Ilya Ivashka vs Kaichi Uchida
Updated
Ilya Ivashka beat Kaichi Uchida 6-2, 6-4, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Ilya Ivashka leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Ivashka is 7-3 in their last 10, Uchida 3-7.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Ilya Ivashka a 75% favorite. At +650 the sportsbook implies 13% for Kaichi Uchida, 12 points below the model's 25%.
Model minus book: -18 pts
Model minus book: +12 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Kaichi Uchida at +650 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Ilya Ivashka | Kaichi Uchida | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6637 | 6529 |
| Tour rank | ATP #297 | ATP #474 |
| Last 10 matches | 7-3 | 3-7 |
| Last 30 days | 2-0 | 2-3 |
| Current streak | 3 Losses | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 32-16 | 20-33 |
| UTR | 14.32 | 13.76 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1571 | 1290 |
| Best surface | Clay | Clay |
| Worst surface | Hard | Grass |
Head to head
Ilya Ivashka leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12.10.2026 | Ilya Ivashka | 6-2, 6-4 | China Jinan |
Recent form
Ilya Ivashka, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.10.2026 | Roman Safiullin | L | 6-1, 6-7, 6-4 |
| 15.10.2026 | Liam Draxl | L | 6-4, 0-6, 6-4 |
| 14.10.2026 | Marat Sharipov | L | 3-4 |
| 12.10.2026 | Kaichi Uchida | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 11.10.2026 | Beibit Zhukayev | W | 6-0, 6-4 |
| 13.09.2026 | Marat Sharipov | W | 6-4, 3-6, 7-6 |
| 12.09.2026 | Luca Castelnuovo | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 11.09.2026 | Yi Zhou | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 10.09.2026 | Bernard Tomic | W | 6-4, 4-6, 6-2 |
| 08.09.2026 | Yu Hsiou Hsu | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
Kaichi Uchida, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Harold Mayot | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 26.10.2026 | Ognjen Milic | W | 7-6, 6-2 |
| 20.10.2026 | Zhizhen Zhang | L | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 12.10.2026 | Ilya Ivashka | L | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 11.10.2026 | Jesse Delaney | W | 6-2, 7-5 |
| 08.10.2026 | Ryan Seggerman | L | 4-6, 7-5, 6-4 |
| 06.10.2026 | Masamichi Imamura | W | 7-6, 6-2 |
| 22.09.2026 | Federico Cina | L | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 14.09.2026 | Rio Noguchi | L | 3-6, 6-2, 6-3 |
| 07.9.2026 | Linang Xiao | L | 6-3, 7-5 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Ilya Ivashka | Kaichi Uchida |
|---|---|---|
| Bernard Tomic | 1-0 W 6-4, 4-6, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-2 |
| Liam Broady | 0-1 L 6-1, 6-3 |
0-1 L 7-6, 6-1 |
| Marat Sharipov | 1-1 L 3-4, W 6-4, 3-6, 7-6 |
0-1 L 6-1, 6-2 |
| Oliver Crawford | 0-1 L 6-1, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-7, 6-3, 6-4 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-11: ATP Jinan (China), model gave Ilya Ivashka 75% at -1429
Ilya Ivashka vs Kaichi Uchida: quick answers
Who won Ilya Ivashka vs Kaichi Uchida?
Ilya Ivashka beat Kaichi Uchida 6-2, 6-4, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Ilya Ivashka and Kaichi Uchida?
Ilya Ivashka leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 12, 2026, won by Ilya Ivashka 6-2, 6-4 at China Jinan.
Who is in better form, Ilya Ivashka or Kaichi Uchida?
Ilya Ivashka is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 3 Losses). Kaichi Uchida is 3-7 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Ilya Ivashka and Kaichi Uchida?
Ilya Ivashka is rated 6637 (ATP #297) and Kaichi Uchida is rated 6529 (ATP #474). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Ilya Ivashka vs Kaichi Uchida?
Ilya Ivashka is priced at -1429 and Kaichi Uchida at +650, which implies a 93% and 13% chance to win. The model rates Kaichi Uchida 12 points higher than the odds do (25% vs 13%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.