Losses).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Liam Draxl and James Duckworth?

Liam Draxl is rated 6750 (ATP #155) and James Duckworth is rated 6828 (ATP #102). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Liam Draxl vs James Duckworth?

Liam Draxl is priced at +150 and James Duckworth at -208, which implies a 40% and 68% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.