Iga Swiatek vs Maja Chwalinska
Updated
Maja Chwalinska beat Iga Swiatek 7-5, 6-1, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Iga Swiatek at 77%. Maja Chwalinska leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Swiatek is 8-2 in their last 10, Chwalinska 8-2.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Iga Swiatek a 77% favorite. At +491 the sportsbook implies 17% for Maja Chwalinska, 6 points below the model's 23%.
Model minus book: -11 pts
Model minus book: +6 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Maja Chwalinska at +491 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Iga Swiatek | Maja Chwalinska | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 7177 | 7071 |
| Tour rank | WTA #1 | WTA #32 |
| Last 10 matches | 8-2 | 8-2 |
| Last 30 days | 6-1 | 7-2 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 6 Wins |
| Season record | 45-17 | 43-21 |
| UTR | 12.89 | 12.57 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 2098 | 1780 |
| Best surface | Clay | Clay |
| Worst surface | Hard | Grass |
Head to head
Maja Chwalinska leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.10.2026 | Maja Chwalinska | 7-5, 6-1 | China Wuhan |
Recent form
Iga Swiatek, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.10.2026 | Maja Chwalinska | L | 7-5, 6-1 |
| 16.10.2026 | Ann Li | W | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 15.10.2026 | Ashlyn Krueger | W | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 14.10.2026 | Magdalena Frech | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 09.10.2026 | Elise Mertens | L | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 07.10.2026 | Iva Jovic | W | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 05.10.2026 | Donna Vekic | W | 4-6, 7-6, 6-2 |
| 03.10.2026 | Xinyu Gao | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 07.9.2026 | Qinwen Zheng | L | 7-5, 6-3 |
| 05.09.2026 | Marie Bouzkova | W | 7-6, 7-6 |
Maja Chwalinska, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.10.2026 | Sonay Kartal | W | 2-6, 6-4, 6-2 |
| 17.10.2026 | Iga Swiatek | W | 7-5, 6-1 |
| 16.10.2026 | Maria Sakkari | W | 6-0, 3-6, 7-5 |
| 15.10.2026 | Iva Jovic | W | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 14.10.2026 | Marie Bouzkova | W | 1-6, 6-1, 6-1 |
| 13.10.2026 | Mayar Sherif | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 02.10.2026 | Dayana Yastremska | L | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 26.09.2026 | Leylah Fernandez | L | 1-6, 6-4, 6-2 |
| 25.09.2026 | Elise Mertens | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 23.09.2026 | Oleksandra Oliynykova | W | 6-0, 6-1 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Iga Swiatek | Maja Chwalinska |
|---|---|---|
| Anna Kalinskaya | 1-0 W 6-1, 1-6, 6-1 |
1-0 W 7-6, 6-3 |
| Diana Shnaider | 1-0 W 6-2, 6-1 |
1-1 L 6-2, 7-6, W 7-6, 6-4 |
| Diane Parry | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-2 |
| Elise Mertens | 0-1 L 7-6, 6-3 |
2-0 W 6-2, 6-2, W 6-4, 6-0 |
| Iva Jovic | 1-0 W 6-1, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-1 |
| Magda Linette | 1-1 W 6-4, 6-4, L 1-6, 7-5, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-3, 3-6, 10-6 |
| Maria Sakkari | 2-1 W 4-6, 6-1, 6-1, W 6-3, 6-2, L 2-6, 6-4, 7-5 |
2-0 W 6-0, 3-6, 7-5, W 1-6, 6-3, 6-2 |
| Marie Bouzkova | 2-0 W 7-6, 7-6, W 6-2, 6-3 |
1-0 W 1-6, 6-1, 6-1 |
| Mirra Andreeva | 0-1 L 3-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-2 |
| Qinwen Zheng | 0-1 L 7-5, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-0 |
| Suzan Lamens | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-2 |
2-0 W 7-6, 7-5, W 6-1, 6-2 |
| Taylor Townsend | 1-0 W 6-1, 2-6, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-3 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-16: WTA Wuhan (China), model gave Iga Swiatek 80% at -714
Iga Swiatek vs Maja Chwalinska: quick answers
Who won Iga Swiatek vs Maja Chwalinska?
Maja Chwalinska beat Iga Swiatek 7-5, 6-1, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Iga Swiatek at 77%.
What is the head-to-head record between Iga Swiatek and Maja Chwalinska?
Maja Chwalinska leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 17, 2026, won by Maja Chwalinska 7-5, 6-1 at China Wuhan.
Who is in better form, Iga Swiatek or Maja Chwalinska?
Iga Swiatek is 8-2 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Maja Chwalinska is 8-2 (current streak: 6 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Iga Swiatek and Maja Chwalinska?
Iga Swiatek is rated 7177 (WTA #1) and Maja Chwalinska is rated 7071 (WTA #32). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Iga Swiatek vs Maja Chwalinska?
Iga Swiatek is priced at -714 and Maja Chwalinska at +491, which implies a 88% and 17% chance to win. The model rates Maja Chwalinska 6 points higher than the odds do (23% vs 17%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.