Roman Safiullin vs Ilia Simakin
Updated
Roman Safiullin beat Ilia Simakin 7-6, 6-1, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Roman Safiullin leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Safiullin is 6-4 in their last 10, Simakin 7-3.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Roman Safiullin a 84% favorite. At -417 the sportsbook implies 81% for Roman Safiullin, 3 points below the model's 84%.
Model minus book: +3 pts
Model minus book: -8 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Roman Safiullin at -417 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Roman Safiullin | Ilia Simakin | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6847 | 6623 |
| Tour rank | ATP #86 | ATP #318 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 7-3 |
| Last 30 days | 8-3 | 5-2 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 41-18 | 51-23 |
| UTR | 15.79 | 14.35 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1807 | 1667 |
| Best surface | Grass | Hard |
| Worst surface | Hard | Clay |
Head to head
Roman Safiullin leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.10.2026 | Roman Safiullin | 7-6, 6-1 | Kazakhstan Almaty |
Recent form
Roman Safiullin, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.10.2026 | Sho Shimabukuro | L | 6-7, 6-4, 6-4 |
| 18.10.2026 | Ilia Simakin | W | 7-6, 6-1 |
| 17.10.2026 | Ilya Ivashka | W | 6-1, 6-7, 6-4 |
| 09.10.2026 | Francisco Cerundolo | L | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 07.10.2026 | Rinky Hijikata | W | 7-5, 6-3 |
| 06.10.2026 | Shintaro Mochizuki | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 05.10.2026 | Alexis Galarneau | W | 6-3, 6-0 |
| 03.10.2026 | Andrey Rublev | L | 6-2, 3-6, 6-4 |
| 01.10.2026 | Flavio Cobolli | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 28.09.2026 | Daniil Medvedev | L | 7-5, 6-4 |
Ilia Simakin, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.10.2026 | Roman Safiullin | L | 7-6, 6-1 |
| 17.10.2026 | Lukas Palovic | W | 6-3, 3-6, 7-6 |
| 13.10.2026 | Martin Landaluce | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 08.10.2026 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | L | 2-6, 6-2, 7-5 |
| 06.10.2026 | Rigele Te | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 05.10.2026 | Luka Pavlovic | W | 4-6, 6-4, 6-1 |
| 20.09.2026 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | W | 6-7, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 19.09.2026 | Hunter Heck | W | 6-7, 7-5, 6-2 |
| 18.09.2026 | Cruz Hewitt | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 17.09.2026 | Blake Ellis | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Roman Safiullin | Ilia Simakin |
|---|---|---|
| Fajing Sun | 1-0 W 6-2, 6-0 |
1-0 W 6-3, 7-6 |
| Ilya Ivashka | 1-0 W 6-1, 6-7, 6-4 |
1-0 W 7-6, 6-4 |
| Petr Bar Biryukov | 1-0 W 6-7, 7-6, 6-3 |
2-0 W 7-6, 4-6, 7-5, W 4-6, 6-4, 6-2 |
| Sho Shimabukuro | 0-1 L 6-7, 6-4, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-3 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-17: ATP Almaty (IX) (Kazakhstan), model gave Roman Safiullin 84% at -417
Roman Safiullin vs Ilia Simakin: quick answers
Who won Roman Safiullin vs Ilia Simakin?
Roman Safiullin beat Ilia Simakin 7-6, 6-1, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Roman Safiullin and Ilia Simakin?
Roman Safiullin leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 18, 2026, won by Roman Safiullin 7-6, 6-1 at Kazakhstan Almaty.
Who is in better form, Roman Safiullin or Ilia Simakin?
Roman Safiullin is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Ilia Simakin is 7-3 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Roman Safiullin and Ilia Simakin?
Roman Safiullin is rated 6847 (ATP #86) and Ilia Simakin is rated 6623 (ATP #318). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Roman Safiullin vs Ilia Simakin?
Roman Safiullin is priced at -417 and Ilia Simakin at +315, which implies a 81% and 24% chance to win. The model rates Roman Safiullin 3 points higher than the odds do (84% vs 81%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.