Kyle Mckay vs Ivan Dorokhov
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Ivan Dorokhov, giving them a 56% chance to win against Kyle Mckay (44%). Kyle Mckay leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Mckay is 7-3 in their last 10, Dorokhov 6-4. At +280, the odds imply 26% for Ivan Dorokhov, below the model's 56%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Ivan Dorokhov a 56% favorite. At +280 the sportsbook implies 26% for Ivan Dorokhov, 30 points below the model's 56%.
Model minus book: -40 pts
Model minus book: +30 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Ivan Dorokhov at +280 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Kyle Mckay | Ivan Dorokhov | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6147 | 5966 |
| Tour rank | ATP #1908 | ATP #3116 |
| Last 10 matches | 7-3 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 1-0 | 1-2 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 2 Losses |
| Season record | 11-7 | 14-13 |
| UTR | 12.49 | 12.89 |
Head to head
Kyle Mckay leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.10.2026 | Kyle Mckay | 3-6, 6-3, 6-3 | United Kingdom Redbridge |
Recent form
Kyle Mckay, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21.10.2026 | Viktor Durasovic | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 20.10.2026 | Ivan Dorokhov | W | 3-6, 6-3, 6-3 |
| 29.08.2026 | Ferran Redza | L | 6-1, 6-0 |
| 27.08.2026 | Henry Bowden | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 26.08.2026 | William Mclennaghan | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 24.08.2026 | Harrison McElnea | W | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 17.05.2026 | Ewen Lumsden | L | 6-0, 6-2 |
| 16.05.2026 | Cameron Fryer | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 14.05.2026 | Euan Mcintosh | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 13.05.2026 | Alex Knaff | W | 7-6, 4-6, 7-6 |
Ivan Dorokhov, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.10.2026 | Kyle Mckay | L | 3-6, 6-3, 6-3 |
| 27.09.2026 | Wenze Li | L | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 26.09.2026 | Hengyu Lu | W | 6-2, 5-7, 1-0 |
| 21.09.2026 | Kazuki Nakajima | L | 0-6, 6-3, 1-0 |
| 20.09.2026 | Boda Zheng | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 19.09.2026 | Cyrus Liu | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 16.09.2026 | Seonyong Han | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 14.09.2026 | Zihan Gao | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 13.09.2026 | Chin Kuan Lai | W | 6-1, 7-5 |
| 12.09.2026 | Kezhi Li | W | 6-2, 7-6 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Kyle Mckay vs Ivan Dorokhov: quick answers
Who will win Kyle Mckay vs Ivan Dorokhov?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Ivan Dorokhov, giving them a 56% chance to win against Kyle Mckay (44%).
What is the head-to-head record between Kyle Mckay and Ivan Dorokhov?
Kyle Mckay leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 20, 2026, won by Kyle Mckay 3-6, 6-3, 6-3 at United Kingdom Redbridge.
Who is in better form, Kyle Mckay or Ivan Dorokhov?
Kyle Mckay is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Ivan Dorokhov is 6-4 (current streak: 2 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Kyle Mckay and Ivan Dorokhov?
Kyle Mckay is rated 6147 (ATP #1908) and Ivan Dorokhov is rated 5966 (ATP #3116). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Kyle Mckay vs Ivan Dorokhov?
Kyle Mckay is priced at -500 and Ivan Dorokhov at +280, which implies a 83% and 26% chance to win. The model rates Ivan Dorokhov 30 points higher than the odds do (56% vs 26%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.