Manuel Mazza vs Ivan Ivanov

ATP Santa Margherita Di Pula VIII (Italy), Clay. Wednesday, October 7, 2026, 12:30.

Updated

Ivan Ivanov beat Manuel Mazza 6-3, 6-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Manuel Mazza at 57%. Ivan Ivanov leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Mazza is 7-3 in their last 10, Ivanov 5-5.

Result: Ivan Ivanov beat Manuel Mazza 6-3, 6-4. An upset by the model's numbers: it favored Manuel Mazza.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Manuel Mazza a 57% favorite. At +143 the sportsbook implies 41% for Manuel Mazza, 16 points below the model's 57%.

Model
57%
Book
41%

Model minus book: +16 pts

Model
43%
Book
67%

Model minus book: -24 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Manuel Mazza at +143 · Model track record

Player comparison

Manuel MazzaIvan Ivanov
Tennis Gauge rating64806538
Tour rankATP #558ATP #451
Last 10 matches7-35-5
Last 30 days1-02-1
Current streak1 Loss3 Losses
Season record29-2338-26
UTR13.9613.87
Elo (52 weeks)–1254
Best surface–Hard
Worst surface–Clay

Head to head

Ivan Ivanov leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
08.10.2026Ivan Ivanov6-3, 6-4Italy Santa Margherita Di Pula VIII

Recent form

Manuel Mazza, last 10

DateOpponentScore
21.10.2026Andrey Chepelev L6-3, 6-1
20.10.2026Riccardo Di Vita W6-1, 6-1
08.10.2026Ivan Ivanov L6-3, 6-4
06.10.2026Lorenzo Berto W6-3, 6-1
06.09.2026Gabriele Bosio W5-7, 6-4, 6-3
05.09.2026Gabriele Crivellaro W6-4, 6-4
04.09.2026Gabriele Maria Noce W7-5, 6-4
03.09.2026Jacopo Bilardo W6-2, 3-6, 6-1
01.09.2026Giacomo Crisostomo W6-2, 7-5
22.08.2026Daniele Rapagnetta L6-4, 7-5

Ivan Ivanov, last 10

DateOpponentScore
20.10.2026Izan Almazan Valiente L6-3, 3-0
12.10.2026Gabriele Crivellaro L1-6, 6-4, 6-4
10.10.2026Daniel Michalski L6-1, 4-6, 6-1
09.10.2026Laurent Lokoli W6-4, 6-1
08.10.2026Manuel Mazza W6-3, 6-4
06.10.2026Kirill Kivattsev W6-3, 6-2
24.09.2026Adrian Andreev L7-6, 6-3
22.09.2026Filip Cristian Jianu W7-6, 6-3
03.09.2026Mark Lajal L6-3, 6-7, 6-4
02.09.2026Maximus Jones W6-0, 6-4

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentManuel MazzaIvan Ivanov
Gabriele Crivellaro 1-0
W 6-4, 6-4
0-1
L 1-6, 6-4, 6-4
Laurent Lokoli 1-0
W 3-6, 6-2, 6-3
1-0
W 6-4, 6-1
Lorenzo Carboni 1-1
W 6-7, 6-0, 3-1, L 6-2, 6-1
0-1
L 7-5, 6-1
Niels Visker 1-0
W 6-3, 7-6
1-0
W 7-6, 6-3

Manuel Mazza vs Ivan Ivanov: quick answers

Who won Manuel Mazza vs Ivan Ivanov?

Ivan Ivanov beat Manuel Mazza 6-3, 6-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Manuel Mazza at 57%.

What is the head-to-head record between Manuel Mazza and Ivan Ivanov?

Ivan Ivanov leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 8, 2026, won by Ivan Ivanov 6-3, 6-4 at Italy Santa Margherita Di Pula VIII.

Who is in better form, Manuel Mazza or Ivan Ivanov?

Manuel Mazza is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Ivan Ivanov is 5-5 (current streak: 3 Losses).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Manuel Mazza and Ivan Ivanov?

Manuel Mazza is rated 6480 (ATP #558) and Ivan Ivanov is rated 6538 (ATP #451). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Manuel Mazza vs Ivan Ivanov?

Manuel Mazza is priced at +143 and Ivan Ivanov at -204, which implies a 41% and 67% chance to win. The model rates Manuel Mazza 16 points higher than the odds do (57% vs 41%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.