Michele Ribecai vs Jacopo Vasami

ATP Florence (Italy), Clay. Wednesday, October 21, 2026, 08:00.

Updated

Tennis Gauge's model favors Jacopo Vasami, giving them a 60% chance to win against Michele Ribecai (40%). Michele Ribecai leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Ribecai is 6-4 in their last 10, Vasami 4-6. At +116, the odds imply 46% for Jacopo Vasami, below the model's 60%.

This preview is from Wednesday, October 21, 2026. The result isn't in the database yet.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Jacopo Vasami a 60% favorite. At +116 the sportsbook implies 46% for Jacopo Vasami, 14 points below the model's 60%.

Model
40%
Book
61%

Model minus book: -21 pts

Model
60%
Book
46%

Model minus book: +14 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Jacopo Vasami at +116 · Model track record

Player comparison

Michele RibecaiJacopo Vasami
Tennis Gauge rating66836667
Tour rankATP #243ATP #261
Last 10 matches6-44-6
Last 30 days3-20-1
Current streak1 Loss4 Losses
Season record39-3423-17
UTR14.3814.44
Elo (52 weeks)14061471
Best surfaceHardClay
Worst surfaceClayHard

Head to head

Michele Ribecai leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
19.10.2026Michele Ribecai4-6, 6-0, 4-2Italy Florence

Recent form

Michele Ribecai, last 10

DateOpponentScore
25.10.2026Filippo Romano L6-3, 4-6, 6-2
24.10.2026Oriol Roca Batalla W7-5, 6-4
23.10.2026Filip Misolic W6-2, 6-1
22.10.2026Max Houkes W3-6, 6-3, 6-0
19.10.2026Jacopo Vasami W4-6, 6-0, 4-2
13.10.2026Radu Mihai Papoe L6-3, 6-4
09.10.2026Jonas Forejtek L6-1, 1-6, 7-6
07.10.2026Zdenek Kolar W6-1, 6-1
06.10.2026Benito Sanchez Martinez W5-7, 7-5, 6-0
20.09.2026Mathys Domenc L6-4, 6-3

Jacopo Vasami, last 10

DateOpponentScore
19.10.2026Michele Ribecai L4-6, 6-0, 4-2
28.07.2026Juan Pablo Varillas L6-2, 6-2
29.06.2026Daniel Rincon L6-2, 1-0
17.06.2026Buvaysar Gadamauri L6-4, 7-6
16.06.2026Ilia Simakin W6-3, 6-4
03.06.2026Pablo Llamas Ruiz L7-6, 6-3
02.06.2026Cezar Cretu W7-6, 6-4
31.05.2026Lukas Neumayer L6-2, 6-2
30.05.2026Stefano Travaglia W7-5, 7-6
29.05.2026Yu Hsiou Hsu W6-2, 6-3

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentMichele RibecaiJacopo Vasami
Andrea Guerrieri 1-2
L 4-6, 7-5, 6-2, W 6-2, 6-4, L 3-6, 6-1, 6-2
0-1
L 7-6, 7-6
George Loffhagen 0-1
L 6-2, 6-2
0-1
L 7-5, 6-3
Giorgio Tabacco 1-0
W 6-4, 6-3
1-0
W 6-1, 7-6
Henri Squire 1-0
W 6-4, 6-1
1-0
W 6-0, 6-3
Jacopo Berrettini 1-0
W 6-1, 6-2
0-1
L 6-3, 6-3
Lukas Neumayer 0-1
L 2-6, 6-3, 6-3
0-2
L 6-2, 6-2, L 6-1, 3-0
Pablo Llamas Ruiz 0-1
L 6-4, 3-6, 7-6
0-1
L 7-6, 6-3
Stefanos Sakellaridis 1-0
W 7-6, 6-3
1-0
W 6-4, 6-3

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-19: ATP Florence (Italy), model gave Michele Ribecai 40% at -164
  • 2026-10-18: ATP Florence (Italy), model gave Michele Ribecai 40% at -164

Michele Ribecai vs Jacopo Vasami: quick answers

Who will win Michele Ribecai vs Jacopo Vasami?

Tennis Gauge's model favors Jacopo Vasami, giving them a 60% chance to win against Michele Ribecai (40%).

What is the head-to-head record between Michele Ribecai and Jacopo Vasami?

Michele Ribecai leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 19, 2026, won by Michele Ribecai 4-6, 6-0, 4-2 at Italy Florence.

Who is in better form, Michele Ribecai or Jacopo Vasami?

Michele Ribecai is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Jacopo Vasami is 4-6 (current streak: 4 Losses).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Michele Ribecai and Jacopo Vasami?

Michele Ribecai is rated 6683 (ATP #243) and Jacopo Vasami is rated 6667 (ATP #261). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Michele Ribecai vs Jacopo Vasami?

Michele Ribecai is priced at -159 and Jacopo Vasami at +116, which implies a 61% and 46% chance to win. The model rates Jacopo Vasami 14 points higher than the odds do (60% vs 46%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.