Mutsumi Uemura vs Hikaru Sato
Updated
Mutsumi Uemura beat Hikaru Sato 6-4, 6-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Hikaru Sato at 65%. They are tied 1-1 in their head-to-head. Uemura is 5-5 in their last 10, Sato 8-2.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Hikaru Sato a 65% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: -6 pts
Model minus book: -4 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Hikaru Sato at -222 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Mutsumi Uemura | Hikaru Sato | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6341 | 6528 |
| Tour rank | WTA #879 | WTA #501 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 8-2 |
| Last 30 days | 7-4 | 5-3 |
| Current streak | 3 Losses | 7 Wins |
| Season record | 37-27 | 48-28 |
| UTR | 10.58 | 11.01 |
Head to head
Tied 1-1.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08.10.2026 | Mutsumi Uemura | 6-4, 6-4 | Australia Wagga Wagga I |
| 24.09.2026 | Hikaru Sato | 7-6, 6-1 | Japan Nanao |
Recent form
Mutsumi Uemura, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.2026 | Yuno Kitahara | L | 3-6, 6-2, 6-1 |
| 20.10.2026 | Yang Ya Yi | L | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 09.10.2026 | Ena Shibahara | L | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 08.10.2026 | Hikaru Sato | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 07.10.2026 | Nagi Hanatani | W | 4-6, 6-0, 6-2 |
| 03.10.2026 | Mio Mushika | L | 4-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 02.10.2026 | Ashleigh Simes | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 01.10.2026 | Tahlia Kokkinis | W | 4-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 29.09.2026 | Eva Lopez | W | 6-2, 6-0 |
| 24.09.2026 | Hikaru Sato | L | 7-6, 6-1 |
Hikaru Sato, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Renee Alame | W | 6-1, 1-6, 6-2 |
| 28.10.2026 | Merel Hoedt | W | 6-1, 7-6 |
| 25.10.2026 | I Wen Wan | W | 2-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 24.10.2026 | Mio Mushika | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 23.10.2026 | Naiktha Bains | W | 6-3, 3-6, 6-4 |
| 22.10.2026 | Nanari Katsumi | W | 6-1, 7-5 |
| 21.10.2026 | Shrivalli Rashmikaa Bhamidipaty | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 08.10.2026 | Mutsumi Uemura | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 07.10.2026 | Nana Onozawa | W | 6-0, 6-2 |
| 02.10.2026 | Naho Sato | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Mutsumi Uemura | Hikaru Sato |
|---|---|---|
| Amy Stevens | 1-0 W 3-6, 6-4, 6-4 |
1-0 W 7-5, 6-1 |
| Erika Sema | 1-0 W 5-7, 6-4, 10-8 |
2-0 W 7-6, 6-4, W 6-3, 6-4 |
| I Wen Wan | 1-0 W 6-1, 6-4 |
1-0 W 2-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| Kisa Yoshioka | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-3, 1-6, 6-4 |
| Mayuka Aikawa | 1-0 W 5-7, 6-3, 10-4 |
0-1 L 3-6, 7-6, 7-6 |
| Mio Mushika | 0-1 L 4-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
3-0 W 6-2, 6-1, W 6-4, 6-1, W 1-6, 6-3, 6-3 |
| Natsuki Yoshimoto | 0-1 L 6-2, 6-0 |
0-2 L 4-6, 6-3, 6-3, L 6-4, 1-6, 6-0 |
| Sakura Hosogi | 0-1 L 6-0, 6-3 |
0-1 L 2-6, 6-2, 7-6 |
| Sara Yoshida | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-2 |
2-0 W 6-3, 6-3, W 6-3, 6-1 |
| Yingqun Sun | 1-0 W 6-2, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-4, 4-6, 6-2 |
| Yuno Kitahara | 0-1 L 3-6, 6-2, 6-1 |
2-0 W 6-1, 6-4, W 6-4, 6-1 |
Mutsumi Uemura vs Hikaru Sato: quick answers
Who won Mutsumi Uemura vs Hikaru Sato?
Mutsumi Uemura beat Hikaru Sato 6-4, 6-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Hikaru Sato at 65%.
What is the head-to-head record between Mutsumi Uemura and Hikaru Sato?
They are tied 1-1. Their most recent meeting was on October 8, 2026, won by Mutsumi Uemura 6-4, 6-4 at Australia Wagga Wagga I.
Who is in better form, Mutsumi Uemura or Hikaru Sato?
Mutsumi Uemura is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 3 Losses). Hikaru Sato is 8-2 (current streak: 7 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Mutsumi Uemura and Hikaru Sato?
Mutsumi Uemura is rated 6341 (WTA #879) and Hikaru Sato is rated 6528 (WTA #501). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Mutsumi Uemura vs Hikaru Sato?
Mutsumi Uemura is priced at +145 and Hikaru Sato at -222, which implies a 41% and 69% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.