Hugo Gaston vs Moise Kouame
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Hugo Gaston, giving them a 63% chance to win against Moise Kouame (37%). They are tied 1-1 in their head-to-head. Gaston is 5-5 in their last 10, Kouame 5-5. At -106, the odds imply 51% for Hugo Gaston, below the model's 63%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Hugo Gaston a 63% favorite. At -106 the sportsbook implies 51% for Hugo Gaston, 11 points below the model's 63%.
Model minus book: +11 pts
Model minus book: -17 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Hugo Gaston at -106 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Hugo Gaston | Moise Kouame | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6796 | 6728 |
| Tour rank | ATP #121 | ATP #177 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 3-3 | 3-2 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 2 Wins |
| Season record | 34-30 | 38-26 |
| UTR | 14.87 | 14.65 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1677 | 1476 |
| Best surface | Clay | Hard |
| Worst surface | Hard | Clay |
Head to head
Tied 1-1.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Moise Kouame | 7-5, 2-1 | France Brest |
| 06.03.2026 | Hugo Gaston | 3-6, 6-3, 6-4 | France Thionville |
Recent form
Hugo Gaston, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Moise Kouame | L | 7-5, 2-1 |
| 28.10.2026 | Daniil Glinka | W | 6-7, 7-6, 6-1 |
| 20.10.2026 | Jacob Fearnley | L | 6-3, 6-0 |
| 16.10.2026 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | L | 6-1, 7-6 |
| 14.10.2026 | Pierre Hugues Herbert | W | 3-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 12.10.2026 | Daniel Jade | W | 6-1, 6-1 |
| 05.10.2026 | Liam Draxl | L | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 27.09.2026 | Andrey Rublev | L | 6-7, 7-6, 6-1 |
| 25.09.2026 | Jaime Faria | W | 4-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
| 24.09.2026 | Sho Shimabukuro | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
Moise Kouame, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Hugo Gaston | W | 7-5, 2-1 |
| 27.10.2026 | Hugo Grenier | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 21.10.2026 | Lorenzo Musetti | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 19.10.2026 | Lorenzo Sonego | W | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 15.10.2026 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 13.10.2026 | Diego Dedura Palomero | W | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 30.09.2026 | Adam Walton | L | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 24.09.2026 | Alexandre Muller | L | 6-4, 6-0 |
| 19.09.2026 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | L | 2-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 18.09.2026 | Florent Bax | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Hugo Gaston | Moise Kouame |
|---|---|---|
| Andrey Chepelev | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-1 |
1-0 W 6-1, 6-2 |
| Luca Van Assche | 0-3 L 6-4, 6-4, L 6-4, 7-5, L 6-4, 7-6 |
0-1 L 6-1, 6-1 |
| Moez Echargui | 1-0 W 6-1, 5-7, 6-2, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-4, 2-6, 7-6 |
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 0-2 L 6-1, 7-6, L 6-2, 3-6, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-2 |
| Nishesh Basavareddy | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-1 |
1-1 L 7-6, 4-6, 6-3, W 6-3, 6-3 |
| Titouan Droguet | 1-0 W 6-0, 6-3 |
0-1 L 7-6, 6-4 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-29: ATP Brest (France), model gave Hugo Gaston 63% at -106
Hugo Gaston vs Moise Kouame: quick answers
Who will win Hugo Gaston vs Moise Kouame?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Hugo Gaston, giving them a 63% chance to win against Moise Kouame (37%).
What is the head-to-head record between Hugo Gaston and Moise Kouame?
They are tied 1-1. Their most recent meeting was on October 29, 2026, won by Moise Kouame 7-5, 2-1 at France Brest.
Who is in better form, Hugo Gaston or Moise Kouame?
Hugo Gaston is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Moise Kouame is 5-5 (current streak: 2 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Hugo Gaston and Moise Kouame?
Hugo Gaston is rated 6796 (ATP #121) and Moise Kouame is rated 6728 (ATP #177). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Hugo Gaston vs Moise Kouame?
Hugo Gaston is priced at -106 and Moise Kouame at -120, which implies a 51% and 55% chance to win. The model rates Hugo Gaston 11 points higher than the odds do (63% vs 51%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.