Jacob Fearnley vs Jan Kumstat
Updated
Jacob Fearnley beat Jan Kumstat 6-4, 6-3, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Jacob Fearnley leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Fearnley is 7-3 in their last 10, Kumstat 6-4.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Jacob Fearnley a 56% favorite. At +177 the sportsbook implies 36% for Jan Kumstat, 8 points below the model's 44%.
Model minus book: -15 pts
Model minus book: +8 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Jan Kumstat at +177 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Jacob Fearnley | Jan Kumstat | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6838 | 6653 |
| Tour rank | ATP #89 | ATP #278 |
| Last 10 matches | 7-3 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 1-1 | 1-0 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 3 Losses |
| Season record | 38-26 | 42-19 |
| UTR | 15.28 | 14.66 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1703 | 1734 |
| Best surface | Grass | Clay |
| Worst surface | Hard | Hard |
Head to head
Jacob Fearnley leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15.10.2026 | Jacob Fearnley | 6-4, 6-3 | Italy Olbia |
Recent form
Jacob Fearnley, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26.10.2026 | Arthur Fery | L | 5-1 |
| 25.10.2026 | Lorenzo Sonego | W | 6-1, 6-7, 6-4 |
| 24.10.2026 | Pablo Carreno Busta | W | 6-4, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 21.10.2026 | Clement Chidekh | L | 7-6, 6-2 |
| 20.10.2026 | Hugo Gaston | W | 6-3, 6-0 |
| 18.10.2026 | Damir Dzumhur | L | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 17.10.2026 | Luca Nardi | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 16.10.2026 | Maxim Mrva | W | 6-0, 7-6 |
| 16.10.2026 | Maxim Mrva | W | 6-0, 7-6 |
| 15.10.2026 | Jan Kumstat | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
Jan Kumstat, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.2026 | Sho Shimabukuro | L | 6-4, 6-0 |
| 18.10.2026 | Michael Mmoh | L | 6-1, 6-7, 6-3 |
| 15.10.2026 | Jacob Fearnley | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 13.10.2026 | Edas Butvilas | W | 7-6, 7-6 |
| 31.08.2026 | Juan Pablo Varillas | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 22.08.2026 | Chun Hsin Tseng | W | 5-7, 6-3, 6-0 |
| 21.08.2026 | Filip Cristian Jianu | W | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 20.08.2026 | Maxim Mrva | W | 6-1, 7-5 |
| 19.08.2026 | Sumit Nagal | W | 7-5, 6-3 |
| 18.08.2026 | Petr Brunclik | W | 7-5, 6-1 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Jacob Fearnley | Jan Kumstat |
|---|---|---|
| Maxim Mrva | 2-0 W 6-0, 7-6, W 6-0, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-1, 7-5 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-14: ATP Olbia (X) (Italy), model gave Jacob Fearnley 56% at -250
Jacob Fearnley vs Jan Kumstat: quick answers
Who won Jacob Fearnley vs Jan Kumstat?
Jacob Fearnley beat Jan Kumstat 6-4, 6-3, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Jacob Fearnley and Jan Kumstat?
Jacob Fearnley leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 15, 2026, won by Jacob Fearnley 6-4, 6-3 at Italy Olbia.
Who is in better form, Jacob Fearnley or Jan Kumstat?
Jacob Fearnley is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Jan Kumstat is 6-4 (current streak: 3 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Jacob Fearnley and Jan Kumstat?
Jacob Fearnley is rated 6838 (ATP #89) and Jan Kumstat is rated 6653 (ATP #278). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Jacob Fearnley vs Jan Kumstat?
Jacob Fearnley is priced at -250 and Jan Kumstat at +177, which implies a 71% and 36% chance to win. The model rates Jan Kumstat 8 points higher than the odds do (44% vs 36%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.