Ilinca Dalina Amariei vs Jazmin Ortenzi

WTA Burgas (Bulgaria), Clay. Wednesday, October 7, 2026, 12:00.

Updated

Jazmin Ortenzi beat Ilinca Dalina Amariei 7-5, 7-5, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Jazmin Ortenzi leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Amariei is 7-3 in their last 10, Ortenzi 6-4.

Result: Jazmin Ortenzi beat Ilinca Dalina Amariei 7-5, 7-5. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Jazmin Ortenzi a 70% favorite. At -139 the sportsbook implies 58% for Jazmin Ortenzi, 12 points below the model's 70%.

Model
30%
Book
50%

Model minus book: -20 pts

Model
70%
Book
58%

Model minus book: +12 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Jazmin Ortenzi at -139 · Model track record

Player comparison

Ilinca Dalina AmarieiJazmin Ortenzi
Tennis Gauge rating64876776
Tour rankWTA #577WTA #220
Last 10 matches7-36-4
Last 30 days7-22-2
Current streak1 Loss2 Wins
Season record36-2128-21
UTR11.0311.68
Elo (52 weeks)–1469
Best surface–Clay
Worst surface–Grass

Head to head

Jazmin Ortenzi leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
08.10.2026Jazmin Ortenzi7-5, 7-5Bulgaria Burgas

Recent form

Ilinca Dalina Amariei, last 10

DateOpponentScore
17.10.2026Angela Fita Boluda L7-6
15.10.2026Maia Ilinca Burcescu W6-3, 6-2
08.10.2026Jazmin Ortenzi L7-5, 7-5
07.10.2026Nikol Ivanova W6-1, 6-1
05.10.2026Beatris Spasova W6-1, 6-0
04.10.2026Alexia Shara Iancu W6-2, 4-6, 6-2
25.09.2026Ane Mintegi Del Olmo L1-6, 6-1, 7-5
24.09.2026Ipek Oz W6-1, 7-5
23.09.2026Selena Janicijevic W6-2, 6-2
21.09.2026Sarah Van Emst W7-6, 6-0

Jazmin Ortenzi, last 10

DateOpponentScore
28.10.2026Lourdes Ayala W6-0, 6-2
26.10.2026Victoria Bosio W7-5, 6-2
14.10.2026Polona Hercog L6-3, 3-6, 6-3
12.10.2026Barbora Palicova W6-4, 7-6
09.10.2026Ane Mintegi Del Olmo L3-6, 6-2, 6-2
08.10.2026Ilinca Dalina Amariei W7-5, 7-5
07.10.2026Laura Mair W6-1, 6-3
17.09.2026Paula Badosa L4-6, 6-2, 6-2
16.09.2026Chloe Paquet W6-3, 6-2
09.09.2026Mary Stoiana L6-3, 6-2

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentIlinca Dalina AmarieiJazmin Ortenzi
Ane Mintegi Del Olmo 0-1
L 1-6, 6-1, 7-5
0-1
L 3-6, 6-2, 6-2

Ilinca Dalina Amariei vs Jazmin Ortenzi: quick answers

Who won Ilinca Dalina Amariei vs Jazmin Ortenzi?

Jazmin Ortenzi beat Ilinca Dalina Amariei 7-5, 7-5, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Ilinca Dalina Amariei and Jazmin Ortenzi?

Jazmin Ortenzi leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 8, 2026, won by Jazmin Ortenzi 7-5, 7-5 at Bulgaria Burgas.

Who is in better form, Ilinca Dalina Amariei or Jazmin Ortenzi?

Ilinca Dalina Amariei is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Jazmin Ortenzi is 6-4 (current streak: 2 Wins).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Ilinca Dalina Amariei and Jazmin Ortenzi?

Ilinca Dalina Amariei is rated 6487 (WTA #577) and Jazmin Ortenzi is rated 6776 (WTA #220). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Ilinca Dalina Amariei vs Jazmin Ortenzi?

Ilinca Dalina Amariei is priced at +100 and Jazmin Ortenzi at -139, which implies a 50% and 58% chance to win. The model rates Jazmin Ortenzi 12 points higher than the odds do (70% vs 58%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.