Himari Sato vs Minori Natsuka
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Himari Sato, giving them a 63% chance to win against Minori Natsuka (37%). Himari Sato leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Sato is 7-3 in their last 10, Natsuka 4-6. At +750, the odds imply 12% for Minori Natsuka, below the model's 37%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Himari Sato a 63% favorite. At +750 the sportsbook implies 12% for Minori Natsuka, 25 points below the model's 37%.
Model minus book: -35 pts
Model minus book: +25 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Minori Natsuka at +750 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Himari Sato | Minori Natsuka | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6204 | 5814 |
| Tour rank | WTA #1299 | WTA #2884 |
| Last 10 matches | 7-3 | 4-6 |
| Last 30 days | 7-2 | 0-1 |
| Current streak | 2 Losses | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 49-30 | 8-21 |
| UTR | 9.63 | 8.77 |
Head to head
Himari Sato leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.10.2026 | Himari Sato | 6-4, 6-1 | Asia UTR Pro Tennis Series |
Recent form
Himari Sato, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23.10.2026 | Michiru Furuya | L | 7-6, 6-2 |
| 23.10.2026 | Sae Noguchi | L | 6-3, 7-5 |
| 20.10.2026 | Haruka Nishimura | W | 6-2, 7-5 |
| 19.10.2026 | Minori Natsuka | W | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 10.10.2026 | Naho Sato | L | 6-2, 6-0 |
| 09.10.2026 | Yuno Kitahara | W | 3-6, 6-2, 6-3 |
| 08.10.2026 | Mio Mushika | W | 4-6, 7-5, 6-0 |
| 07.10.2026 | Ava Beck | W | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 06.10.2026 | Riko Kikawada | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 04.10.2026 | Arabelle Mancini | W | 6-1, 6-3 |
Minori Natsuka, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23.10.2026 | Shizuka Sakurada | L | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 22.10.2026 | Kokoa Nakao | W | 2-6, 6-4, 6-2 |
| 22.10.2026 | Neon Kinoshita | W | 3-6, 6-3, 6-3 |
| 20.10.2026 | Natsuko Saegusa | L | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 19.10.2026 | Himari Sato | L | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 05.05.2026 | Mutsumi Uemura | L | 6-1, 6-0 |
| 04.05.2026 | Ayaka Ozeki | W | 4-6, 6-3, 13-11 |
| 14.03.2026 | Natsumi Shioya | L | 6-1, 3-6, 7-5 |
| 12.03.2026 | Sayuri Hata | W | 7-5, 7-5 |
| 11.03.2026 | Azuna Ichioka | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Himari Sato | Minori Natsuka |
|---|---|---|
| Azuna Ichioka | 1-0 W 6-1, 7-5 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-3 |
| Azusa Ishii | 0-1 L 7-5, 7-6 |
0-2 L 6-3, 6-2, L 6-1, 7-5 |
| Junri Namigata | 0-1 L 6-3, 3-6, 7-6 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-2 |
| Kurumi Tamura | 0-2 L 6-2, 3-6, 10-7, L 7-6, 6-1 |
0-1 L 6-2, 7-5 |
| Michiru Furuya | 0-3 L 7-6, 6-2, L 6-3, 6-3, L 6-2, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-1, 6-2 |
| Mutsumi Uemura | 0-1 L 6-4, 7-5 |
0-1 L 6-1, 6-0 |
| Natsumi Shioya | 1-0 W 6-2, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-1, 3-6, 7-5 |
| Shigeta Mua | 2-0 W 6-2, 6-4, W 6-1, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-3 |
| Shiho Tsujioka | 0-2 L 6-2, 6-1, L 6-4, 6-1 |
0-1 L 6-1, 6-1 |
| Yasmin Vavrova | 1-0 W 6-1, 6-3 |
1-0 W 7-6, 6-1 |
| Yuna Ohashi | 1-0 W 6-1, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-0, 6-2 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-19: WTA UTR Pro Tennis Series (exh.) (), model gave Himari Sato 63% at -5000
- 2026-10-18: WTA UTR Pro Tennis Series (exh.) (), model gave Himari Sato 63% at -5000
Himari Sato vs Minori Natsuka: quick answers
Who will win Himari Sato vs Minori Natsuka?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Himari Sato, giving them a 63% chance to win against Minori Natsuka (37%).
What is the head-to-head record between Himari Sato and Minori Natsuka?
Himari Sato leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 19, 2026, won by Himari Sato 6-4, 6-1 at Asia UTR Pro Tennis Series.
Who is in better form, Himari Sato or Minori Natsuka?
Himari Sato is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Minori Natsuka is 4-6 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Himari Sato and Minori Natsuka?
Himari Sato is rated 6204 (WTA #1299) and Minori Natsuka is rated 5814 (WTA #2884). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Himari Sato vs Minori Natsuka?
Himari Sato is priced at -5000 and Minori Natsuka at +750, which implies a 98% and 12% chance to win. The model rates Minori Natsuka 25 points higher than the odds do (37% vs 12%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.