Sebastian Gorzny vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Sebastian Gorzny, giving them a 55% chance to win against Igor Ribeiro Marcondes (45%). Igor Ribeiro Marcondes leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Gorzny is 5-5 in their last 10, Marcondes 5-5.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Sebastian Gorzny a 55% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: -5 pts
Model minus book: -3 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Sebastian Gorzny at -149 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Sebastian Gorzny | Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6627 | 6606 |
| Tour rank | ATP #312 | ATP #346 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 3-2 | 4-2 |
| Current streak | 3 Losses | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 37-24 | 32-20 |
| UTR | 14.37 | 14.38 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1494 | 1503 |
| Best surface | Hard | Clay |
| Worst surface | Clay | Grass |
Head to head
Igor Ribeiro Marcondes leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.10.2026 | Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 7-5, 2-6, 6-4 | USA Fort Worth |
Recent form
Sebastian Gorzny, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Darwin Blanch | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 20.10.2026 | Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | L | 7-5, 2-6, 6-4 |
| 17.10.2026 | Alastair Gray | L | 5-7, 7-6, 6-2 |
| 15.10.2026 | Quinn Vandecasteele | W | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 13.10.2026 | Edward Winter | W | 7-5, 7-6 |
| 24.09.2026 | Tristan Boyer | L | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 22.09.2026 | Mitchell Krueger | W | 4-6, 7-5, 7-5 |
| 21.09.2026 | Andrew Johnson | W | 7-5, 6-0 |
| 21.09.2026 | Aidan Mayo | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 19.09.2026 | J J Wolf | L | 7-6, 1-6, 7-5 |
Igor Ribeiro Marcondes, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22.10.2026 | Erik Arutiunian | L | 7-6, 7-5 |
| 20.10.2026 | Sebastian Gorzny | W | 7-5, 2-6, 6-4 |
| 29.09.2026 | Andrew Fenty | L | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 27.09.2026 | Nishesh Basavareddy | L | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 26.09.2026 | Timo Legout | W | 6-7, 7-5, 7-5 |
| 25.09.2026 | Federico Agustin Gomez | W | 4-6, 6-4, 6-1 |
| 23.09.2026 | Patrick Maloney | W | 3-6, 7-6, 6-2 |
| 22.09.2026 | Ozan Baris | W | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 16.09.2026 | Nishesh Basavareddy | L | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 24.08.2026 | Max Purcell | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Sebastian Gorzny | Igor Ribeiro Marcondes |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Fenty | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-4 |
| Luca Staeheli | 1-0 W 7-5, 6-2 |
1-0 W 7-6, 6-0 |
| Nishesh Basavareddy | 1-0 W 6-2, 6-4 |
0-2 L 7-5, 6-4, L 6-2, 6-2 |
| Ozan Baris | 0-1 L 7-6, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-1, 6-3 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-20: ATP Fort Worth (X) (USA), model gave Sebastian Gorzny 55% at -149
- 2026-10-19: ATP Fort Worth (X) (USA), model gave Sebastian Gorzny 55% at -149
- 2026-10-18: ATP Fort Worth (X) (USA), model gave Sebastian Gorzny 55% at -149
Sebastian Gorzny vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes: quick answers
Who will win Sebastian Gorzny vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Sebastian Gorzny, giving them a 55% chance to win against Igor Ribeiro Marcondes (45%).
What is the head-to-head record between Sebastian Gorzny and Igor Ribeiro Marcondes?
Igor Ribeiro Marcondes leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 20, 2026, won by Igor Ribeiro Marcondes 7-5, 2-6, 6-4 at USA Fort Worth.
Who is in better form, Sebastian Gorzny or Igor Ribeiro Marcondes?
Sebastian Gorzny is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 3 Losses). Igor Ribeiro Marcondes is 5-5 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Sebastian Gorzny and Igor Ribeiro Marcondes?
Sebastian Gorzny is rated 6627 (ATP #312) and Igor Ribeiro Marcondes is rated 6606 (ATP #346). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Sebastian Gorzny vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes?
Sebastian Gorzny is priced at -149 and Igor Ribeiro Marcondes at +109, which implies a 60% and 48% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.