Hollie Smart vs Jessika Ponchet
Updated
Jessika Ponchet beat Hollie Smart 6-2, 6-3, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Jessika Ponchet leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Smart is 5-5 in their last 10, Ponchet 5-5.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Jessika Ponchet a 98% favorite. At -1000 the sportsbook implies 91% for Jessika Ponchet, 7 points below the model's 98%.
Model minus book: -17 pts
Model minus book: +7 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Jessika Ponchet at -1000 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Hollie Smart | Jessika Ponchet | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6229 | 6795 |
| Tour rank | WTA #1216 | WTA #199 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Current streak | 3 Losses | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 6-5 | 23-21 |
| UTR | 10.53 | 11.79 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | – | 1572 |
| Best surface | – | Clay |
| Worst surface | – | Hard |
Head to head
Jessika Ponchet leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13.10.2026 | Jessika Ponchet | 6-2, 6-3 | United Kingdom Birmingham |
Recent form
Hollie Smart, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13.10.2026 | Jessika Ponchet | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 06.09.2026 | Polina Skliar | L | 2-6, 4-6 |
| 27.07.2026 | Francesca Gandolfi | L | 6-1, 3-6, 10-6 |
| 26.07.2026 | Lois Newberry | W | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 06.07.2026 | Renee Alame | L | 5-7, 2-6 |
| 31.05.2026 | Luna Maria Cinalli | L | 4-6, 4-6 |
| 20.04.2026 | Isabelle Thi Deluccia | W | 4-6, 2-6 |
| 20.04.2026 | Emily Craven | W | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 11.03.2026 | Caroline Shao | W | 6-4, 6-0 |
| 05.03.2026 | Elicia Lin | W | 6-1, 6-2 |
Jessika Ponchet, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23.10.2026 | Manon Leonard | L | 7-6, 6-1 |
| 22.10.2026 | Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 21.10.2026 | Elena Ruxandra Bertea | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 16.10.2026 | Manon Leonard | L | 5-7, 7-6, 6-2 |
| 16.10.2026 | Manon Leonard | L | 5-7, 7-6, 6-2 |
| 15.10.2026 | Mayuka Aikawa | W | 6-3, 3-6, 6-1 |
| 14.10.2026 | Amelia Rajecki | W | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 13.10.2026 | Hollie Smart | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 23.06.2026 | Polina Kudermetova | L | 1-6, 6-2, 6-3 |
| 20.05.2026 | Linda Fruhvirtova | L | 6-1, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-12: WTA Kingdom Birmingham (XI) (United Kingdom), model gave Hollie Smart 2% at +425
Hollie Smart vs Jessika Ponchet: quick answers
Who won Hollie Smart vs Jessika Ponchet?
Jessika Ponchet beat Hollie Smart 6-2, 6-3, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Hollie Smart and Jessika Ponchet?
Jessika Ponchet leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 13, 2026, won by Jessika Ponchet 6-2, 6-3 at United Kingdom Birmingham.
Who is in better form, Hollie Smart or Jessika Ponchet?
Hollie Smart is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 3 Losses). Jessika Ponchet is 5-5 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Hollie Smart and Jessika Ponchet?
Hollie Smart is rated 6229 (WTA #1216) and Jessika Ponchet is rated 6795 (WTA #199). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Hollie Smart vs Jessika Ponchet?
Hollie Smart is priced at +425 and Jessika Ponchet at -1000, which implies a 19% and 91% chance to win. The model rates Jessika Ponchet 7 points higher than the odds do (98% vs 91%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.