Iva Jovic vs Jasmine Paolini
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Iva Jovic, giving them a 72% chance to win against Jasmine Paolini (28%). Iva Jovic leads 2-0 in their head-to-head. Jovic is 7-3 in their last 10, Paolini 4-6. At -200, the odds imply 67% for Iva Jovic, below the model's 72%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Iva Jovic a 72% favorite. At -200 the sportsbook implies 67% for Iva Jovic, 5 points below the model's 72%.
Model minus book: +5 pts
Model minus book: -14 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Iva Jovic at -200 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Iva Jovic | Jasmine Paolini | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 7121 | 7071 |
| Tour rank | WTA #16 | WTA #33 |
| Last 10 matches | 7-3 | 4-6 |
| Last 30 days | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 2 Losses |
| Season record | 42-22 | 22-19 |
| UTR | 12.75 | 12.38 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1959 | 1845 |
| Best surface | Grass | Clay |
| Worst surface | Clay | Grass |
Head to head
Iva Jovic leads 2-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22.10.2026 | Iva Jovic | 6-4, 6-3 | China Ningbo |
| 23.01.2026 | Iva Jovic | 6-2, 7-6 | Australia Australian Open |
Recent form
Iva Jovic, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23.10.2026 | Diana Shnaider | L | 6-3, 4-6, 6-1 |
| 22.10.2026 | Jasmine Paolini | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 15.10.2026 | Maja Chwalinska | L | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 14.10.2026 | Dayana Yastremska | W | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 07.10.2026 | Iga Swiatek | L | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 05.10.2026 | Kamilla Rakhimova | W | 6-1, 7-5 |
| 03.10.2026 | Harriet Dart | W | 2-6, 6-3, 6-3 |
| 20.09.2026 | Peyton Stearns | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 19.09.2026 | Cristina Bucsa | W | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 17.09.2026 | Magdalena Frech | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
Jasmine Paolini, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.2026 | Naomi Osaka | L | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 22.10.2026 | Iva Jovic | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 20.10.2026 | Anhelina Kalinina | W | 6-2, 7-5 |
| 15.10.2026 | Sonay Kartal | L | 6-2, 6-0 |
| 14.10.2026 | Nikola Bartunkova | W | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 12.10.2026 | Sara Bejlek | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 02.10.2026 | Daria Snigur | L | 3-6, 7-6, 6-2 |
| 26.09.2026 | Elina Svitolina | L | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 24.09.2026 | Qinwen Zheng | W | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 04.09.2026 | Sorana Cirstea | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Iva Jovic | Jasmine Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Ajla Tomljanovic | 0-1 L 4-6, 6-4, 6-4 |
1-0 W 7-5, 5-7, 6-1 |
| Alexandra Eala | 3-0 W 7-5, 3-6, 7-5, W 6-2, 6-2, W 6-4, 6-2 |
1-1 W 6-4, 4-6, 6-3, L 6-1, 7-6 |
| Cristina Bucsa | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-1 |
0-1 L 7-5, 6-4 |
| Dayana Yastremska | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-1 |
1-0 W 7-5, 6-3 |
| Elina Svitolina | 0-1 L 7-6, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-2 |
| Magdalena Frech | 2-0 W 6-2, 6-1, W 7-5, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-3 |
| Naomi Osaka | 0-1 L 7-6, 6-7, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-3, 7-6 |
| Priscilla Hon | 1-0 W 6-1, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-0, 6-2 |
| Sara Bejlek | 1-0 W 7-6, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
| Talia Gibson | 0-1 L 6-2, 6-2 |
0-1 L 7-5, 2-6, 6-1 |
| Tatjana Maria | 1-0 W 6-1, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-3 |
| Taylor Townsend | 1-0 W 7-5, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-3, 1-6, 6-2 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | 1-0 W 7-6, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-2 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-27: WTA Ningbo (IX) (China), model gave Iva Jovic 72% at -200
- 2026-10-26: WTA Ningbo (IX) (China), model gave Iva Jovic 72% at -200
- 2026-10-25: WTA Ningbo (IX) (China), model gave Iva Jovic 72% at -200
- 2026-10-24: WTA Ningbo (IX) (China), model gave Iva Jovic 72% at -200
- 2026-10-23: WTA Ningbo (IX) (China), model gave Iva Jovic 72% at -200
- 2026-10-22: WTA Ningbo (IX) (China), model gave Iva Jovic 72% at -200
- 2026-10-21: WTA Ningbo (IX) (China), model gave Iva Jovic 72% at -200
Iva Jovic vs Jasmine Paolini: quick answers
Who will win Iva Jovic vs Jasmine Paolini?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Iva Jovic, giving them a 72% chance to win against Jasmine Paolini (28%).
What is the head-to-head record between Iva Jovic and Jasmine Paolini?
Iva Jovic leads 2-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 22, 2026, won by Iva Jovic 6-4, 6-3 at China Ningbo.
Who is in better form, Iva Jovic or Jasmine Paolini?
Iva Jovic is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Jasmine Paolini is 4-6 (current streak: 2 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Iva Jovic and Jasmine Paolini?
Iva Jovic is rated 7121 (WTA #16) and Jasmine Paolini is rated 7071 (WTA #33). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Iva Jovic vs Jasmine Paolini?
Iva Jovic is priced at -200 and Jasmine Paolini at +135, which implies a 67% and 43% chance to win. The model rates Iva Jovic 5 points higher than the odds do (72% vs 67%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.