Hugo Dellien vs Juan Manuel La Serna

ATP Cali (VII) (Colombia), Clay. Wednesday, October 21, 2026, 10:40.

Updated

Tennis Gauge's model favors Hugo Dellien, giving them a 69% chance to win against Juan Manuel La Serna (31%). Hugo Dellien leads 2-1 in their head-to-head. Dellien is 7-3 in their last 10, Serna 6-4.

This preview is from Wednesday, October 21, 2026. The result isn't in the database yet.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Hugo Dellien a 69% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
69%
Book
72%

Model minus book: -3 pts

Model
31%
Book
37%

Model minus book: -6 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Hugo Dellien at -256 · Model track record

Player comparison

Hugo DellienJuan Manuel La Serna
Tennis Gauge rating67486633
Tour rankATP #157ATP #306
Last 10 matches7-36-4
Last 30 days5-23-1
Current streak2 Wins2 Losses
Season record53-2745-24
UTR14.814.27
Elo (52 weeks)16191510
Best surfaceClayClay
Worst surfaceGrassHard

Head to head

Hugo Dellien leads 2-1.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
20.10.2026Juan Manuel La Serna6-3, 2-0Colombia Cali
17.10.2026Hugo Dellien6-4, 6-3Bolivia Santa Cruz de la Sierra
06.02.2026Hugo Dellien6-3, 6-2Argentina Rosario

Recent form

Hugo Dellien, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez W7-5, 6-2
27.10.2026Nicolas Jarry W6-1, 6-3
20.10.2026Juan Manuel La Serna L6-3, 2-0
18.10.2026Thiago Seyboth Wild L6-4, 6-3
17.10.2026Juan Manuel La Serna W6-4, 6-3
16.10.2026Luis Guto Miguel W6-2, 6-4
14.10.2026Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez W6-3, 7-5
13.10.2026Bernardo Munk Mesa W6-3, 7-5
23.09.2026Nicolas Kicker L4-6, 7-5, 6-0
22.09.2026Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida W5-7, 6-4, 6-4

Juan Manuel La Serna, last 10

DateOpponentScore
27.10.2026Nick Hardt L6-3, 3-6, 6-1
23.10.2026Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida L6-4, 4-6, 7-5
21.10.2026Juan Bautista Torres W6-4, 6-2
20.10.2026Hugo Dellien W6-3, 2-0
17.10.2026Hugo Dellien L6-4, 6-3
16.10.2026Franco Roncadelli W6-1, 6-7, 6-4
15.10.2026Guido Ivan Justo W6-1
13.10.2026Hernan Casanova W6-3, 6-4
10.09.2026Lukas Neumayer L7-5, 6-7, 6-1
08.09.2026Filip Cristian Jianu W6-4, 3-6, 6-3

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentHugo DellienJuan Manuel La Serna
Benjamin Hassan 1-0
W 7-5, 5-3
1-0
W 6-2, 3-6, 7-5
Eduardo Ribeiro 1-0
W 4-6, 6-1, 6-2
1-0
W 6-3, 7-6
Facundo Mena 0-1
L 7-6, 6-4
1-0
W 6-3, 6-3
Felipe Meligeni Alves 1-0
W 6-3, 6-2
1-0
W 2-6, 6-3, 2-0
Franco Agamenone 1-0
W 6-2, 6-3
0-1
L 7-6, 6-3
Gonzalo Villanueva 1-0
W 7-6, 6-4
1-0
W 6-3, 6-4
Gustavo Heide 1-0
W 6-3, 7-5
0-1
L 6-1, 6-1
Juan Bautista Torres 0-1
L 0-6, 6-4, 6-1
3-0
W 6-4, 6-2, W 6-4, 6-2, W 6-3, 2-6, 6-4
Juan Estevez 1-0
W 6-4, 6-3
0-1
L 3-6, 6-3, 6-3
Lautaro Midon 1-0
W 7-6, 6-1
0-2
L 7-6, 2-6, 7-5, L 4-6, 6-3, 6-3
Luis Guto Miguel 1-0
W 6-2, 6-4
0-1
L 6-4, 6-2
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida 2-0
W 5-7, 6-4, 6-4, W 6-4, 4-6, 7-6
0-1
L 6-4, 4-6, 7-5
Maximo Zeitune 1-0
W 6-4, 6-4
1-0
W 6-3, 6-4
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 1-0
W 3-6, 6-0, 7-5
0-1
L 6-4, 6-1
Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna 1-0
W 3-6, 6-4, 6-1
2-0
W 6-2, 1-0, W 7-6, 6-3
Thiago Seyboth Wild 0-1
L 6-4, 6-3
0-1
L 6-3, 6-3
Valerio Aboian 1-0
W 6-1, 6-4
2-0
W 4-6, 6-1, 6-0, W 7-6, 6-2

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-20: ATP Cali (VII) (Colombia), model gave Hugo Dellien 69% at -256
  • 2026-10-17: ATP Santa Cruz de la Sierra (Bolivia), model gave Juan Manuel La Serna 30% at +299
  • 2026-10-16: ATP Santa Cruz de la Sierra (Bolivia), model gave Juan Manuel La Serna 26% at +299

Hugo Dellien vs Juan Manuel La Serna: quick answers

Who will win Hugo Dellien vs Juan Manuel La Serna?

Tennis Gauge's model favors Hugo Dellien, giving them a 69% chance to win against Juan Manuel La Serna (31%).

What is the head-to-head record between Hugo Dellien and Juan Manuel La Serna?

Hugo Dellien leads 2-1. Their most recent meeting was on October 20, 2026, won by Juan Manuel La Serna 6-3, 2-0 at Colombia Cali.

Who is in better form, Hugo Dellien or Juan Manuel La Serna?

Hugo Dellien is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Juan Manuel La Serna is 6-4 (current streak: 2 Losses).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Hugo Dellien and Juan Manuel La Serna?

Hugo Dellien is rated 6748 (ATP #157) and Juan Manuel La Serna is rated 6633 (ATP #306). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Hugo Dellien vs Juan Manuel La Serna?

Hugo Dellien is priced at -256 and Juan Manuel La Serna at +170, which implies a 72% and 37% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.