Hikaru Shiraishi vs Yu Tanaka
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Hikaru Shiraishi, giving them a 75% chance to win against Yu Tanaka (25%). Hikaru Shiraishi leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Shiraishi is 5-5 in their last 10, Tanaka 7-3. At -192, the odds imply 66% for Hikaru Shiraishi, below the model's 75%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Hikaru Shiraishi a 75% favorite. At -192 the sportsbook implies 66% for Hikaru Shiraishi, 9 points below the model's 75%.
Model minus book: +9 pts
Model minus book: -17 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Hikaru Shiraishi at -192 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Hikaru Shiraishi | Yu Tanaka | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6390 | 6272 |
| Tour rank | ATP #819 | ATP #1269 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 7-3 |
| Last 30 days | 2-2 | 2-1 |
| Current streak | 2 Wins | 1 Win |
| Season record | 33-32 | 15-10 |
| UTR | 13.47 | 13.07 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1117 | – |
| Best surface | Clay | – |
| Worst surface | Hard | – |
Head to head
Hikaru Shiraishi leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Hikaru Shiraishi | 6-0 | Japan Yanagawa |
Recent form
Hikaru Shiraishi, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Yu Tanaka | W | 6-0 |
| 28.10.2026 | Sho Katayama | W | 7-6, 6-2 |
| 22.10.2026 | Hugo Hashimoto | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 21.10.2026 | Sora Fukuda | W | 7-5, 2-1 |
| 06.10.2026 | Ryan Seggerman | L | 7-6, 6-7, 7-6 |
| 28.09.2026 | Adam Walton | L | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 15.09.2026 | Jake Delaney | L | 4-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 11.09.2026 | Seong Chan Hong | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 10.09.2026 | Chan Yeong Oh | W | 6-4, 6-0 |
| 08.09.2026 | Yusuke Takahashi | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
Yu Tanaka, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Saki Tange | W | 6-0, 7-5 |
| 22.10.2026 | Hyu Kawanishi | L | 7-6, 4-6, 6-4 |
| 21.10.2026 | Kokoro Isomura | W | 4-6, 6-3, 6-0 |
| 10.09.2026 | Keisuke Saitoh | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 09.09.2026 | Ryuki Matsuda | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 07.09.2026 | Yuichiro Inui | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 06.09.2026 | Kotaro Matsumura | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 01.09.2026 | Makoto Ochi | L | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 31.08.2026 | Naoki Tajima | W | 6-4, 1-0 |
| 30.08.2026 | Kaede Katayama | W | 7-6, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Hikaru Shiraishi | Yu Tanaka |
|---|---|---|
| Kasidit Samrej | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-0, 7-6 |
| Kokoro Isomura | 1-0 W 6-2, 0-6, 6-1 |
1-0 W 4-6, 6-3, 6-0 |
| Ryuki Matsuda | 1-0 W 6-4, 3-6, 7-5 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-2 |
| Saki Tange | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-3 |
1-1 W 6-0, 7-5, L 3-6, 7-6, 1-0 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-29: ATP Yanagawa (Japan), model gave Hikaru Shiraishi 75% at -192
Hikaru Shiraishi vs Yu Tanaka: quick answers
Who will win Hikaru Shiraishi vs Yu Tanaka?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Hikaru Shiraishi, giving them a 75% chance to win against Yu Tanaka (25%).
What is the head-to-head record between Hikaru Shiraishi and Yu Tanaka?
Hikaru Shiraishi leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 29, 2026, won by Hikaru Shiraishi 6-0 at Japan Yanagawa.
Who is in better form, Hikaru Shiraishi or Yu Tanaka?
Hikaru Shiraishi is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Yu Tanaka is 7-3 (current streak: 1 Win).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Hikaru Shiraishi and Yu Tanaka?
Hikaru Shiraishi is rated 6390 (ATP #819) and Yu Tanaka is rated 6272 (ATP #1269). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Hikaru Shiraishi vs Yu Tanaka?
Hikaru Shiraishi is priced at -192 and Yu Tanaka at +137, which implies a 66% and 42% chance to win. The model rates Hikaru Shiraishi 9 points higher than the odds do (75% vs 66%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.