Iva Marinkovic vs Ustiniya Lekomtseva
Updated
Ustiniya Lekomtseva beat Iva Marinkovic 7-6, 4-6, 6-2, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Iva Marinkovic at 52%. Ustiniya Lekomtseva leads 2-0 in their head-to-head. Marinkovic is 6-4 in their last 10, Lekomtseva 5-5.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Iva Marinkovic a 52% favorite. At +125 the sportsbook implies 44% for Ustiniya Lekomtseva, 3 points below the model's 48%.
Model minus book: -15 pts
Model minus book: +3 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Ustiniya Lekomtseva at +125 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Iva Marinkovic | Ustiniya Lekomtseva | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6288 | 6232 |
| Tour rank | WTA #1043 | WTA #1211 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 3-1 | 2-1 |
| Current streak | 2 Wins | 2 Losses |
| Season record | 14-12 | 22-21 |
| UTR | 10.38 | 9.96 |
Head to head
Ustiniya Lekomtseva leads 2-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.10.2026 | Ustiniya Lekomtseva | 7-6, 4-6, 6-2 | Egypt Sharm El Sheikh XVI |
| 16.10.2026 | Ustiniya Lekomtseva | 7-6, 4-6, 6-2 | Egypt Sharm El Sheikh XVI |
Recent form
Iva Marinkovic, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Vladlena Bokova | W | 6-0, 6-4 |
| 28.10.2026 | Maileen Nuudi | W | 1-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
| 16.10.2026 | Ustiniya Lekomtseva | L | 7-6, 4-6, 6-2 |
| 16.10.2026 | Ustiniya Lekomtseva | L | 7-6, 4-6, 6-2 |
| 15.10.2026 | Alyssa Reguer | W | 7-6, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 14.10.2026 | Sofia Martianova | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 08.10.2026 | Andrea Lola Popovic | L | 3-6, 7-6, 6-3 |
| 07.10.2026 | Andrea Roots | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 15.09.2026 | Olga Danilova | L | 3-6, 6-4, 10-7 |
| 13.09.2026 | Eva Zabolotnaia | W | 7-5, 6-1 |
Ustiniya Lekomtseva, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26.10.2026 | Dunja Maric | L | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 17.10.2026 | Lamis Alhussein Abdel Aziz | L | 3-6, 6-1, 6-1 |
| 16.10.2026 | Iva Marinkovic | W | 7-6, 4-6, 6-2 |
| 16.10.2026 | Iva Marinkovic | W | 7-6, 4-6, 6-2 |
| 15.10.2026 | Fleur De Bresser | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 14.10.2026 | Andrea Roots | W | 6-7, 6-1, 6-2 |
| 07.10.2026 | Andrea Lola Popovic | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 06.08.2026 | Mariia Masiianskaia | L | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 04.08.2026 | Anastasia Bertacchi | W | 7-6, 3-6, 6-4 |
| 31.07.2026 | Rebecca Munk Mortensen | L | 6-2, 6-1 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Iva Marinkovic | Ustiniya Lekomtseva |
|---|---|---|
| Andrea Lola Popovic | 0-1 L 3-6, 7-6, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-4 |
| Andrea Roots | 1-0 W 6-2, 6-1 |
1-0 W 6-7, 6-1, 6-2 |
| Rebecca Munk Mortensen | 1-0 W 6-1, 7-5 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-1 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-15: WTA Sharm El Sheikh XVI (Egypt), model gave Iva Marinkovic 52% at -200
Iva Marinkovic vs Ustiniya Lekomtseva: quick answers
Who won Iva Marinkovic vs Ustiniya Lekomtseva?
Ustiniya Lekomtseva beat Iva Marinkovic 7-6, 4-6, 6-2, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Iva Marinkovic at 52%.
What is the head-to-head record between Iva Marinkovic and Ustiniya Lekomtseva?
Ustiniya Lekomtseva leads 2-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 16, 2026, won by Ustiniya Lekomtseva 7-6, 4-6, 6-2 at Egypt Sharm El Sheikh XVI.
Who is in better form, Iva Marinkovic or Ustiniya Lekomtseva?
Iva Marinkovic is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Ustiniya Lekomtseva is 5-5 (current streak: 2 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Iva Marinkovic and Ustiniya Lekomtseva?
Iva Marinkovic is rated 6288 (WTA #1043) and Ustiniya Lekomtseva is rated 6232 (WTA #1211). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Iva Marinkovic vs Ustiniya Lekomtseva?
Iva Marinkovic is priced at -200 and Ustiniya Lekomtseva at +125, which implies a 67% and 44% chance to win. The model rates Ustiniya Lekomtseva 3 points higher than the odds do (48% vs 44%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.