Marie Bouzkova vs Iga Swiatek
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Iga Swiatek, giving them a 63% chance to win against Marie Bouzkova (37%). Iga Swiatek leads 2-0 in their head-to-head. Bouzkova is 6-4 in their last 10, Swiatek 8-2. At +234, the odds imply 30% for Marie Bouzkova, below the model's 37%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Iga Swiatek a 63% favorite. At +234 the sportsbook implies 30% for Marie Bouzkova, 7 points below the model's 37%.
Model minus book: +7 pts
Model minus book: -13 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Marie Bouzkova at +234 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Marie Bouzkova | Iga Swiatek | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 7083 | 7177 |
| Tour rank | WTA #28 | WTA #1 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 8-2 |
| Last 30 days | 4-2 | 6-2 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 37-23 | 45-17 |
| UTR | 12.58 | 12.89 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1882 | 2092 |
| Best surface | Grass | Clay |
| Worst surface | Hard | Hard |
Head to head
Iga Swiatek leads 2-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05.09.2026 | Iga Swiatek | 7-6, 7-6 | USA US Open |
| 22.01.2026 | Iga Swiatek | 6-2, 6-3 | Australia Australian Open |
Recent form
Marie Bouzkova, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24.10.2026 | Leylah Fernandez | L | 6-3, 7-5 |
| 23.10.2026 | Sara Bejlek | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 21.10.2026 | Anastasia Zakharova | W | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 19.10.2026 | Kamilla Rakhimova | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 14.10.2026 | Maja Chwalinska | L | 1-6, 6-1, 6-1 |
| 12.10.2026 | Clara Tauson | W | 6-1, 2-0 |
| 05.10.2026 | Qinwen Zheng | L | 7-6, 4-6, 7-5 |
| 03.10.2026 | Kimberly Birrell | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 22.09.2026 | Sonay Kartal | W | 7-6, 4-6, 6-4 |
| 05.09.2026 | Iga Swiatek | L | 7-6, 7-6 |
Iga Swiatek, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.10.2026 | Maja Chwalinska | L | 7-5, 6-1 |
| 16.10.2026 | Ann Li | W | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 15.10.2026 | Ashlyn Krueger | W | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 14.10.2026 | Magdalena Frech | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 09.10.2026 | Elise Mertens | L | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 07.10.2026 | Iva Jovic | W | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 05.10.2026 | Donna Vekic | W | 4-6, 7-6, 6-2 |
| 03.10.2026 | Xinyu Gao | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 07.9.2026 | Qinwen Zheng | L | 7-5, 6-3 |
| 05.09.2026 | Marie Bouzkova | W | 7-6, 7-6 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Marie Bouzkova | Iga Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Ann Li | 0-1 L 6-3, 7-5 |
1-1 W 6-4, 6-1, L 7-6, 2-6, 3-0 |
| Belinda Bencic | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-7, 6-4 |
0-1 L 3-6, 6-0, 6-3 |
| Coco Gauff | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-2 |
| Donna Vekic | 0-1 L 7-6, 6-3 |
1-0 W 4-6, 7-6, 6-2 |
| Elise Mertens | 0-2 L 6-4, 6-4, L 6-2, 6-2 |
0-1 L 7-6, 6-3 |
| Emiliana Arango | 1-0 W 2-6, 6-1, 2-0 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-0 |
| Emma Navarro | 1-0 W 7-6, 4-6, 6-2 |
0-1 L 7-5, 2-6, 6-3 |
| Iva Jovic | 1-0 W 7-6, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-1, 6-3 |
| Karolina Pliskova | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-1 |
1-0 W 6-1, 6-3 |
| Magdalena Frech | 0-1 L 6-3, 4-6, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-1 |
| Maja Chwalinska | 0-1 L 1-6, 6-1, 6-1 |
0-1 L 7-5, 6-1 |
| Mirra Andreeva | 0-3 L 6-4, 6-2, L 7-6, 6-2, L 6-3, 6-1 |
0-1 L 3-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
| Qinwen Zheng | 0-1 L 7-6, 4-6, 7-5 |
0-1 L 7-5, 6-3 |
| Sara Bejlek | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
2-0 W 6-0, 6-3, W 6-2, 6-3 |
| Taylor Townsend | 0-3 L 7-6, 7-5, L 6-3, 7-5, L 6-2, 6-1 |
1-0 W 6-1, 2-6, 6-3 |
| Viktorija Golubic | 1-0 W 7-6, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-1 |
Marie Bouzkova vs Iga Swiatek: quick answers
Who will win Marie Bouzkova vs Iga Swiatek?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Iga Swiatek, giving them a 63% chance to win against Marie Bouzkova (37%).
What is the head-to-head record between Marie Bouzkova and Iga Swiatek?
Iga Swiatek leads 2-0. Their most recent meeting was on September 5, 2026, won by Iga Swiatek 7-6, 7-6 at USA US Open.
Who is in better form, Marie Bouzkova or Iga Swiatek?
Marie Bouzkova is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Iga Swiatek is 8-2 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Marie Bouzkova and Iga Swiatek?
Marie Bouzkova is rated 7083 (WTA #28) and Iga Swiatek is rated 7177 (WTA #1). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Marie Bouzkova vs Iga Swiatek?
Marie Bouzkova is priced at +234 and Iga Swiatek at -313, which implies a 30% and 76% chance to win. The model rates Marie Bouzkova 7 points higher than the odds do (37% vs 30%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.