Matthew Thomson vs Ioannis Xilas

ATP Heraklion (XI) II (Greece), Hard. Tuesday, October 20, 2026, 02:30.

Updated

Ioannis Xilas beat Matthew Thomson 6-2, 6-4, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Ioannis Xilas leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Thomson is 4-6 in their last 10, Xilas 7-3.

Result: Ioannis Xilas beat Matthew Thomson 6-2, 6-4. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Ioannis Xilas a 85% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
15%
Book
19%

Model minus book: -4 pts

Model
85%
Book
91%

Model minus book: -6 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Ioannis Xilas at -1000 · Model track record

Player comparison

Matthew ThomsonIoannis Xilas
Tennis Gauge rating62316473
Tour rankATP #1455ATP #581
Last 10 matches4-67-3
Last 30 days0-26-2
Current streak6 Losses1 Loss
Season record16-1741-27
UTR13.2313.96
Elo (52 weeks)–1352
Best surface–Grass
Worst surface–Hard

Head to head

Ioannis Xilas leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
21.10.2026Ioannis Xilas6-2, 6-4Greece Heraklion

Recent form

Matthew Thomson, last 10

DateOpponentScore
28.10.2026Thando Longwe Smit L7-5, 6-2
21.10.2026Ioannis Xilas L6-2, 6-4
30.09.2026Oliver Bonding L6-4, 6-1
23.09.2026Novak Novakovic L2-6, 6-3, 7-6
09.08.2026Thomas Nelson L7-6, 4-1
01.08.2026Elijah Strode L7-6, 7-5
31.07.2026Matt Kuhar W3-6, 6-4, 7-5
30.07.2026Joshua Peck W6-3, 6-3
29.07.2026Lance Amaury Lage Castelan W6-4, 6-7, 7-5
26.07.2026Alvin Nicholas Tudorica W6-7, 6-2, 6-4

Ioannis Xilas, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Thando Longwe Smit L6-2, 6-3
27.10.2026Odysseas Geladaris W7-5, 6-7, 6-1
24.10.2026Amit Vales L3-6, 6-2, 6-4
23.10.2026Luka Talan Lopatic W6-4, 6-3
22.10.2026Hugo Car W7-5, 6-2
21.10.2026Matthew Thomson W6-2, 6-4
18.10.2026Luka Talan Lopatic L6-7, 6-3, 6-4
17.10.2026Jip Van Assendelft W6-3, 7-6
16.10.2026Jakub Filip W6-0, 6-3
16.10.2026Jakub Filip W6-0, 6-3

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentMatthew ThomsonIoannis Xilas
Thando Longwe Smit 0-1
L 7-5, 6-2
0-1
L 6-2, 6-3

Matthew Thomson vs Ioannis Xilas: quick answers

Who won Matthew Thomson vs Ioannis Xilas?

Ioannis Xilas beat Matthew Thomson 6-2, 6-4, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Matthew Thomson and Ioannis Xilas?

Ioannis Xilas leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 21, 2026, won by Ioannis Xilas 6-2, 6-4 at Greece Heraklion.

Who is in better form, Matthew Thomson or Ioannis Xilas?

Matthew Thomson is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 6 Losses). Ioannis Xilas is 7-3 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Matthew Thomson and Ioannis Xilas?

Matthew Thomson is rated 6231 (ATP #1455) and Ioannis Xilas is rated 6473 (ATP #581). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Matthew Thomson vs Ioannis Xilas?

Matthew Thomson is priced at +414 and Ioannis Xilas at -1000, which implies a 19% and 91% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.