Lui Maxted vs Ilya Snitari
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Lui Maxted, giving them a 53% chance to win against Ilya Snitari (47%). Lui Maxted leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Maxted is 6-4 in their last 10, Snitari 7-3. At +254, the odds imply 28% for Ilya Snitari, below the model's 47%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Lui Maxted a 53% favorite. At +254 the sportsbook implies 28% for Ilya Snitari, 18 points below the model's 47%.
Model minus book: -23 pts
Model minus book: +18 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Ilya Snitari at +254 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Lui Maxted | Ilya Snitari | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6531 | 6352 |
| Tour rank | ATP #468 | ATP #946 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 7-3 |
| Last 30 days | 4-2 | 6-0 |
| Current streak | 2 Wins | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 39-24 | 48-12 |
| UTR | 13.87 | 13.72 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1333 | – |
| Best surface | Grass | – |
| Worst surface | Clay | – |
Head to head
Lui Maxted leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Lui Maxted | 7-6, 4-6, 6-3 | USA Norman |
Recent form
Lui Maxted, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Ilya Snitari | W | 7-6, 4-6, 6-3 |
| 27.10.2026 | Pablo Martinez Gomez | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 21.10.2026 | Sander Jong | L | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 17.10.2026 | Cosme Rolland De Ravel | L | 6-4, 6-7, 6-2 |
| 16.10.2026 | Andrew Fenty | W | 2-6, 6-2, 6-2 |
| 15.10.2026 | Roger Pascual Ferra | W | 6-0, 6-1 |
| 14.10.2026 | Aidan Kim | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 28.09.2026 | Luca Potenza | L | 6-2, 4-2 |
| 27.09.2026 | Francisco Rocha | W | 4-6, 6-3, 6-1 |
| 25.09.2026 | Inaki Montes De La Torre | L | 3-6, 7-6, 6-2 |
Ilya Snitari, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Lui Maxted | L | 7-6, 4-6, 6-3 |
| 28.10.2026 | Walid Ahouda | W | 4-6, 6-4, 6-1 |
| 12.10.2026 | Erik Schiessl | W | 3-6, 6-3, 7-6 |
| 11.10.2026 | Oliver Ojakaar | W | 4-6, 6-3, 6-3 |
| 10.10.2026 | Filip Avdeev | W | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 10.10.2026 | Matthieu Chambonniere | W | 7-5, 7-6 |
| 09.10.2026 | Imran Daniel Abdul Hazli | W | 6-0, 7-5 |
| 22.09.2026 | William Manning | W | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 21.09.2026 | Denis Petak | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 18.07.2026 | Radu David Turcanu | L | 6-4, 2-6, 6-1 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-29: ATP Norman (USA), model gave Lui Maxted 53% at -323
Lui Maxted vs Ilya Snitari: quick answers
Who will win Lui Maxted vs Ilya Snitari?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Lui Maxted, giving them a 53% chance to win against Ilya Snitari (47%).
What is the head-to-head record between Lui Maxted and Ilya Snitari?
Lui Maxted leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 29, 2026, won by Lui Maxted 7-6, 4-6, 6-3 at USA Norman.
Who is in better form, Lui Maxted or Ilya Snitari?
Lui Maxted is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Ilya Snitari is 7-3 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Lui Maxted and Ilya Snitari?
Lui Maxted is rated 6531 (ATP #468) and Ilya Snitari is rated 6352 (ATP #946). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Lui Maxted vs Ilya Snitari?
Lui Maxted is priced at -323 and Ilya Snitari at +254, which implies a 76% and 28% chance to win. The model rates Ilya Snitari 18 points higher than the odds do (47% vs 28%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.