Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz
Updated
Hubert Hurkacz beat Novak Djokovic 6-4, 6-3, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Novak Djokovic at 68%. Hubert Hurkacz leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Djokovic is 5-5 in their last 10, Hurkacz 7-3.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Novak Djokovic a 68% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: +3 pts
Model minus book: -8 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Novak Djokovic at -192 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Novak Djokovic | Hubert Hurkacz | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6947 | 6943 |
| Tour rank | ATP #15 | ATP #16 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 7-3 |
| Last 30 days | 5-0 | 8-2 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 19-11 | 37-24 |
| UTR | 16.09 | 15.96 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 2047 | 1847 |
| Best surface | Hard | Grass |
| Worst surface | Clay | Hard |
Head to head
Hubert Hurkacz leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09.10.2026 | Hubert Hurkacz | 6-4, 6-3 | China Shangai - Masters |
Recent form
Novak Djokovic, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Jan Lennard Struff | L | 6-7, 7-5, 7-6 |
| 28.10.2026 | Ugo Humbert | W | 4-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 09.10.2026 | Hubert Hurkacz | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 06.10.2026 | Alex De Minaur | L | 7-6, 0-1 |
| 05.10.2026 | Daniil Medvedev | W | 7-5, 5-3 |
| 04.10.2026 | Alexander Zverev | W | 4-6, 6-4, 6-4 |
| 02.10.2026 | Bu Yunchaokete | W | 4-6, 7-6, 6-2 |
| 30.09.2026 | Nuno Borges | W | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 31.08.2026 | Mariano Navone | L | 7-6, 5-7, 4-6, 6-2, 6-1 |
| 15.08.2026 | Thiago Agustin Tirante | L | 2-6, 6-4, 6-4 |
Hubert Hurkacz, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Holger Rune | L | 3-6, 6-3, 7-6 |
| 27.10.2026 | Zizou Bergs | W | 3-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 13.10.2026 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L | 1-6, 6-3, 7-6 |
| 11.10.2026 | Yi Zhou | W | 6-2, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 09.10.2026 | Novak Djokovic | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 08.10.2026 | James Duckworth | W | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 05.10.2026 | Alex De Minaur | L | 6-4, 3-2 |
| 04.10.2026 | Karen Khachanov | W | 7-6, 6-2 |
| 02.10.2026 | Arthur Gea | W | 7-6, 6-7, 6-2 |
| 01.10.2026 | Learner Tien | W | 5-7, 6-3, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Novak Djokovic | Hubert Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | 1-0 W 6-4, 1-6, 6-4 |
0-1 L 7-6, 7-6 |
| Alex De Minaur | 0-1 L 7-6, 0-1 |
0-2 L 6-4, 3-2, L 6-4, 4-6, 6-4 |
| Alexander Zverev | 1-0 W 4-6, 6-4, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
| Botic Van De Zandschulp | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-4, 7-6 |
0-1 L 3-6, 7-6, 7-5 |
| Jan Lennard Struff | 0-1 L 6-7, 7-5, 7-6 |
0-1 L 3-6, 6-7, 7-6, 7-5, 4-2 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | 0-1 L 4-6, 3-6, 3-1 |
0-1 L 6-4, 7-6 |
| Roman Safiullin | 1-0 W 7-6, 6-3, 3-6, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-3 |
| Tommy Paul | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-7, 7-5 |
1-1 L 6-4, 6-7, 6-3, W 4-6, 7-6, 7-5, 6-2 |
Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz: quick answers
Who won Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz?
Hubert Hurkacz beat Novak Djokovic 6-4, 6-3, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Novak Djokovic at 68%.
What is the head-to-head record between Novak Djokovic and Hubert Hurkacz?
Hubert Hurkacz leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 9, 2026, won by Hubert Hurkacz 6-4, 6-3 at China Shangai - Masters.
Who is in better form, Novak Djokovic or Hubert Hurkacz?
Novak Djokovic is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Hubert Hurkacz is 7-3 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Novak Djokovic and Hubert Hurkacz?
Novak Djokovic is rated 6947 (ATP #15) and Hubert Hurkacz is rated 6943 (ATP #16). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz?
Novak Djokovic is priced at -192 and Hubert Hurkacz at +154, which implies a 66% and 39% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.