Pavel Lagutin vs Ignacio Parisca

ATP Catania (Italy), Clay. Saturday, October 10, 2026, 04:00.

Updated

Pavel Lagutin beat Ignacio Parisca 6-3, 6-0, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Pavel Lagutin leads 3-0 in their head-to-head. Lagutin is 6-4 in their last 10, Parisca 5-5.

Result: Pavel Lagutin beat Ignacio Parisca 6-3, 6-0. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Pavel Lagutin a 84% favorite. At -303 the sportsbook implies 75% for Pavel Lagutin, 9 points below the model's 84%.

Model
84%
Book
75%

Model minus book: +9 pts

Model
16%
Book
34%

Model minus book: -17 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Pavel Lagutin at -303 · Model track record

Player comparison

Pavel LagutinIgnacio Parisca
Tennis Gauge rating65606481
Tour rankATP #404ATP #557
Last 10 matches6-45-5
Last 30 days5-23-3
Current streak2 Losses2 Losses
Season record79-2342-27
UTR14.3413.44

Head to head

Pavel Lagutin leads 3-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
11.10.2026Pavel Lagutin6-3, 6-0Italy Catania
31.07.2026Pavel Lagutin6-1, 6-3Spain Xativa
23.07.2026Pavel Lagutin6-3, 1-0Spain Denia

Recent form

Pavel Lagutin, last 10

DateOpponentScore
18.10.2026Yanaki Milev L6-3, 6-4
15.10.2026Massimo Giunta L7-5, 6-3
13.10.2026Michael Geerts W6-4, 6-1
12.10.2026Oleksandr Ovcharenko W3-6, 7-5, 6-3
11.10.2026Ignacio Parisca W6-3, 6-0
22.09.2026Iliyan Radulov L7-5, 6-2
21.09.2026Svyatoslav Gulin W7-6, 3-0
20.09.2026Rares Teodor Pieleanu W6-3, 6-0
16.09.2026Alejandro Moro Canas L6-4, 6-3
15.09.2026Enrico Dalla Valle W3-6, 7-6, 6-3

Ignacio Parisca, last 10

DateOpponentScore
11.10.2026Pavel Lagutin L6-3, 6-0
05.10.2026Filippo Moroni L7-6, 5-7, 7-6
04.10.2026Gabriel Ghetu W6-0, 6-0
27.09.2026Franco Agamenone L2-6, 6-3, 6-2
25.09.2026Ivan Gakhov L6-4, 6-4
24.09.2026Alex Marti Pujolras W7-6, 1-6, 7-6
23.09.2026Cian Maguire W6-1, 6-4
10.09.2026Ryan Nijboer L6-1, 6-1
09.09.2026Alejandro Garcia W6-2, 6-3
08.09.2026Alexander Petrov W6-2, 6-2

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentPavel LagutinIgnacio Parisca
Carlos Lopez Montagud 2-0
W 6-2, 7-5, W 6-2, 6-4
1-0
W 7-6, 6-2
Iliyan Radulov 0-1
L 7-5, 6-2
1-0
W 6-1, 6-1
Lorenzo Angelini 1-0
W 6-2
0-1
L 6-3, 6-0
Mario Arce Fernandez 1-0
W 6-3, 6-2
1-0
W 6-3, 6-2
Max Alcala Gurri 0-1
L 6-7, 6-2, 7-6
0-2
L 6-4, 7-5, L 2-6, 6-0, 6-4
Oriol Roca Batalla 0-1
L 5-7, 7-6, 6-3
0-1
L 6-1, 6-1
Pedro Rodenas 1-1
W 6-2, 7-6, L 6-1, 7-6
1-0
W 6-4, 6-3
Sergio Planella Hernandez 1-0
W 6-0, 7-5
1-0
W 6-4, 5-7, 6-1
Xavi Palomar 1-0
W 6-7, 7-6, 6-4
2-0
W 4-6, 6-0, 6-2, W 6-3, 6-1
Yanaki Milev 0-1
L 6-3, 6-4
0-1
L 7-5, 6-0

Pavel Lagutin vs Ignacio Parisca: quick answers

Who won Pavel Lagutin vs Ignacio Parisca?

Pavel Lagutin beat Ignacio Parisca 6-3, 6-0, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Pavel Lagutin and Ignacio Parisca?

Pavel Lagutin leads 3-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 11, 2026, won by Pavel Lagutin 6-3, 6-0 at Italy Catania.

Who is in better form, Pavel Lagutin or Ignacio Parisca?

Pavel Lagutin is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Ignacio Parisca is 5-5 (current streak: 2 Losses).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Pavel Lagutin and Ignacio Parisca?

Pavel Lagutin is rated 6560 (ATP #404) and Ignacio Parisca is rated 6481 (ATP #557). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Pavel Lagutin vs Ignacio Parisca?

Pavel Lagutin is priced at -303 and Ignacio Parisca at +198, which implies a 75% and 34% chance to win. The model rates Pavel Lagutin 9 points higher than the odds do (84% vs 75%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.