Thando Longwe Smit vs Ioannis Xilas

ATP Heraklion (XI) III (Greece), Hard. Friday, October 30, 2026, 12:00.

Updated

Tennis Gauge's model favors Ioannis Xilas, giving them a 87% chance to win against Thando Longwe Smit (13%). Thando Longwe Smit leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Smit is 4-6 in their last 10, Xilas 7-3.

This preview is from Friday, October 30, 2026. The result isn't in the database yet.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Ioannis Xilas a 87% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
13%
Book
17%

Model minus book: -4 pts

Model
87%
Book
89%

Model minus book: -3 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Ioannis Xilas at -833 · Model track record

Player comparison

Thando Longwe SmitIoannis Xilas
Tennis Gauge rating63376473
Tour rankATP #1011ATP #581
Last 10 matches4-67-3
Last 30 days1-08-2
Current streak2 Wins1 Loss
Season record12-1541-27
UTR12.9513.96
Elo (52 weeks)–1352
Best surface–Grass
Worst surface–Hard

Head to head

Thando Longwe Smit leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
29.10.2026Thando Longwe Smit6-2, 6-3Greece Heraklion

Recent form

Thando Longwe Smit, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Ioannis Xilas W6-2, 6-3
28.10.2026Matthew Thomson W7-5, 6-2
20.09.2026Nerman Fatic L7-6, 6-1
09.09.2026Hazem Naw L6-2, 7-6
02.09.2026Edison Ambarzumjan L6-3, 6-3
26.08.2026Toufik Sahtali L6-2, 6-2
01.06.2026Alec Beckley L6-2, 6-3
31.05.2026Laurence Teunissen W6-2, 6-2
25.05.2026Alec Beckley L6-3, 6-7, 6-2
24.05.2026Michael Zhu W6-3, 7-6

Ioannis Xilas, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Thando Longwe Smit L6-2, 6-3
27.10.2026Odysseas Geladaris W7-5, 6-7, 6-1
24.10.2026Amit Vales L3-6, 6-2, 6-4
23.10.2026Luka Talan Lopatic W6-4, 6-3
22.10.2026Hugo Car W7-5, 6-2
21.10.2026Matthew Thomson W6-2, 6-4
18.10.2026Luka Talan Lopatic L6-7, 6-3, 6-4
17.10.2026Jip Van Assendelft W6-3, 7-6
16.10.2026Jakub Filip W6-0, 6-3
16.10.2026Jakub Filip W6-0, 6-3

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentThando Longwe SmitIoannis Xilas
Hazem Naw 0-1
L 6-2, 7-6
1-0
W 6-4, 6-4
Matthew Thomson 1-0
W 7-5, 6-2
1-0
W 6-2, 6-4

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-29: ATP Heraklion (XI) III (Greece), model gave Thando Longwe Smit 13% at +477

Thando Longwe Smit vs Ioannis Xilas: quick answers

Who will win Thando Longwe Smit vs Ioannis Xilas?

Tennis Gauge's model favors Ioannis Xilas, giving them a 87% chance to win against Thando Longwe Smit (13%).

What is the head-to-head record between Thando Longwe Smit and Ioannis Xilas?

Thando Longwe Smit leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 29, 2026, won by Thando Longwe Smit 6-2, 6-3 at Greece Heraklion.

Who is in better form, Thando Longwe Smit or Ioannis Xilas?

Thando Longwe Smit is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Ioannis Xilas is 7-3 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Thando Longwe Smit and Ioannis Xilas?

Thando Longwe Smit is rated 6337 (ATP #1011) and Ioannis Xilas is rated 6473 (ATP #581). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Thando Longwe Smit vs Ioannis Xilas?

Thando Longwe Smit is priced at +477 and Ioannis Xilas at -833, which implies a 17% and 89% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.