Valentin Vacherot vs Holger Rune
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Valentin Vacherot, giving them a 63% chance to win against Holger Rune (37%). Vacherot is 6-4 in their last 10, Rune 4-2. At -145, the odds imply 59% for Valentin Vacherot, below the model's 63%.
Prediction
The model makes Valentin Vacherot a 63% favorite. At -145 the sportsbook implies 59% for Valentin Vacherot, 4 points below the model's 63%.
Model minus book: +4 pts
Model minus book: -8 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Valentin Vacherot at -145 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Valentin Vacherot | Holger Rune | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6904 | 6859 |
| Tour rank | ATP #39 | ATP #75 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 4-2 |
| Last 30 days | 4-3 | 2-1 |
| Current streak | 2 Wins | 2 Wins |
| Season record | 28-19 | 4-2 |
| UTR | 15.94 | 15.83 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1877 | – |
| Best surface | Hard | – |
| Worst surface | Grass | – |
Head to head
Valentin Vacherot and Holger Rune haven't played each other in our records.
Recent form
Valentin Vacherot, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Rafael Jodar | W | 7-6, 2-6, 7-6 |
| 26.10.2026 | Mariano Navone | W | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 22.10.2026 | Luca Van Assche | L | 2-6, 6-4, 6-4 |
| 12.10.2026 | Tommy Paul | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 10.10.2026 | Sebastian Baez | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 05.10.2026 | Jiri Lehecka | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 04.10.2026 | Arthur Fils | W | 7-5, 4-6, 6-4 |
| 02.10.2026 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | W | 4-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
| 30.09.2026 | Alexander Blockx | W | 7-6, 7-6 |
| 26.09.2026 | Lloyd Harris | L | 6-4, 7-6 |
Holger Rune, last 6
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Hubert Hurkacz | W | 3-6, 6-3, 7-6 |
| 26.10.2026 | Quentin Halys | W | 6-4, 6-7, 7-6 |
| 07.10.2026 | Daniel Altmaier | L | 1-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
| 01.10.2026 | Kyrian Jacquet | L | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 19.09.2026 | Grigor Dimitrov | W | 3-6, 6-3, 7-6 |
| 18.09.2026 | Iliyan Radulov | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Valentin Vacherot | Holger Rune |
|---|---|---|
| Hubert Hurkacz | 1-0 W 6-7, 6-3, 6-4 |
1-0 W 3-6, 6-3, 7-6 |
| Quentin Halys | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-7, 7-6 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-11-01: ATP Basel (Switzerland), model gave Valentin Vacherot 63% at -145
- 2026-10-31: ATP Basel (Switzerland), model gave Valentin Vacherot 63% at -145
- 2026-10-30: ATP Basel (Switzerland), model gave Valentin Vacherot 63% at -145
Valentin Vacherot vs Holger Rune: quick answers
Who will win Valentin Vacherot vs Holger Rune?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Valentin Vacherot, giving them a 63% chance to win against Holger Rune (37%).
Have Valentin Vacherot and Holger Rune played before?
Not in Tennis Gauge's records. This would be their first recorded meeting.
Who is in better form, Valentin Vacherot or Holger Rune?
Valentin Vacherot is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Holger Rune is 4-2 (current streak: 2 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Valentin Vacherot and Holger Rune?
Valentin Vacherot is rated 6904 (ATP #39) and Holger Rune is rated 6859 (ATP #75). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Valentin Vacherot vs Holger Rune?
Valentin Vacherot is priced at -145 and Holger Rune at +122, which implies a 59% and 45% chance to win. The model rates Valentin Vacherot 4 points higher than the odds do (63% vs 59%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.