Jacob Fearnley vs Maxim Mrva

ATP Olbia (X) (Italy), Hard. Friday, October 16, 2026, 06:00.

Updated

Jacob Fearnley beat Maxim Mrva 6-0, 7-6, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Jacob Fearnley leads 2-0 in their head-to-head. Fearnley is 7-3 in their last 10, Mrva 5-5.

Result: Jacob Fearnley beat Maxim Mrva 6-0, 7-6. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Jacob Fearnley a 80% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
80%
Book
78%

Model minus book: +2 pts

Maxim Mrva +243
Model
20%
Book
29%

Model minus book: -10 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Jacob Fearnley at -357 · Model track record

Player comparison

Jacob FearnleyMaxim Mrva
Tennis Gauge rating68386700
Tour rankATP #89ATP #220
Last 10 matches7-35-5
Last 30 days2-13-1
Current streak1 Loss1 Loss
Season record38-2636-32
UTR15.2814.33
Elo (52 weeks)17031509
Best surfaceGrassGrass
Worst surfaceHardClay

Head to head

Jacob Fearnley leads 2-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
16.10.2026Jacob Fearnley6-0, 7-6Italy Olbia
16.10.2026Jacob Fearnley6-0, 7-6Italy Olbia

Recent form

Jacob Fearnley, last 10

DateOpponentScore
26.10.2026Arthur Fery L5-1
25.10.2026Lorenzo Sonego W6-1, 6-7, 6-4
24.10.2026Pablo Carreno Busta W6-4, 3-6, 6-3
21.10.2026Clement Chidekh L7-6, 6-2
20.10.2026Hugo Gaston W6-3, 6-0
18.10.2026Damir Dzumhur L7-6, 6-3
17.10.2026Luca Nardi W6-2, 6-4
16.10.2026Maxim Mrva W6-0, 7-6
16.10.2026Maxim Mrva W6-0, 7-6
15.10.2026Jan Kumstat W6-4, 6-3

Maxim Mrva, last 10

DateOpponentScore
19.10.2026Pierre Hugues Herbert L4-6, 6-3, 6-1
18.10.2026Dusan Lajovic W7-6, 7-6
16.10.2026Jacob Fearnley L6-0, 7-6
16.10.2026Jacob Fearnley L6-0, 7-6
15.10.2026Francesco Maestrelli W6-3, 6-4
13.10.2026Hynek Barton W6-2, 2-1
24.09.2026Izan Almazan Valiente L7-5, 0-6, 6-2
22.09.2026Mykyta Mashtakov W6-4, 4-6, 6-2
07.9.2026Marvin Moeller L5-2
03.09.2026Federico Iannaccone L6-4, 6-4

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentJacob FearnleyMaxim Mrva
Jan Kumstat 1-0
W 6-4, 6-3
0-1
L 6-1, 7-5

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-15: ATP Olbia (X) (Italy), model gave Jacob Fearnley 80% at -357

Jacob Fearnley vs Maxim Mrva: quick answers

Who won Jacob Fearnley vs Maxim Mrva?

Jacob Fearnley beat Maxim Mrva 6-0, 7-6, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Jacob Fearnley and Maxim Mrva?

Jacob Fearnley leads 2-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 16, 2026, won by Jacob Fearnley 6-0, 7-6 at Italy Olbia.

Who is in better form, Jacob Fearnley or Maxim Mrva?

Jacob Fearnley is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Maxim Mrva is 5-5 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Jacob Fearnley and Maxim Mrva?

Jacob Fearnley is rated 6838 (ATP #89) and Maxim Mrva is rated 6700 (ATP #220). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Jacob Fearnley vs Maxim Mrva?

Jacob Fearnley is priced at -357 and Maxim Mrva at +243, which implies a 78% and 29% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.