Ivan Dreycopp vs Matteo Covato
Updated
Ivan Dreycopp beat Matteo Covato 7-6, 6-7, 7-6, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Ivan Dreycopp leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Dreycopp is 6-4 in their last 10, Covato 5-5.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Ivan Dreycopp a 59% favorite. At +178 the sportsbook implies 36% for Matteo Covato, 5 points below the model's 41%.
Model minus book: -14 pts
Model minus book: +5 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Matteo Covato at +178 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Ivan Dreycopp | Matteo Covato | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6224 | 6206 |
| Tour rank | ATP #1477 | ATP #1567 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 1-1 | 5-2 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 3 Losses |
| Season record | 23-16 | 17-34 |
| UTR | 12.85 | 12.29 |
Head to head
Ivan Dreycopp leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15.10.2026 | Ivan Dreycopp | 7-6, 6-7, 7-6 | Ecuador Quito |
Recent form
Ivan Dreycopp, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.10.2026 | Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano | L | 6-3, 4-6, 6-3 |
| 15.10.2026 | Matteo Covato | W | 7-6, 6-7, 7-6 |
| 14.10.2026 | Valentino Grippo | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 06.10.2026 | Juan Sebastian Gomez | L | 7-5, 2-6, 6-3 |
| 03.09.2026 | Lorenzo Gagliardo | L | 6-7, 6-4, 6-1 |
| 02.09.2026 | Benjamin Torrealba | W | 5-7, 6-1, 6-1 |
| 01.09.2026 | Vicente Jose Benitez | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 31.08.2026 | Tobia Grandinetti | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 30.08.2026 | Lorenzo March | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 26.08.2026 | Julian Cundom | L | 7-6, 1-6, 7-6 |
Matteo Covato, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.2026 | Maxwell Benson | L | 6-7, 7-6, 0-1 |
| 18.10.2026 | Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano | L | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 15.10.2026 | Ivan Dreycopp | L | 7-6, 6-7, 7-6 |
| 14.10.2026 | Emilio Camacho | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 10.10.2026 | Lucas Andrade Da Silva | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 09.10.2026 | Felipe De Dios | W | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 08.10.2026 | Mwendwa Mbithi | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 06.10.2026 | Dakotah Bobo | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 24.09.2026 | Stefan Seifert | L | 6-0, 6-3 |
| 22.09.2026 | Victor Barrere | W | 6-4, 4-6, 6-2 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Ivan Dreycopp | Matteo Covato |
|---|---|---|
| Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano | 0-1 L 6-3, 4-6, 6-3 |
0-1 L 7-5, 6-4 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-14: ATP Quito (X) (Ecuador), model gave Ivan Dreycopp 59% at -270
Ivan Dreycopp vs Matteo Covato: quick answers
Who won Ivan Dreycopp vs Matteo Covato?
Ivan Dreycopp beat Matteo Covato 7-6, 6-7, 7-6, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Ivan Dreycopp and Matteo Covato?
Ivan Dreycopp leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 15, 2026, won by Ivan Dreycopp 7-6, 6-7, 7-6 at Ecuador Quito.
Who is in better form, Ivan Dreycopp or Matteo Covato?
Ivan Dreycopp is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Matteo Covato is 5-5 (current streak: 3 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Ivan Dreycopp and Matteo Covato?
Ivan Dreycopp is rated 6224 (ATP #1477) and Matteo Covato is rated 6206 (ATP #1567). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Ivan Dreycopp vs Matteo Covato?
Ivan Dreycopp is priced at -270 and Matteo Covato at +178, which implies a 73% and 36% chance to win. The model rates Matteo Covato 5 points higher than the odds do (41% vs 36%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.