Hugo Gaston vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Updated
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer beat Hugo Gaston 6-1, 7-6, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Hugo Gaston at 67%. Nicolai Budkov Kjaer leads 2-0 in their head-to-head. Gaston is 5-5 in their last 10, Kjaer 6-4.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Hugo Gaston a 67% favorite. At -137 the sportsbook implies 58% for Hugo Gaston, 9 points below the model's 67%.
Model minus book: +9 pts
Model minus book: -17 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Hugo Gaston at -137 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Hugo Gaston | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6796 | 6762 |
| Tour rank | ATP #121 | ATP #146 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 4-2 | 4-2 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 34-30 | 36-35 |
| UTR | 14.87 | 14.46 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1696 | 1579 |
| Best surface | Hard | Hard |
| Worst surface | Grass | Grass |
Head to head
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer leads 2-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.10.2026 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 6-1, 7-6 | France Roanne |
| 12.08.2026 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 6-2, 3-6, 6-4 | USA Cincinnati |
Recent form
Hugo Gaston, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Moise Kouame | L | 7-5, 2-1 |
| 28.10.2026 | Daniil Glinka | W | 6-7, 7-6, 6-1 |
| 20.10.2026 | Jacob Fearnley | L | 6-3, 6-0 |
| 16.10.2026 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | L | 6-1, 7-6 |
| 14.10.2026 | Pierre Hugues Herbert | W | 3-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 12.10.2026 | Daniel Jade | W | 6-1, 6-1 |
| 05.10.2026 | Liam Draxl | L | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 27.09.2026 | Andrey Rublev | L | 6-7, 7-6, 6-1 |
| 25.09.2026 | Jaime Faria | W | 4-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
| 24.09.2026 | Sho Shimabukuro | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Federico Cina | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 27.10.2026 | Kilian Feldbausch | W | 6-7, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 19.10.2026 | Clement Tabur | L | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 18.10.2026 | Ugo Blanchet | W | 3-6, 6-1, 6-3 |
| 17.10.2026 | Matteo Martineau | L | 7-5, 7-6 |
| 16.10.2026 | Hugo Gaston | W | 6-1, 7-6 |
| 15.10.2026 | Moise Kouame | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 13.10.2026 | Jakub Paul | W | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 01.10.2026 | Felix Balshaw | L | 7-5, 4-6, 7-6 |
| 29.09.2026 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Hugo Gaston | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer |
|---|---|---|
| Andrea Pellegrino | 0-1 L 6-1, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-2 |
| Cameron Norrie | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-4 |
| Christopher Oconnell | 0-1 L 6-2, 6-3 |
0-1 L 7-5, 6-4 |
| Damir Dzumhur | 1-0 W 5-0 |
0-1 L 7-6, 7-5 |
| Daniil Medvedev | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-2, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-2 |
| Federico Cina | 1-0 W 7-5, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-3 |
| Jacob Fearnley | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-0 |
0-1 L 3-6, 6-3, 10-7 |
| Jan Choinski | 0-1 L 4-6, 6-0, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-4, 7-6 |
| Jesper De Jong | 1-0 W 7-6, 6-1 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-1 |
| Martin Landaluce | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-2 |
1-0 W 4-1, 3-4, 4-2, 4-3 |
| Moez Echargui | 1-0 W 6-1, 5-7, 6-2, 6-4 |
2-0 W 6-7, 7-5, 6-1, W 6-1, 6-0 |
| Moise Kouame | 1-1 L 7-5, 2-1, W 3-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-2 |
| Pierre Hugues Herbert | 1-1 W 3-6, 6-3, 6-4, L 7-5, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-3 |
| Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | 1-0 W 6-2, 6-4 |
0-1 L 7-6, 6-3 |
| Sebastian Ofner | 1-1 L 6-4, 6-2, W 6-2, 3-6, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-7, 6-3, 7-6 |
| Sho Shimabukuro | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-4 |
| Titouan Droguet | 1-0 W 6-0, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-7, 6-2, 6-4 |
| Ugo Blanchet | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-1 |
1-0 W 3-6, 6-1, 6-3 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-15: ATP Roanne (France), model gave Hugo Gaston 67% at -137
Hugo Gaston vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer: quick answers
Who won Hugo Gaston vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer?
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer beat Hugo Gaston 6-1, 7-6, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Hugo Gaston at 67%.
What is the head-to-head record between Hugo Gaston and Nicolai Budkov Kjaer?
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer leads 2-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 16, 2026, won by Nicolai Budkov Kjaer 6-1, 7-6 at France Roanne.
Who is in better form, Hugo Gaston or Nicolai Budkov Kjaer?
Hugo Gaston is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Nicolai Budkov Kjaer is 6-4 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Hugo Gaston and Nicolai Budkov Kjaer?
Hugo Gaston is rated 6796 (ATP #121) and Nicolai Budkov Kjaer is rated 6762 (ATP #146). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Hugo Gaston vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer?
Hugo Gaston is priced at -137 and Nicolai Budkov Kjaer at -101, which implies a 58% and 50% chance to win. The model rates Hugo Gaston 9 points higher than the odds do (67% vs 58%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.