Jacob Fearnley vs Luca Nardi
Updated
Jacob Fearnley beat Luca Nardi 6-2, 6-4, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Jacob Fearnley leads 2-0 in their head-to-head. Fearnley is 7-3 in their last 10, Nardi 4-6.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Jacob Fearnley a 74% favorite. At -208 the sportsbook implies 68% for Jacob Fearnley, 7 points below the model's 74%.
Model minus book: +7 pts
Model minus book: -15 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Jacob Fearnley at -208 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Jacob Fearnley | Luca Nardi | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6838 | 6695 |
| Tour rank | ATP #89 | ATP #224 |
| Last 10 matches | 7-3 | 4-6 |
| Last 30 days | 4-1 | 3-1 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 38-26 | 19-23 |
| UTR | 15.28 | 14.54 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1703 | 1560 |
| Best surface | Grass | Hard |
| Worst surface | Hard | Grass |
Head to head
Jacob Fearnley leads 2-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.10.2026 | Jacob Fearnley | 6-2, 6-4 | Italy Olbia |
| 10.06.2026 | Jacob Fearnley | 4-6, 6-0, 6-3 | United Kingdom Illkley |
Recent form
Jacob Fearnley, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26.10.2026 | Arthur Fery | L | 5-1 |
| 25.10.2026 | Lorenzo Sonego | W | 6-1, 6-7, 6-4 |
| 24.10.2026 | Pablo Carreno Busta | W | 6-4, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 21.10.2026 | Clement Chidekh | L | 7-6, 6-2 |
| 20.10.2026 | Hugo Gaston | W | 6-3, 6-0 |
| 18.10.2026 | Damir Dzumhur | L | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 17.10.2026 | Luca Nardi | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 16.10.2026 | Maxim Mrva | W | 6-0, 7-6 |
| 16.10.2026 | Maxim Mrva | W | 6-0, 7-6 |
| 15.10.2026 | Jan Kumstat | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
Luca Nardi, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.10.2026 | Jacob Fearnley | L | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 16.10.2026 | Michael Mmoh | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 14.10.2026 | Lorenzo Carboni | W | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 13.10.2026 | August Holmgren | W | 4-6, 6-4, 6-4 |
| 05.10.2026 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz | L | 6-1, 7-6 |
| 25.08.2026 | Federico Cina | L | 6-4, 3-0 |
| 11.07.2026 | Andrea Guerrieri | L | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 24.06.2026 | Otto Virtanen | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 22.06.2026 | Rio Noguchi | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 15.06.2026 | Remy Bertola | L | 3-6, 7-6, 7-6 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Jacob Fearnley | Luca Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| Aleksandar Vukic | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-7, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-7, 6-3, 6-2 |
| Arthur Bouquier | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-4, 4-6, 7-6 |
| Kyrian Jacquet | 0-1 L 7-6, 1-6, 6-3 |
0-1 L 7-5, 3-6, 6-4 |
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 1-0 W 3-6, 6-3, 10-7 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-0 |
| Pablo Carreno Busta | 1-0 W 6-4, 3-6, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-7, 6-4, 7-6 |
| Remy Bertola | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-4 |
0-2 L 3-6, 7-6, 7-6, L 6-2, 4-6, 6-3 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-16: ATP Olbia (X) (Italy), model gave Jacob Fearnley 74% at -208
Jacob Fearnley vs Luca Nardi: quick answers
Who won Jacob Fearnley vs Luca Nardi?
Jacob Fearnley beat Luca Nardi 6-2, 6-4, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Jacob Fearnley and Luca Nardi?
Jacob Fearnley leads 2-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 17, 2026, won by Jacob Fearnley 6-2, 6-4 at Italy Olbia.
Who is in better form, Jacob Fearnley or Luca Nardi?
Jacob Fearnley is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Luca Nardi is 4-6 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Jacob Fearnley and Luca Nardi?
Jacob Fearnley is rated 6838 (ATP #89) and Luca Nardi is rated 6695 (ATP #224). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Jacob Fearnley vs Luca Nardi?
Jacob Fearnley is priced at -208 and Luca Nardi at +145, which implies a 68% and 41% chance to win. The model rates Jacob Fearnley 7 points higher than the odds do (74% vs 68%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.