Ilya Ivashka vs Liam Draxl
Updated
Liam Draxl beat Ilya Ivashka 6-4, 0-6, 6-4, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Liam Draxl leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Ivashka is 7-3 in their last 10, Draxl 7-3.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Liam Draxl a 79% favorite. At -125 the sportsbook implies 56% for Liam Draxl, 23 points below the model's 79%.
Model minus book: -30 pts
Model minus book: +23 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Liam Draxl at -125 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Ilya Ivashka | Liam Draxl | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6637 | 6750 |
| Tour rank | ATP #297 | ATP #155 |
| Last 10 matches | 7-3 | 7-3 |
| Last 30 days | 3-0 | 6-2 |
| Current streak | 3 Losses | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 32-16 | 43-27 |
| UTR | 14.32 | 14.74 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1571 | 1598 |
| Best surface | Clay | Hard |
| Worst surface | Hard | Grass |
Head to head
Liam Draxl leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15.10.2026 | Liam Draxl | 6-4, 0-6, 6-4 | China Jinan |
Recent form
Ilya Ivashka, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.10.2026 | Roman Safiullin | L | 6-1, 6-7, 6-4 |
| 15.10.2026 | Liam Draxl | L | 6-4, 0-6, 6-4 |
| 14.10.2026 | Marat Sharipov | L | 3-4 |
| 12.10.2026 | Kaichi Uchida | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 11.10.2026 | Beibit Zhukayev | W | 6-0, 6-4 |
| 13.09.2026 | Marat Sharipov | W | 6-4, 3-6, 7-6 |
| 12.09.2026 | Luca Castelnuovo | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 11.09.2026 | Yi Zhou | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 10.09.2026 | Bernard Tomic | W | 6-4, 4-6, 6-2 |
| 08.09.2026 | Yu Hsiou Hsu | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
Liam Draxl, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Daniil Ostapenkov | L | 4-5 |
| 27.10.2026 | Tomasz Berkieta | W | 7-6, 7-6 |
| 17.10.2026 | Martin Landaluce | L | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 16.10.2026 | Tomas Machac | W | 6-4, 3-6, 6-4 |
| 16.10.2026 | Tomas Machac | W | 6-4, 3-6, 6-4 |
| 15.10.2026 | Ilya Ivashka | W | 6-4, 0-6, 6-4 |
| 14.10.2026 | James Duckworth | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 13.10.2026 | Omar Jasika | W | 5-7, 7-6, 6-4 |
| 11.10.2026 | Yutong Du | W | 6-1, 6-0 |
| 06.10.2026 | Nikoloz Basilashvili | L | 5-7, 7-5, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Ilya Ivashka | Liam Draxl |
|---|---|---|
| Ilia Simakin | 0-1 L 7-6, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-7, 6-2 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-14: ATP Jinan (China), model gave Ilya Ivashka 21% at -104
Ilya Ivashka vs Liam Draxl: quick answers
Who won Ilya Ivashka vs Liam Draxl?
Liam Draxl beat Ilya Ivashka 6-4, 0-6, 6-4, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Ilya Ivashka and Liam Draxl?
Liam Draxl leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 15, 2026, won by Liam Draxl 6-4, 0-6, 6-4 at China Jinan.
Who is in better form, Ilya Ivashka or Liam Draxl?
Ilya Ivashka is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 3 Losses). Liam Draxl is 7-3 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Ilya Ivashka and Liam Draxl?
Ilya Ivashka is rated 6637 (ATP #297) and Liam Draxl is rated 6750 (ATP #155). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Ilya Ivashka vs Liam Draxl?
Ilya Ivashka is priced at -104 and Liam Draxl at -125, which implies a 51% and 56% chance to win. The model rates Liam Draxl 23 points higher than the odds do (79% vs 56%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.