Nanari Katsumi vs Hikaru Sato
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Hikaru Sato, giving them a 87% chance to win against Nanari Katsumi (13%). Hikaru Sato leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Katsumi is 5-5 in their last 10, Sato 8-2.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Hikaru Sato a 87% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: -1 pts
Model minus book: -8 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Hikaru Sato at -2000 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Nanari Katsumi | Hikaru Sato | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6264 | 6528 |
| Tour rank | WTA #1108 | WTA #501 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 8-2 |
| Last 30 days | 2-0 | 4-2 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 7 Wins |
| Season record | 26-30 | 48-28 |
| UTR | 10.24 | 11.01 |
Head to head
Hikaru Sato leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22.10.2026 | Hikaru Sato | 6-1, 7-5 | Australia Sydney |
Recent form
Nanari Katsumi, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.2026 | Renee Alame | L | 6-2, 5-7, 14-12 |
| 25.10.2026 | Ai Maruyama | W | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 22.10.2026 | Hikaru Sato | L | 6-1, 7-5 |
| 21.10.2026 | Laquisa Khan | W | 4-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 20.10.2026 | Larisa Arnautovic | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 22.09.2026 | Wozuko Mdlulwa | L | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 18.09.2026 | Yekaterina Dmitrichenko | L | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 17.09.2026 | Julie Myatovic | W | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 16.09.2026 | Mandegar Farzami | W | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 10.09.2026 | Andre Lukosiute | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
Hikaru Sato, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Renee Alame | W | 6-1, 1-6, 6-2 |
| 28.10.2026 | Merel Hoedt | W | 6-1, 7-6 |
| 25.10.2026 | I Wen Wan | W | 2-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 24.10.2026 | Mio Mushika | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 23.10.2026 | Naiktha Bains | W | 6-3, 3-6, 6-4 |
| 22.10.2026 | Nanari Katsumi | W | 6-1, 7-5 |
| 21.10.2026 | Shrivalli Rashmikaa Bhamidipaty | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 08.10.2026 | Mutsumi Uemura | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 07.10.2026 | Nana Onozawa | W | 6-0, 6-2 |
| 02.10.2026 | Naho Sato | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Nanari Katsumi | Hikaru Sato |
|---|---|---|
| Kayo Nishimura | 0-2 L 6-1, 6-3, L 6-4, 6-3 |
2-1 L 4-6, 7-6, 7-5, W 6-3, 6-4, W 7-6, 6-1 |
| Kisa Yoshioka | 0-1 L 7-5, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-3, 1-6, 6-4 |
| Natsuki Yoshimoto | 1-2 L 7-6, 6-3, W 6-4, 4-6, 6-2, L 7-5, 6-1 |
0-2 L 4-6, 6-3, 6-3, L 6-4, 1-6, 6-0 |
| Renee Alame | 0-1 L 6-2, 5-7, 14-12 |
1-0 W 6-1, 1-6, 6-2 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-27: WTA Sydney (XI) (Australia), model gave Nanari Katsumi 13% at +635
- 2026-10-26: WTA Sydney (XI) (Australia), model gave Nanari Katsumi 13% at +635
- 2026-10-25: WTA Sydney (XI) (Australia), model gave Nanari Katsumi 13% at +635
- 2026-10-24: WTA Sydney (XI) (Australia), model gave Nanari Katsumi 13% at +635
- 2026-10-23: WTA Sydney (XI) (Australia), model gave Nanari Katsumi 13% at +635
- 2026-10-22: WTA Sydney (XI) (Australia), model gave Nanari Katsumi 13% at +635
- 2026-10-21: WTA Sydney (XI) (Australia), model gave Nanari Katsumi 13% at +635
Nanari Katsumi vs Hikaru Sato: quick answers
Who will win Nanari Katsumi vs Hikaru Sato?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Hikaru Sato, giving them a 87% chance to win against Nanari Katsumi (13%).
What is the head-to-head record between Nanari Katsumi and Hikaru Sato?
Hikaru Sato leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 22, 2026, won by Hikaru Sato 6-1, 7-5 at Australia Sydney.
Who is in better form, Nanari Katsumi or Hikaru Sato?
Nanari Katsumi is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Hikaru Sato is 8-2 (current streak: 7 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Nanari Katsumi and Hikaru Sato?
Nanari Katsumi is rated 6264 (WTA #1108) and Hikaru Sato is rated 6528 (WTA #501). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Nanari Katsumi vs Hikaru Sato?
Nanari Katsumi is priced at +635 and Hikaru Sato at -2000, which implies a 14% and 95% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.