Ilya Ivashka vs Marat Sharipov
Updated
Ilya Ivashka beat Marat Sharipov 3-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Marat Sharipov at 77%. They are tied 1-1 in their head-to-head. Ivashka is 7-3 in their last 10, Sharipov 8-2.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Marat Sharipov a 77% favorite. At -147 the sportsbook implies 60% for Marat Sharipov, 18 points below the model's 77%.
Model minus book: -21 pts
Model minus book: +18 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Marat Sharipov at -147 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Ilya Ivashka | Marat Sharipov | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6637 | 6642 |
| Tour rank | ATP #297 | ATP #289 |
| Last 10 matches | 7-3 | 8-2 |
| Last 30 days | 2-0 | 11-2 |
| Current streak | 3 Losses | 3 Wins |
| Season record | 32-16 | 42-22 |
| UTR | 14.32 | 14.6 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1571 | 1633 |
| Best surface | Clay | Hard |
| Worst surface | Hard | Clay |
Head to head
Tied 1-1.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.2026 | Marat Sharipov | 3-4 | China Jinan |
| 13.09.2026 | Ilya Ivashka | 6-4, 3-6, 7-6 | China Shanghai I |
Recent form
Ilya Ivashka, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.10.2026 | Roman Safiullin | L | 6-1, 6-7, 6-4 |
| 15.10.2026 | Liam Draxl | L | 6-4, 0-6, 6-4 |
| 14.10.2026 | Marat Sharipov | L | 3-4 |
| 12.10.2026 | Kaichi Uchida | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 11.10.2026 | Beibit Zhukayev | W | 6-0, 6-4 |
| 13.09.2026 | Marat Sharipov | W | 6-4, 3-6, 7-6 |
| 12.09.2026 | Luca Castelnuovo | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 11.09.2026 | Yi Zhou | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 10.09.2026 | Bernard Tomic | W | 6-4, 4-6, 6-2 |
| 08.09.2026 | Yu Hsiou Hsu | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
Marat Sharipov, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.2026 | Ilya Ivashka | W | 3-4 |
| 13.10.2026 | Jake Delaney | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 11.10.2026 | Zhe Jiang | W | 6-1, 6-0 |
| 07.10.2026 | Omar Jasika | L | 6-3, 3-0 |
| 05.10.2026 | Semen Pankin | W | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 01.10.2026 | Andre Ilagan | L | 6-2, 7-6 |
| 30.09.2026 | Dalibor Svrcina | W | 3-6, 6-3, 6-1 |
| 29.09.2026 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 28.09.2026 | Naoya Honda | W | 7-6, 6-2 |
| 20.09.2026 | Pavel Kotov | W | 6-0, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Ilya Ivashka | Marat Sharipov |
|---|---|---|
| Bernard Tomic | 1-0 W 6-4, 4-6, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-4 |
| Kaichi Uchida | 1-0 W 6-2, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-1, 6-2 |
| Maximus Jones | 1-0 W 6-2, 3-1 |
0-1 L 6-3, 7-6 |
| Petr Bar Biryukov | 0-1 L 7-6, 4-6, 6-4 |
1-0 W 7-5, 6-3 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-13: ATP Jinan (China), model gave Ilya Ivashka 23% at +127
Ilya Ivashka vs Marat Sharipov: quick answers
Who won Ilya Ivashka vs Marat Sharipov?
Ilya Ivashka beat Marat Sharipov 3-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Marat Sharipov at 77%.
What is the head-to-head record between Ilya Ivashka and Marat Sharipov?
They are tied 1-1. Their most recent meeting was on October 14, 2026, won by Marat Sharipov 3-4 at China Jinan.
Who is in better form, Ilya Ivashka or Marat Sharipov?
Ilya Ivashka is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 3 Losses). Marat Sharipov is 8-2 (current streak: 3 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Ilya Ivashka and Marat Sharipov?
Ilya Ivashka is rated 6637 (ATP #297) and Marat Sharipov is rated 6642 (ATP #289). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Ilya Ivashka vs Marat Sharipov?
Ilya Ivashka is priced at +127 and Marat Sharipov at -147, which implies a 44% and 60% chance to win. The model rates Marat Sharipov 18 points higher than the odds do (77% vs 60%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.