Roman Safiullin vs Ilya Ivashka
Updated
Roman Safiullin beat Ilya Ivashka 6-1, 6-7, 6-4, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Roman Safiullin leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Safiullin is 6-4 in their last 10, Ivashka 7-3.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Roman Safiullin a 93% favorite. At -357 the sportsbook implies 78% for Roman Safiullin, 15 points below the model's 93%.
Model minus book: +15 pts
Model minus book: -23 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Roman Safiullin at -357 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Roman Safiullin | Ilya Ivashka | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6847 | 6637 |
| Tour rank | ATP #86 | ATP #297 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 7-3 |
| Last 30 days | 7-3 | 3-1 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 3 Losses |
| Season record | 41-18 | 32-16 |
| UTR | 15.79 | 14.32 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1807 | 1571 |
| Best surface | Grass | Clay |
| Worst surface | Hard | Hard |
Head to head
Roman Safiullin leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.10.2026 | Roman Safiullin | 6-1, 6-7, 6-4 | Kazakhstan Almaty |
Recent form
Roman Safiullin, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.10.2026 | Sho Shimabukuro | L | 6-7, 6-4, 6-4 |
| 18.10.2026 | Ilia Simakin | W | 7-6, 6-1 |
| 17.10.2026 | Ilya Ivashka | W | 6-1, 6-7, 6-4 |
| 09.10.2026 | Francisco Cerundolo | L | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 07.10.2026 | Rinky Hijikata | W | 7-5, 6-3 |
| 06.10.2026 | Shintaro Mochizuki | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 05.10.2026 | Alexis Galarneau | W | 6-3, 6-0 |
| 03.10.2026 | Andrey Rublev | L | 6-2, 3-6, 6-4 |
| 01.10.2026 | Flavio Cobolli | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 28.09.2026 | Daniil Medvedev | L | 7-5, 6-4 |
Ilya Ivashka, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.10.2026 | Roman Safiullin | L | 6-1, 6-7, 6-4 |
| 15.10.2026 | Liam Draxl | L | 6-4, 0-6, 6-4 |
| 14.10.2026 | Marat Sharipov | L | 3-4 |
| 12.10.2026 | Kaichi Uchida | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 11.10.2026 | Beibit Zhukayev | W | 6-0, 6-4 |
| 13.09.2026 | Marat Sharipov | W | 6-4, 3-6, 7-6 |
| 12.09.2026 | Luca Castelnuovo | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 11.09.2026 | Yi Zhou | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 10.09.2026 | Bernard Tomic | W | 6-4, 4-6, 6-2 |
| 08.09.2026 | Yu Hsiou Hsu | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Roman Safiullin | Ilya Ivashka |
|---|---|---|
| Ilia Simakin | 1-0 W 7-6, 6-1 |
0-1 L 7-6, 6-4 |
| Joel Schwaerzler | 1-1 W 6-4, 6-4, L 6-3, 6-4 |
0-1 L 7-6, 6-4 |
| Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 0-1 L 6-4, 7-5 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-4 |
| Petr Bar Biryukov | 1-0 W 6-7, 7-6, 6-3 |
0-1 L 7-6, 4-6, 6-4 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-16: ATP Almaty (IX) (Kazakhstan), model gave Roman Safiullin 93% at -357
Roman Safiullin vs Ilya Ivashka: quick answers
Who won Roman Safiullin vs Ilya Ivashka?
Roman Safiullin beat Ilya Ivashka 6-1, 6-7, 6-4, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Roman Safiullin and Ilya Ivashka?
Roman Safiullin leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 17, 2026, won by Roman Safiullin 6-1, 6-7, 6-4 at Kazakhstan Almaty.
Who is in better form, Roman Safiullin or Ilya Ivashka?
Roman Safiullin is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Ilya Ivashka is 7-3 (current streak: 3 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Roman Safiullin and Ilya Ivashka?
Roman Safiullin is rated 6847 (ATP #86) and Ilya Ivashka is rated 6637 (ATP #297). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Roman Safiullin vs Ilya Ivashka?
Roman Safiullin is priced at -357 and Ilya Ivashka at +235, which implies a 78% and 30% chance to win. The model rates Roman Safiullin 15 points higher than the odds do (93% vs 78%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.