Holger Rune vs Raphael Collignon
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Raphael Collignon, giving them a 60% chance to win against Holger Rune (40%). Rune is 4-2 in their last 10, Collignon 3-7. At +115, the odds imply 47% for Raphael Collignon, below the model's 60%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Raphael Collignon a 60% favorite. At +115 the sportsbook implies 47% for Raphael Collignon, 13 points below the model's 60%.
Model minus book: -20 pts
Model minus book: +13 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Raphael Collignon at +115 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Holger Rune | Raphael Collignon | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6859 | 6880 |
| Tour rank | ATP #75 | ATP #53 |
| Last 10 matches | 4-2 | 3-7 |
| Last 30 days | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Current streak | 2 Wins | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 4-2 | 38-20 |
| UTR | 15.83 | 15.8 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | – | 1796 |
| Best surface | – | Clay |
| Worst surface | – | Grass |
Head to head
Holger Rune and Raphael Collignon haven't played each other in our records.
Recent form
Holger Rune, last 6
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Hubert Hurkacz | W | 3-6, 6-3, 7-6 |
| 26.10.2026 | Quentin Halys | W | 6-4, 6-7, 7-6 |
| 07.10.2026 | Daniel Altmaier | L | 1-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
| 01.10.2026 | Kyrian Jacquet | L | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 19.09.2026 | Grigor Dimitrov | W | 3-6, 6-3, 7-6 |
| 18.09.2026 | Iliyan Radulov | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
Raphael Collignon, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22.10.2026 | Jiri Lehecka | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 20.10.2026 | Nishesh Basavareddy | W | 3-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 31.08.2026 | Sebastian Gorzny | L | 3-6, 6-3, 3-6, 6-3, 7-6 |
| 25.08.2026 | Rinky Hijikata | L | 3-6, 7-6, 7-6 |
| 13.08.2026 | Mariano Navone | L | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 05.08.2026 | Alexei Popyrin | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 21.07.2026 | Daniel Altmaier | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 19.07.2026 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | L | 6-4, 6-7, 6-3 |
| 18.07.2026 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | W | 1-6, 7-6, 7-5 |
| 17.07.2026 | Valentin Vacherot | W | 7-6, 4-6, 7-5 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Holger Rune | Raphael Collignon |
|---|---|---|
| Daniel Altmaier | 0-1 L 1-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-2 |
| Grigor Dimitrov | 1-0 W 3-6, 6-3, 7-6 |
2-0 W 7-6, 4-6, 7-6, W 7-6, 6-3 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-19: ATP Brussels (X) (Belgium), model gave Holger Rune 40% at -152
- 2026-10-18: ATP Brussels (X) (Belgium), model gave Holger Rune 40% at -152
Holger Rune vs Raphael Collignon: quick answers
Who will win Holger Rune vs Raphael Collignon?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Raphael Collignon, giving them a 60% chance to win against Holger Rune (40%).
Have Holger Rune and Raphael Collignon played before?
Not in Tennis Gauge's records. This would be their first recorded meeting.
Who is in better form, Holger Rune or Raphael Collignon?
Holger Rune is 4-2 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Raphael Collignon is 3-7 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Holger Rune and Raphael Collignon?
Holger Rune is rated 6859 (ATP #75) and Raphael Collignon is rated 6880 (ATP #53). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Holger Rune vs Raphael Collignon?
Holger Rune is priced at -152 and Raphael Collignon at +115, which implies a 60% and 47% chance to win. The model rates Raphael Collignon 13 points higher than the odds do (60% vs 47%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.